What is Killian Leonard's strike rate?

Killian Leonard has won 127 of 2,745 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.6% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Killian Leonard do best at?

Tipperary by strike rate: 7 wins from 83 rides (8.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Killian Leonard ride most for?

Denis Gerard Hogan, with 201 rides since 2008 — 7% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (7%).

Is Killian Leonard in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 3 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Killian Leonard's Fair A/E?

0.84, from 2,743 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Killian Leonard

2,745 rides in the lifetime window · 1,343 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride yesterday 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

127–2,745

Wins / Runs

4.6%

Strike rate

n=2,745

478 (17%)

Placed

0.84

Fair A/E

n=2,743 · 0.67 incl. margin

−1,420.53

£1 level stake

n=2,745 at SP · −51.7%

£2.06m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

1.6%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 140 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.84).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,745 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 19.5% when favourite Denis Gerard Hogan: 7% from 201 Claiming: 5.5% Rides the favourite in 3% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ballinrobe (10.8%, n=37), clear of the rider's 4.6% baseline. It is weakest at Galway (0% over 68 rides) — the widest gap in the record. The market has consistently overbet rides on last-time-out winners: 4.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.42 and −98.25 to a £1 stake over 144 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Denis Gerard Hogan supplies 7% of the rides and edges the rider's average (7% vs 4.6%, A/E 0.86).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

3.4%−1.2

n=1,343 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −799.50

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

4.9%+0.3

n=144 · A/E 0.42 · £1 −98.25

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

3.7%−0.9

n=436 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −255.50

When favourite

19.5%

n=82 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −20.61

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

5.5%+0.9

n=1,573 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −670.41

Big fields · 14+ runners

4%−0.6

n=1,471 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −731.12

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−4.6

n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With David Marnane 15.6% vs 4.6% · n=32

With Patrick Martin 10.7% vs 4.6% · n=150

With Miss Susan A Finn 11.8% vs 4.6% · n=34

At Ballinrobe 10.8% vs 4.6% · n=37

At Galway 0% vs 4.6% · n=68

With Patrick J McKenna 0% vs 4.6% · n=45

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 861 34 3.9% −513.04

Good 658 19 2.9% −482.62

Soft 549 32 5.8% −218.50

Good to Firm 264 18 6.8% −32.25

Heavy 234 15 6.4% −83.37

Good to Soft 179 9 5% −90.75

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 847 34 4% −499.04

Curragh 218 11 5% −92.50

Gowran Park 196 9 4.6% −103.25

Naas 166 5 3% −104.00

Leopardstown 162 5 3.1% −117.50

Cork 161 8 5% −100.50

Navan 152 6 3.9% −106.50

Limerick 103 8 7.8% −20.87

Fairyhouse 91 6 6.6% −26.50

Tipperary 83 7 8.4% +71.00

Killarney 83 4 4.8% −45.50

Galway 68 0 0% −68.00

Listowel 63 2 3.2% −45.00

Roscommon 62 4 6.5% −12.00

Down Royal 61 4 6.6% −20.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 21 1 4.8% −17.75

Class 1 17 0 0% −17.00

Class 6 13 2 15.4% +5.50

Class 2 7 0 0% −7.00

Class 4 6 1 16.7% −2.25

Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 124 24 19.4% 0.94 −22.86

2nd–3rd fav 298 38 12.8% 0.96 −52.67

4th–6th fav 521 30 5.8% 0.79 −243.00

7th+ in betting 1,802 35 1.9% 0.73 −1,102.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Youceeyouceecee (IRE) 22 4 7 20 Jun 20

Reckless Lad (IRE) 20 4 10 22 Feb 19

Doonard Prince (IRE) 18 2 7 5 Aug 19

Coffeemeanscoffee (IRE) 17 2 3 27 Aug 24

Red All Star (IRE) 17 1 6 25 Jun 20

All The Mollies (IRE) 17 2 5 20 Jun 20

Gopsies Daughter (IRE) 17 3 6 13 Jul 19

Aspen Belle (IRE) 16 2 9 3 Nov 19

Out On Friday (IRE) 15 1 3 10 May 23

Atlas (IRE) 14 1 3 13 Sep 23

Turbine (IRE) 13 1 7 10 May 19

Blairmayne (IRE) 12 1 9 18 Jul 20

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,343 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

634636383453

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardDenis Gerard Hogan

7% of all rides
7% SR · A/E 0.86

TrainerRWSR£1

Denis Gerard Hogan 201 14 7% −64.62

Patrick Martin 150 16 10.7% −2.17

T G McCourt 92 1 1.1% −77.00

John Joseph Murphy 57 3 5.3% −36.00

Andrew Slattery 55 3 5.5% −21.00

Tom McGuinness 54 1 1.9% −39.00

Adrian McGuinness 46 2 4.3% −32.50

Patrick J McKenna 45 0 0% −45.00

Miss Natalia Lupini 44 3 6.8% −19.50

John C McConnell 43 3 7% −22.50

Donnacha Aidan O'Brien 41 1 2.4% −24.00

Eamonn O'Connell 40 3 7.5% +15.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→

