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Trainer profile

Adam Kirby

201 runners in the lifetime window · 38 individual horses
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Non-runners: 3.4% of 208 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 4 Nov 2026.
Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2026→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
24–201
Wins / Runs
11.9%
Strike rate
n=201
56 (28%)
Placed
1.04
Fair A/E
n=200 · 0.87 incl. margin
−66.69
£1 level stake
n=201 at SP · −33.2%
£218k
Prize money (window)
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04).

Deterministic profile computed from 201 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026
The read

The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (21.8%, n=55) and on Standard (AW) going (16.3%, n=80). The record reads poorly in Class 4 — 7.1% over 42 runners, 4.8pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 0.64 across 67 runners (7.5% strike, −37.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
9.5%−2.4
n=21 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −9.30
New recruits · first run for the yard
10%−1.9
n=20 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −8.30
Debutants · first career start
0%−11.9
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−11.9
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
20%+8.1
n=10 · A/E 2.00 · £1 −3.80
When favourite
40.7%
n=27 · A/E 1.20 · £1 +2.06
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
11.4%−0.5
n=35 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −16.74
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−11.9
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 8-14-day break 21.8% vs 11.9% · n=55
With Pat Cosgrave 6.3% vs 11.9% · n=32
On Standard (AW) going 16.3% vs 11.9% · n=80
Off a 15-30-day break 7.5% vs 11.9% · n=67
In Class 4 7.1% vs 11.9% · n=42
With Charles Bishop 15.4% vs 11.9% · n=39
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 80 13 16.3% −16.50
Good to Firm 57 5 8.8% −36.99
Good 43 4 9.3% −11.20
Good to Soft 11 2 18.2% +8.00
Soft 6 0 0% −6.00
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 24 1 4.2% −21.50
Southwell (AW) 22 3 13.6% −8.57
Kempton (AW) 16 4 25% +5.20
Yarmouth 15 1 6.7% −11.00
Leicester 14 0 0% −14.00
Brighton 14 3 21.4% −0.74
Lingfield (AW) 13 4 30.8% +3.87
Doncaster 11 1 9.1% −5.50
Lingfield 9 2 22.2% −4.52
Newmarket 9 1 11.1% +14.00
Windsor 9 0 0% −9.00
Chepstow 8 1 12.5% +5.00
Bath 4 1 25% −2.43
Ffos Las 4 0 0% −4.00
Redcar 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 83 12 14.5% −27.91
Class 5 62 7 11.3% −14.35
Class 4 42 3 7.1% −17.50
Class 2 8 1 12.5% −6.43
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 3 3 1 33.3% +2.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 33 11 33.3% 1.06 −3.94
2nd–3rd fav 41 8 19.5% 1.19 +2.75
4th–6th fav 58 4 6.9% 0.94 −19.50
7th+ in betting 69 1 1.4% 0.56 −46.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
My Mate Mackley (GB)from Alice Haynes 16 4 9 27 Oct 26
Travel Agent (IRE)from Martin Dunne 14 2 4 21 Oct 26
Ancient State (IRE)from Martin Dunne 13 4 8 24 Oct 26
South Kensington (IRE)from Martin Dunne 11 2 4 15 Oct 26
Tuscan Point (IRE)from Richard Fahey 11 2 5 1 Aug 26
Bill The Bull (IRE) 10 2 2 24 Oct 26
Mokata (GB) 10 0 0 15 Oct 26
Caragio (IRE)from Martin Dunne 9 3 7 31 Oct 26
Ziggy's Condor (IRE)from Richard & Peter Fahey 9 0 2 28 Oct 26
Dancing With Drums (IRE)from Martin Dunne 8 1 2 14 Jul 26
Mariselle (IRE) 7 0 0 26 Oct 26
Lenny's Spirit (FR)from Denis Quinn 7 0 1 14 Jul 26
All 38 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 38 horses listed, 20 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Martin Dunne (7) and Alice Haynes (2); 18 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 11
Only 11 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
··1720151001110180·
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderCharles Bishop
19% of all rides
15.4% SR · A/E 1.68
RiderRWSR£1
Charles Bishop 39 6 15.4% −14.07
Pat Cosgrave 32 2 6.3% −28.76
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2026→
24
Archived wins
£218k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 24 wins
Ancient State (IRE) — Land Of Lights Festival At Gullivers Handicap Stakes Doncaster · Sep 2026 · Class 3
£18,319
Bill The Bull (IRE) — Juddmonte EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Bath · Jun 2026 · Class 2
£15,702
Norham (IRE) — Sporting Times/sri Lanka Nursery Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race) Sandown · Sep 2026 · Class 4
£6,019
Notable horses
My Mate Mackley (GB) Ancient State (IRE) Caragio (IRE) Travel Agent (IRE) Tuscan Point (IRE) South Kensington (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Blue Point (IRE) 18.2% · 4–22
Progeny have won 14% of 3,440 runs since 2023 (418 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 10.4% from 211.
No Nay Never (USA) 9.5% · 2–21
Progeny have won 12.1% of 6,358 runs since 2018 (708 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 9.1% from 618. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.6% from 185.
Tasleet (GB) 25% · 4–16
Progeny have won 10.1% of 1,183 runs since 2022 (133 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 15.9% from 107. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.7% from 357.
Dandy Man (IRE) 30.8% · 4–13
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,968 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Kodiac (GB) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,593 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.
Coulsty (IRE) 20% · 2–10
Progeny have won 9.6% of 1,545 runs since 2020 (167 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 201 · newest first

