Jack Cleary
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 50 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.87). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 9% (65 rides).
The record is strongest at Cork (17.6%, n=34), clear of the rider's 6.2% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 9.2% (n=65, Fair A/E 0.77). A P O'Brien supplies 22% of the rides and beats the rider's average (13.6% vs 6.2%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well at trips under 6f (11.3%, n=62). The record reads poorly off a 0-7-day break — 1.6% over 63 rides, 4.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Heavy going: Fair A/E 0.30 across 86 rides (2.3% strike, −78.67 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Goffs Million at Curragh (Sep 2025, £495,000). Seasonally, the rider fires Sep–Oct.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2020→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,029 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,029 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 8 July 2020 to 6 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 8 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · to 28 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Jack Cleary's strike rate?
- Jack Cleary has won 64 of 1,029 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.2% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Jack Cleary do best at?
- Cork by strike rate: 6 wins from 34 rides (17.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Jack Cleary ride most for?
- A P O'Brien, with 228 rides since 2008 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 31 (13.6%).
- Is Jack Cleary in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 8 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Jack Cleary's Fair A/E?
- 0.87, from 1,027 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.