4:05 Redcar
This Class 6 handicap division at Redcar over 5f 217y on soft ground brings together a field of 14 modest performers, several of whom are dropping in class while carrying official ratings clustered between 43 and 63. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched at the top, with the first five all rated between 54 and 60, underlining the competitive yet limited nature of the contest. Recent form is largely ordinary across the board, though several hold placed form on soft ground and there are course winners in the line-up.
How the race shapes up
A strong pace is anticipated with at least two habitual front-runners present and several more prominent runners likely to be involved early. Snuggle and Tilsworth Turf are both inclined to make the running or race prominently, while Delagate This Lord, Showtime Mahomes, Degale, Beauty Choice, Too Much and Ninety Nine should also be handy. This shape raises the strong possibility of the pace collapsing late, which would play into the hands of hold-up performers such as Run This Way and Taygar.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Snuggle60/100
Snuggle is a limited performer who has shown very little spark in two starts this year after a modest 2024. He has a win on soft ground from five attempts and is 2-21 at today's trip but his overall record marks him down as limited. The six-year-old tends to make the running or race on the pace and is drawn in stall four. Trainer Thomas Faulkner has no previous runners at Redcar while jockey Tom Eaves operates at a 7% strike rate here.
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2Delagate This Lord KTB Selection60/100
Delagate This Lord is a modest 12-year-old who has won seven times at today's trip but is now on a long losing run and was well held on his final start last season. He has placed once from five runs on soft ground and is a first-time runner at Redcar today. Usually racing handily on or close to the lead, he is drawn widest in stall 14. Trainer Stephen Hanlon has a 14% strike rate here from seven runs while jockey Cam Hardie's 3% record from 361 rides at the track sits below his 6% elsewhere.
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3Run This Way54/100
Run This Way is a limited performer who has won twice over this trip and twice here from five runs. Recent form is ordinary yet he has placed on soft ground four times from eleven starts and holds an official rating of 58. Usually held up and producing his effort late, the eight-year-old is well suited by the likely strong pace. Dropping in class, he is trained by Paul Midgley who has an 8% strike rate at Redcar from 504 runs and ridden by David Nolan who strikes at 10% from 414 rides here; both are operating at their usual level at the track.
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4Showtime Mahomes54/100
Showtime Mahomes is a modest performer who has been consistent enough this year without winning often. He has placed here without winning in three runs and holds an official rating of 62 off which he has scored at today's trip four times from 34 starts. Usually racing handily on or close to the lead, the seven-year-old drops in class. The yard and jockey both record strike rates at Redcar that sit in line with their figures elsewhere.
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5Valentine Catcher54/100
Valentine Catcher is a modest performer who has won once from two runs at Redcar. He has a solid recent record of 233520 and drops back to 5f where he has won twice from 19 starts though his last run was over 7f. Typically settling in midfield, the five-year-old has won once from six starts on soft ground. The trainer's 8% strike rate at the track is below his 10% at other courses while the jockey's 11% strike rate here is in line with his overall figure.
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6Night Emperor52/100
Night Emperor is a limited performer who has been consistent in this grade lately without progressing. He has won once from six starts at Redcar and returns to a trip where he has also scored once from ten attempts, though he drops back from 7f today. The trainer's 5% strike rate at the track is in line with their record elsewhere, as is the jockey's 8% strike rate.
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7Taygar51/100
Taygar is a modest performer who has won once in 12 runs here and once from three starts on soft ground. Has also won at today's trip though his recent form is ordinary and he is now 39 runs into his career. Usually held up, the five-year-old drops in class. Trainer and jockey both operate at a 9% strike rate at Redcar which sits in line with their figures elsewhere.
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8Degale51/100
Degale is a modest performer who has shown bits of form this year without winning. Ran creditably when fourth over course and distance on his only visit here and is placed at today's trip. Usually racing handily, the soft ground remains an unknown for him. Trainer and jockey both have in-line strike rates at Redcar.
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9Wise Crack50/100
Wise Crack is a modest performer who has been consistent enough this year without winning since his two early successes. Placed once at today's trip from five attempts but has no experience on soft ground and makes his first visit to Redcar. The three-year-old typically settles in midfield. Trainer and jockey both operate at their ordinary level here.
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10Beauty Choice49/100
Beauty Choice is a modest performer who has dropped to a handy mark but has been out of form for a while with a string of poor efforts. Has placed three times from eight starts on soft ground and has won at today's trip though both those positives are from a fairly large sample. Usually racing prominently, this is the horse's first visit to Redcar. Trainer and jockey both operate at their usual level here.