The latest 50 of 201 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 11 March 2026 to 3 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Stash The Cash (IRE)J: Charles Bishop Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 16/1
02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Alpha Bella (GB)J: Charles Bishop AWC Season 14 Has Begun EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 80/1
02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Fancied Angel (GB)J: William Carson AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 13/2
31 Oct 26 Newmarket Caragio (IRE)J: Shay Farmer Prestige Vehicles Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 9/2
28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Ziggy's Condor (IRE)J: Charles Bishop Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 8th 28/1
27 Oct 26 Catterick My Mate Mackley (GB)J: Taryn Langley Celebrating Helen Mackinnon's LX Years Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 5/1
26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Mariselle (IRE)J: Taryn Langley Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 40/1
26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Stash The Cash (IRE)J: Taryn Langley All-Weather Championship Is Back Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 5/1
24 Oct 26 Doncaster Spy Kingdom (USA)J: Tom Queally Rfj And Bee Jays Electrical Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 7f · Heavy · 13 ran 13th 66/1
24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Bill The Bull (IRE)J: Robert Havlin Awc Season 14 Has Begun Nursery Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 4 ran 4th 11/8F
24 Oct 26 Doncaster Ancient State (IRE)J: Cieren Fallon Richard James Hone Memorial Handicap StakesClass 2 · 5f · Heavy · 10 ran 2nd 9/2
21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Travel Agent (IRE)J: William Carson Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 8th 16/1
21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Caragio (IRE)J: Shay Farmer Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 1st 4/1
21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Horndean (FR)J: Daniel Muscutt Try Unibet's Improved Acca Boosts Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 1st 15/2
19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Special Breeze (GB)J: Taryn Langley bettingsites.co.uk Compare Before You Bet Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 7/2
15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Mariselle (IRE)J: David Egan Follow @AtTheRaces On X Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 50/1
15 Oct 26 Brighton Mokata (GB)J: Laura Coughlan Position Payout At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 9th 66/1
15 Oct 26 Brighton South Kensington (IRE)J: Charles Bishop bet365 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good · 14 ran 5th 9/1
15 Oct 26 Brighton Chapel Down (GB)J: Charles Bishop Each Way Extra At bet365 EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 20/1
15 Oct 26 Brighton Danger Alert (GB)J: Taryn Langley Racing Value At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 6th 15/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 6 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 6 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 3 runs (won 2, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · to 27 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Adam Kirby's strike rate?
Adam Kirby has won 24 of 201 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.9% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Adam Kirby in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 11 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Adam Kirby's Fair A/E?
1.04, from 200 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 4 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).