What is Alan Hill's strike rate?

Alan Hill has won 31 of 177 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 17.5% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Alan Hill do best at?

Cheltenham by strike rate: 6 wins from 38 runners (15.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Alan Hill's Fair A/E?

1.07, from 177 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Alan Hill

177 runners in the lifetime window · 65 individual horses

As at 31 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 183 days ago 100% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

31–177

Wins / Runs

17.5%

Strike rate

n=177

59 (33%)

Placed

1.07

Fair A/E

n=177 · 0.93 incl. margin

−53.98

£1 level stake

n=177 at SP · −30.5%

£145k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 18% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.07). New recruits from other yards win at 20% first time out (56 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 177 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 31 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 46.9% when favourite New recruits: 19.6% Sends off the favourite in 18% of races

The read

The yard also reads well in Class 6 (26.2%, n=65) and beyond 3m (21.6%, n=74). The record reads poorly in Class 2 — 2.9% over 34 runners, 14.6pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Man Of Steel (IRE) — 7 wins from 14 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 17.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

16.8%−0.7

n=101 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −25.18

New recruits · first run for the yard

19.6%+2.1

n=56 · A/E 1.47 · £1 −9.95

Debutants · first career start

33.3%+15.8

n=9 · A/E 1.65 · £1 +0.63

First-time headgear · true-first definition

16.7%−0.8

n=12 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −7.52

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

16.7%−0.8

n=6 · A/E 1.36 · £1 −4.00

When favourite

46.9%

n=32 · A/E 1.22 · £1 +1.64

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

15.9%−1.6

n=107 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −32.04

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 17.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Class 2 2.9% vs 17.5% · n=34

In Class 6 26.2% vs 17.5% · n=65

Off a 15-30-day break 8.8% vs 17.5% · n=34

With Miss Izzie Marshall 11.1% vs 17.5% · n=36

Beyond 3m 21.6% vs 17.5% · n=74

With Mr Joe Hill 21.3% vs 17.5% · n=47

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Chase 176 31 17.6% −52.98

NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 90 16 17.8% −30.38

Good to Soft 34 6 17.6% −14.37

Soft 27 5 18.5% −2.58

Heavy 15 2 13.3% −5.75

Good to Firm 11 2 18.2% −0.90

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Cheltenham 38 6 15.8% −16.02

Stratford 29 2 6.9% −16.62

Fontwell 19 3 15.8% +1.00

Fakenham 12 4 33.3% −1.71

Aintree 10 0 0% −10.00

Leicester 10 2 20% −1.75

Folkestone 8 5 62.5% +8.35

Cartmel 6 3 50% −0.08

Newbury 6 0 0% −6.00

Warwick 6 1 16.7% −2.00

Huntingdon 5 2 40% +7.25

Ascot 4 0 0% −4.00

Kempton 4 0 0% −4.00

Uttoxeter 3 0 0% −3.00

Wincanton 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 65 17 26.2% +0.49

Class 4 35 7 20% −3.02

Class 2 34 1 2.9% −31.62

Class 5 34 6 17.6% −10.83

Class 3 9 0 0% −9.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 32 15 46.9% 1.22 +1.64

2nd–3rd fav 63 13 20.6% 1.04 −3.62

4th–6th fav 49 3 6.1% 0.86 −19.00

7th+ in betting 33 0 0% 0.00 −33.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

71% completed · 176 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 176 71% 12 7 31 1 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Man Of Steel (IRE)from Peter Bowen · then Lawney Hill 14 7 7 29 May 19

Start Royal (FR)from Ferdy Murphy 10 2 5 14 May 15

Broken Eagle (USA)from Seamus Durack 7 1 2 9 Jun 17

Harbour Court (GB) 7 3 3 29 Apr 15

Changeofluck (IRE)from Lawney Hill 6 0 2 31 May 19

Supreme Danehill (IRE)from Gordon Edwards · then Lawney Hill 6 1 2 4 May 18

Dante's Storm (GB)from P York 6 2 4 14 May 14

Back Bar (IRE)from Gordon Elliott 5 1 1 31 May 24

Reikers Island (IRE)from Lawney Hill 5 1 2 11 Apr 24

Getting Closer (IRE) 5 0 3 28 Feb 23

Ravethebrave (IRE)from Alan King 5 1 2 14 Mar 14

Bell Rock (GB)from Lawney Hill · then Lawney Hill 5 1 1 27 Mar 09

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 65 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 52 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Lawney Hill (13) and Philip Hobbs (4); 8 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for Lawney Hill (16); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

25244112413······

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderMr Joe Hill

27% of all rides
21.3% SR · A/E 1.19

RiderRWSR£1

Mr Joe Hill 47 10 21.3% −5.09

Miss Izzie Marshall 36 4 11.1% −15.62

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

Archived wins

£150k

Prize money

2017

Best season · 6 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Harbour Court (GB) — pointtopoint.co.uk Champion Novices' Hunters' Chase (For The John Corbet Cup) Stratford · Jun 2013 · Class 2

£11,992

Quinz (FR) — Bonhams Men's Open Point-to-point Championship Final Hunters' Chase Cheltenham · Apr 2015 · Class 4

£4,679

Bon Accord (GB) — Hiscox Intermediate Hunters' Chase Cheltenham · May 2007 · Class 4

£4,372

Notable horses

Man Of Steel (IRE) Harbour Court (GB) Start Royal (FR) Dante's Storm (GB) Mid Div And Creep (GB) Broken Eagle (USA)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Craigsteel (GB) 50% · 7–14

Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,393 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 291. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.9% from 763.

