What is Cieren Fallon's strike rate?

Cieren Fallon has won 645 of 4,527 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 14.2% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Cieren Fallon do best at?

Nottingham by strike rate: 31 wins from 163 rides (19%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Cieren Fallon ride most for?

W J Haggas, with 1,009 rides since 2008 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 229 (22.7%).

Is Cieren Fallon in form?

In the last 14 days: 17 rides, 6 winners, a strike rate of 35.3%. That is above the baseline of 14.2% since 2008.

What is Cieren Fallon's Fair A/E?

1.04, from 4,492 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Cieren Fallon

4,527 rides in the lifetime window · 2,939 individual horses

As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

In form — 6 winners last 14 days Last ride 8 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

645–4,527

Wins / Runs

14.2%

Strike rate

n=4,527

1,553 (34%)

Placed

1.04

Fair A/E

n=4,492 · 0.89 incl. margin

−385.55

£1 level stake

n=4,527 at SP · −8.5%

£10.1m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

16.2%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 240 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 14% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 24% (532 rides). The rider is in form now — 6 winners in the last fortnight, above their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 4,527 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 37% when favourite W J Haggas: 22.7% from 1,009 LTO winners: 24.4% Rides the favourite in 14% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Beverley (24.4%, n=45) and Redcar (22.7%, n=75) — all clear of the rider's 14.2% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 24.4% (n=532, Fair A/E 1.19), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 9.7% (n=493, Fair A/E 1.28). Right now the rider is firing: 6 winners from 17 rides in the last 14 days (35.3%, 21.1pts above the 14.2% baseline). W J Haggas supplies 22% of the rides and beats the rider's average (22.7% vs 14.2%, A/E 1.12) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 26 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Betfair Sprint Cup Stakes at Haydock (Sep 2024, £234,496). The standout partner of the record: Goldmoyne (IRE) — 6 wins from 11 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

12.8%−1.4

n=2,939 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −283.66

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

24.4%+10.2

n=532 · A/E 1.19 · £1 +64.42

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

12.6%−1.6

n=674 · A/E 0.95 · £1 +19.23

When favourite

37%

n=656 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −30.38

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

11.7%−2.5

n=729 · A/E 0.91 · £1 +72.82

Big fields · 14+ runners

9.7%−4.5

n=493 · A/E 1.28 · £1 −96.86

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

12.4%−1.8

n=210 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −17.84

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 24.4% vs 14.2% · n=532

With W J Haggas 22.7% vs 14.2% · n=1,009

At Beverley 24.4% vs 14.2% · n=45

With Richard Hannon 3.1% vs 14.2% · n=32

With S Woods 25% vs 14.2% · n=32

At Redcar 22.7% vs 14.2% · n=75

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,852 232 12.5% −412.28

Good 887 138 15.6% +186.46

Good to Firm 885 139 15.7% −91.84

Good to Soft 385 54 14% −47.51

Soft 375 62 16.5% −1.51

Heavy 117 16 13.7% −8.03

Firm 26 4 15.4% −10.84

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 431 57 13.2% −157.47

Kempton (AW) 423 42 9.9% −108.96

Lingfield (AW) 339 38 11.2% −92.04

Chelmsford (AW) 287 40 13.9% −36.58

Yarmouth 210 24 11.4% −49.18

Southwell (AW) 188 26 13.8% +27.34

Newcastle (AW) 182 29 15.9% −42.57

Newmarket 170 21 12.4% −0.50

Doncaster 166 24 14.5% +59.74

Newmarket 165 21 12.7% −17.28

Nottingham 163 31 19% −12.48

Haydock 151 26 17.2% +47.62

Ascot 146 14 9.6% −54.32

Goodwood 123 22 17.9% −10.63

Windsor 111 16 14.4% −10.24

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 1,436 223 15.5% −39.66

Class 4 1,060 164 15.5% −138.60

Class 6 976 123 12.6% −132.03

Class 2 434 41 9.4% −151.88

Class 3 402 68 16.9% +103.46

Class 1 210 26 12.4% −17.84

Class 7 7 0 0% −7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 757 266 35.1% 1.11 −38.81

2nd–3rd fav 1,312 218 16.6% 0.96 −214.24

4th–6th fav 1,402 119 8.5% 1.02 −165.50

7th+ in betting 1,056 42 4% 1.11 +33.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Montassib (GB) 16 5 8 7 Nov 26

Goldmoyne (IRE) 11 6 9 10 Jul 26

Beach Point (IRE) 10 1 4 4 Nov 26

Bomb Squad (IRE) 9 2 7 29 Dec 25

Sonnerie Power (FR) 8 0 3 12 Feb 25

Aphelios (GB) 8 2 5 19 Aug 23

First Instinct (GB) 7 0 2 19 Sep 26

High Degree (GB) 7 2 6 29 Aug 26

Lake Forest (GB) 7 2 3 22 Aug 26

Wiltshire (GB) 7 2 3 27 Jun 26

Eye Of The Water (IRE) 7 0 2 6 Jun 26

Another Abbot (IRE) 7 1 2 1 May 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 2,939 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