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11One of Our Own46/100
One of Our Own is a limited performer who has won twice at this track from nine runs and has also won at today's trip. Has been out of the frame on all three starts on soft ground and his recent form has been modest. Typically settling in midfield, the six-year-old drops in class. Trainer and jockey both operate at a 6% strike rate here which is in line with their records at other tracks.
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12Too Much43/100
Too Much is a limited performer who has been placed once in two runs at Redcar but has failed to win in 33 starts this year. Has a win at today's trip yet showed no spark on soft ground in three previous attempts. Usually racing handily, trainer and jockey both operate at a 4% and 3% strike rate here respectively which sits in line with their records elsewhere.
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13Tilsworth Turf40/100
Tilsworth Turf is a limited horse who has been struggling this year with a string of modest efforts. He handles soft ground and has won at today's trip before, though the step back up from a shorter run last time adds a fresh question. Tending to make the running or race on the pace, the trainer's 10% strike rate at Redcar is in line with his record elsewhere while the jockey has had too few rides here to judge.
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14Ninety Nine29/100
Ninety Nine is a limited performer who has shown little since the start of the year and finished well beaten on both previous visits to Redcar. He has a win on soft ground but is 0-7 at today's trip and the yard's modest strike rate here is in line with their record elsewhere. Jockey's 5% strike rate at the track is below his overall figure.
KTB verdict
The strong pace expected here should create late opportunities for hold-up types, yet the principals are largely prominent or midfield runners. Delagate This Lord is the KTB Selection. The 12-year-old brings seven wins at the trip, placed form on soft ground, a prominent run-style that should see him well placed early, and a trainer with a solid 14% strike rate at Redcar. His main dangers are Run This Way, who is proven over course and distance on soft ground and benefits from the shape, and Showtime Mahomes and Valentine Catcher who are both dropping in class with respectable recent efforts and course form.
KTB Selection Delagate This Lord
Early prices
The best price per runner across the bookmakers we track, each as first seen (UK time). Every runner had a price by 12:31am, 26 Oct. Prices move — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Early price | Bookmaker, time |
|---|---|---|
| Snuggle | 25/1 | Bet365, 12:25am |
| Delagate This Lord | 25/1 | William Hill, 12:25am |
| Run This Way | 9/1 | Midnite, 12:25am |
| Showtime Mahomes | 11/2 | Bet365, 12:25am |
| Valentine Catcher | 8/1 | William Hill, 12:25am |
| Night Emperor | 9/2 | BoyleSports, 12:25am |
| Taygar | 15/2 | Bet365, 12:25am |
| Degale | 7/1 | Bet365, 12:25am |
| Wise Crack | 6/1 | Bet365, 12:25am |
| Beauty Choice | 17/2 | Bet365, 12:25am |
| One of Our Own | 18/1 | Bet365, 12:25am |
| Too Much | 16/1 | Bet365, 12:25am |
| Tilsworth Turf | 50/1 | 7Bet, 12:25am |
| Ninety Nine | 40/1 | 7Bet, 12:25am |
This is the narrative read of the 4:05 Redcar. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Redcar racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Redcar results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Redcar racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horses are likely to set the early pace?
Snuggle and Tilsworth Turf are both front-runners while Delagate This Lord, Showtime Mahomes, Degale, Beauty Choice, Too Much and Ninety Nine are prominent runners.
How many course winners are in the field?
Run This Way has won twice here from five runs, Valentine Catcher has won once from two runs, Night Emperor has won once from six, Taygar has won once from 12 and One of Our Own has won twice from nine.
Which runners have the best soft-ground records?
Run This Way has four wins and four places from 11 starts on soft, Tilsworth Turf has two wins and three places from seven, and both Delagate This Lord and Beauty Choice are placed on the surface without winning.
Who has the strongest trainer-jockey combination at Redcar according to the figures?
The Paul Midgley and David Nolan combination shows 44 wins from 432 rides for a 10% strike rate, while Tim Easterby and David Allan are 1009 from 9187 for 11%.
Which horses are unproven on soft ground?
Degale has had no runs on soft, Wise Crack has had no runs on soft, Night Emperor is 0-1 on soft, One of Our Own is 0-3 on soft and Too Much is 0-3 on soft.
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