Gold Well (GB) 10% · 1–10

Progeny have won 12.2% of 5,648 runs since 2008 (363 horses).

Starborough (GB) 20% · 2–10

Progeny have won 9.3% of 475 runs since 2008 (57 horses). Strongest on Good going: 15.2% from 145.

Indian Danehill (IRE) 22.2% · 2–9

Progeny have won 8.6% of 2,742 runs since 2008 (216 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 11.9% from 143.

King's Theatre (IRE) 0% · 0–8

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Broken Vow (USA) 14.3% · 1–7

Progeny have won 9.8% of 234 runs since 2008 (21 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 31 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 183 · newest first

The latest 50 of 183 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 March 2006 to 1 May 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

01 May 26 Warwick The Dancing Tree (IRE)J: Mr James King Pertemps Network Intermediate Point-To-Point Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 25.5f · Good · 6 ran PU 3/1

01 May 26 Warwick Tellmesomethingood (IRE)J: Mr Huw Edwards Pertemps Network Intermediate Point-To-Point Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 25.5f · Good · 6 ran PU 22/1

13 Mar 26 Fakenham Coolagh Park (GB)J: Mr Huw Edwards Pointing Pointers Queen's Cup 'Grassroots' Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 4 ran F 14/1

30 May 25 Stratford Learntalot (IRE)J: Mrs Izzie Hill Pertemps Network Stratford Foxhunters Champion Hunters' Chase (The 66th Running For the Horse and Hound Cup)Class 2 · 27.5f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 22/1

30 May 25 Stratford Coolagh Park (GB)J: Mrs Izzie Hill pointtopoint.co.uk Champion Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 2 · 27.5f · Good · 10 ran PU 40/1

20 May 25 Huntingdon Coolagh Park (GB)J: Mrs Izzie Hill PricedUp Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 3 ran 2nd 11/8

02 May 25 Cheltenham Amrons Sage (IRE)J: Mrs Izzie Hill Brooklands Watches Golden Miller Chronograph Open Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 32.5f · Good · 18 ran 5th 25/1

02 May 25 Cheltenham Learntalot (IRE)J: Mrs Izzie Hill Junior Jumpers Open Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 25.5f · Good · 6 ran 4th 12/1

03 Apr 25 Aintree Senior Citizen (GB)J: Mr Joshua Newman Randox Foxhunters' Open Hunters' ChaseClass 2 · 21f · Good To Soft · 29 ran 14th 66/1

10 Mar 25 Stratford Caldwell Diamond (FR)J: Mrs Izzie Hill DragonBet Proud Sponsors Of Stratford Raceday Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good To Soft · 8 ran PU 11/2

06 Feb 25 Ffos Las Caldwell Diamond (FR)J: Mrs Izzie Hill dragonbet.co.uk Open Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 21.5f · Heavy · 7 ran UR 11/1

31 May 24 Stratford Back Bar (IRE)J: Mrs Izzie Hill Peter Wright Over And Out Handicap Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 21f · Good · 8 ran 7th 16/1

31 May 24 Stratford Learntalot (IRE)J: Mrs Izzie Hill Jumping For Fun 'Restricted Point-To-Point' Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 22.5f · Good · 8 ran 1st 9/1

03 May 24 Cheltenham Coolagh Park (GB)J: Mrs Izzie Hill Holland Cooper Intermediate Point-To-Point Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 26f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 16/1

11 Apr 24 Aintree Reikers Island (IRE)J: Mr Daniel Cherriman Randox Foxhunters' Open Hunters' Chase (National Course)Class 2 · 21f · Heavy · 22 ran PU 150/1

02 Jun 23 Stratford Urban Grit (IRE)J: Mrs Izzie Hill Grace & Dotty 'Restricted Point-To-Point' Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 22.5f · Good · 10 ran F 14/1

02 Jun 23 Stratford I K Brunel (GB)J: Mrs Izzie Hill White Swan Hotel Handicap Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 21f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 85/40

02 Jun 23 Stratford Normofthenorth (IRE)J: Miss Izzie Marshall Royal Equestrian Racing Club Ladies Open Championship Final Hunters' ChaseClass 3 · 22.5f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 8/1

05 May 23 Cheltenham Polydora (IRE)J: Mr Harry Myddelton INEOS Grenadier Mixed Open Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 26.5f · Good · 7 ran PU 40/1

13 Apr 23 Aintree I K Brunel (GB)J: Mrs Izzie Hill Randox Foxhunters' Open Hunters' Chase (National Course)Class 2 · 21f · Good To Soft · 27 ran BD 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Alan Hill's strike rate?: Alan Hill has won 31 of 177 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 17.5% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Alan Hill do best at?: Cheltenham by strike rate: 6 wins from 38 runners (15.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Alan Hill's Fair A/E?: 1.07, from 177 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.