6 from 17 35.3% · +21.1pts vs baseline

Last 14 days35.3%

Lifetime base14.2%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

111611101513151515131914

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardW J Haggas

22% of all rides
22.7% SR · A/E 1.12

TrainerRWSR£1

W J Haggas 1,009 229 22.7% +52.99

James Owen 140 26 18.6% −21.41

Hugo Palmer 133 14 10.5% −76.92

Ian Williams 130 12 9.2% −76.37

Michael Appleby 115 8 7% −66.55

Tony Carroll 91 13 14.3% −7.21

William Knight 85 9 10.6% −17.87

Charles Hills 76 10 13.2% +16.67

Roger Teal 66 12 18.2% +18.75

David O'Meara 66 10 15.2% +3.63

Ed Dunlop 64 6 9.4% −33.30

George Baker 63 11 17.5% +17.08

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→

645

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£10.1m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 136 wins

Montassib (GB) — Betfair Sprint Cup Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Haydock · Sep 2024 · Group 1

£234,496

Oxted (GB) — King's Stand Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Ascot · Jun 2021 · Group 1

£198,485

Oxted (GB) — Darley July Cup Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Newmarket · Jul 2020 · Group 1

£141,775

Notable horses

Goldmoyne (IRE) Montassib (GB) Oxted (GB) Social City (GB) Extremely Zain (FR) Twilight Heir (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dark Angel (IRE) 17.1% · 20–117

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,957 runs since 2011 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Kodiac (GB) 16.8% · 18–107

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,605 runs since 2010 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 255.

Sea The Stars (IRE) 27.4% · 29–106

Progeny have won 15.7% of 9,989 runs since 2013 (1,116 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 460. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 16.8% · 17–101

Progeny have won 13.7% of 12,244 runs since 2014 (1,107 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 962.

Kingman (GB) 15.8% · 15–95

Progeny have won 14.6% of 7,534 runs since 2018 (778 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11% from 970. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 8.9% from 123.

Dubawi (IRE) 20.2% · 19–94

Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,996 runs since 2009 (1,531 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,527 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,527 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 31 August 2018 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Doncaster Castle Cove (IRE)T: William Haggas Virgin Bet November Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 12f · Good To Soft · 23 ran 13th 5/1

07 Nov 26 Doncaster Seren Star (IRE)T: William Haggas Virgin Bet Daily Price Boosts Irish EBF Gillies Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 10f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 1st 40/1

07 Nov 26 Doncaster Montassib (GB)T: William Haggas Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Wentworth Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 6f · Good To Soft · 20 ran 3rd 7/1

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Tactical Plan (GB)T: Martin Dunne Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 13/2

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) National Pride (IRE)T: William Haggas AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 6/4F

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) One Nine Seven (GB)T: Lemos De Souza Juddmonte EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 7.5f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 125/1

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Kalamunda (GB)T: Joseph Parr AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7.5f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 12/1

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Eighty Eight (IRE)T: James Owen Midnite Built Different Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 13 ran 1st 11/10F

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Venetian Lion (GB)T: William Haggas Watch Racing TV Now Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8.5f · Soft · 14 ran 1st 5/4F

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Beach Point (IRE)T: William Knight Conference And Events At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (Div II) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Soft · 9 ran 6th 7/1

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Indhaar (GB)T: William Haggas Experience Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 14f · Soft · 10 ran 1st 11/4

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Trojan Sun (GB)T: Jim Goldie Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 13 ran 6th 15/2

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Deep Sleep (GB)T: James Owen Midnite Built Different Handicap StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 5/1

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Sovereign Bay (FR)T: James Owen AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 8 ran 2nd 9/2

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) That Darn Cantor (GB)T: Ed Dunlop Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 2/1F

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Cavan Lady (GB)T: Stephen Hanlon AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 7/2

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Lunella (IRE)T: Ollie Sangster Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap StakesClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 20/1

28 Oct 26 Nottingham Gaspacho (GB)T: William Haggas Racing TV Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 14f · Soft · 13 ran 1st 5/2

28 Oct 26 Nottingham Playhouse (GB)T: William Haggas EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8.5f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 10/1

28 Oct 26 Nottingham Bantry Bay (GB)T: William Haggas EBF Stallions Golden Horn Maiden Stakes (Colts And Geldings Only)Class 3 · 8.5f · Soft · 5 ran 5th 18/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 10 runs (won 1, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 5 runs (won 2) · fastest on KTB Speed in 11 runs (won 2) · to 5 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Cieren Fallon's strike rate?: Cieren Fallon has won 645 of 4,527 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 14.2% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Cieren Fallon do best at?: Nottingham by strike rate: 31 wins from 163 rides (19%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Cieren Fallon ride most for?: W J Haggas, with 1,009 rides since 2008 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 229 (22.7%).
Is Cieren Fallon in form?: In the last 14 days: 17 rides, 6 winners, a strike rate of 35.3%. That is above the baseline of 14.2% since 2008.
What is Cieren Fallon's Fair A/E?: 1.04, from 4,492 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.