127

Archived wins

£2.06m

Prize money

2018

Best season · 31 wins

Sors (IRE) — Tote Rockingham Handicap (Premier Handicap) Curragh (IRE) · Jun 2016

£59,000

Repeater (GB) — Hanlon Concrete Handicap Curragh · May 2016

£29,500

Rattling Jewel (GB) — Hanlon Concrete Handicap Curragh · May 2017

£15,990

Notable horses

Youceeyouceecee (IRE) Reckless Lad (IRE) Gopsies Daughter (IRE) Victorious Secret (IRE) Tennesse Waltz (IRE) Doonard Prince (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dandy Man (IRE) 3.7% · 3–82

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,990 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 11.6% · 8–69

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,819 runs since 2009 (938 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 321.

Acclamation (GB) 6.6% · 4–61

Progeny have won 10% of 19,719 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.

Zebedee (GB) 1.9% · 1–53

Progeny have won 9% of 7,139 runs since 2014 (435 horses).

Elzaam (AUS) 5.9% · 3–51

Progeny have won 9.2% of 4,535 runs since 2016 (374 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.2% from 328.

Intense Focus (USA) 4.5% · 2–44

Progeny have won 8.3% of 3,630 runs since 2013 (218 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 11.5% from 349. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.5% from 384.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,745 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,745 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 5 June 2015 to 13 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

13 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Cafe Oh Lait (IRE)T: Kevin Thomas Coleman Irish Stallion Farms EBF Race6f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 200/1

11 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Isthatrightkatie (IRE)T: Miss Katy Brown Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Handicap7f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 100/1

11 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Positive Thinking (IRE)T: Miss Natalia Lupini Bet On The Best Night Out At Dundalk Stadium Maiden8f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 33/1

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Tribal Moon (IRE)T: Noel C. Kelly Book Your Christmas Party At Dundalk Stadium Handicap12f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 22/1

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Sceitimini (IRE)T: Rodger Sweeney Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 6/1

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Positive Thinking (IRE)T: Miss Natalia Lupini Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden8f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 50/1

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Cafe Oh Lait (IRE)T: Kevin Thomas Coleman Irish Stallion Farms EBF Auction Maiden6f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 25/1

23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Hastily (GB)T: Tom McGuinness Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Fillies Optional Claiming Race7f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 100/1

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Ballysax Boo (GB)T: Miss Katy Brown 1xBet.ie Supports The Curragh Handicap10f · Yielding · 24 ran 21st 125/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Victors Spirit (SAF)T: Tom McGuinness Racing Again November 7th Handicap12f · Soft · 14 ran 13th 150/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Sceitimini (IRE)T: Rodger Sweeney Racing Club Membership Handicap (Div II)8.5f · Soft · 15 ran 3rd 25/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Esticky End (IRE)T: Tom McGuinness Racing Club Membership Handicap (Div I)8.5f · Soft · 16 ran 9th 66/1

10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Ballysax Boo (GB)T: Miss Katy Brown M.L.A Engineering Ltd. Supporting Ardclough GAA Maiden8f · Soft · 13 ran 7th 200/1

05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Nogs (IRE)T: M J Byrne Spin Southwest Maiden11f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 200/1

21 Sep 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Banshof (IRE)T: Matthew J Smith La Bucca Restaurant Handicap7f · Good · 18 ran 15th 80/1

14 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Galley Point (IRE)T: T J O'Mara Killarney Plaza Hotel & Spa Handicap8f · Good · 14 ran UR 40/1

13 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Stonyfalls (IRE)T: Paul Traynor Heights Hotel, Killarney Handicap11.5f · Good · 14 ran 11th 28/1

11 Jul 26 Navan Haughty (GB)T: V C Ward Navan Racing Festival 14th & 15th November Handicap (0-60)10f · Good · 12 ran 8th 66/1

11 Jul 26 Navan Dubai Opulence (IRE)T: Miss Natalia Lupini Newgrange Hotel Handicap6f · Good · 15 ran 4th 40/1

03 Jul 26 Bellewstown Wonderwalk (IRE)T: V C Ward Meath Farm Machinery Claiming Race8f · Good · 15 ran 14th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Killian Leonard's strike rate?: Killian Leonard has won 127 of 2,745 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.6% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Killian Leonard do best at?: Tipperary by strike rate: 7 wins from 83 rides (8.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Killian Leonard ride most for?: Denis Gerard Hogan, with 201 rides since 2008 — 7% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (7%).
Is Killian Leonard in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 3 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Killian Leonard's Fair A/E?: 0.84, from 2,743 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.