Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sends out around 10 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.64).
Deterministic profile computed from 267 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 3 Nov 2026
KTB at a glanceFresh horses: 4.6%Jonathan Nattiez: 11.5% from 61
The read
The record is strongest at Auteuil (FR) (8%, n=87), clear of the yard's 4.1% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 0% (n=31, Fair A/E 0.00). Jonathan Nattiez rides 23% of the entries and beats the yard's average (11.5% vs 4.1%, A/E 1.55) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Heavy going (8.6%, n=70) and off a 31-60-day break (8.3%, n=48). The record reads poorly on Standard (AW) going — 0% over 44 runners, 4.1pts below the baseline. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Renaud Du Vivier at Auteuil (FR) (Nov 2011, £104,741).
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.6%+0.5
n=87 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −41.20
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.1
n=31 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −29.00
Debutants · first career start
4.3%+0.2
n=23 · A/E 1.44 · £1 −13.40
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.1
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.1
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
When favourite
9.1%
n=11 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −7.70
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−4.1
n=68 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −66.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
12.5%+8.4
n=24 · A/E 1.57 · £1 +18.50
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
With Jonathan Nattiez11.5% vs 4.1% · n=61
On Heavy going8.6% vs 4.1% · n=70
At Auteuil (FR)8% vs 4.1% · n=87
With claiming riders up0% vs 4.1% · n=68
Off a 31-60-day break8.3% vs 4.1% · n=48
On Standard (AW) going0% vs 4.1% · n=44
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat12521.6%−101.50
Hurdle12086.7%−17.80
Chase2214.5%−2.10
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Soft10532.9%−91.50
Heavy7068.6%+38.60
Standard (AW)4400%−44.00
Good2613.8%−11.10
Good to Soft2114.8%−12.40
Good to Firm100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Auteuil (FR)8778%+1.20
Enghien (FR)4612.2%−30.10
Chantilly (FR)3500%−35.00
Saint-Cloud (FR)3300%−33.00
Maisons-Laffitte (FR)2314.3%−14.40
Deauville (FR)1700%−17.00
Longchamp (FR)1317.7%+1.90
Compiegne600%−6.00
Clairefontaine3133.3%+15.00
Nancy100%−1.00
Fontainebleau (FR)100%−1.00
Cagnes-Sur-Mer100%−1.00
Vichy (FR)100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 124312.5%+18.50
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite1119.1%0.52−7.70
2nd–3rd fav2627.7%0.31−1.50
4th–6th fav4124.9%0.69−15.40
7th+ in betting18042.2%0.88−96.80
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f13696.6%−13.90
1m2f – 1m4f7111.4%−62.40
1m5f – 2m2913.4%−14.10
1m – 1m1f2200%−22.00
6f – 7f700%−7.00
2m5f – 3m100%−1.00
Under 6f100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2008500%—
20094250%—
20102100%−21.00
20112926.9%−5.50
20123313%−29.70
201318211.1%+16.30
201417211.8%+35.00
20151600%−16.00
2016900%−9.00
20171800%−18.00
20185311.9%−44.40
20192813.6%−13.10
2020700%−7.00
2021800%−8.00
2022100%−1.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps13264.5%−68.90
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
14-16 runners9411.1%−79.10
11-13 runners6657.6%+16.30
17+ runners6511.5%−57.50
8-10 runners2700%−27.00
2-4 runners8112.5%+15.00
5-7 runners7342.9%+10.90
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 53 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 53 horses listed, 30 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Mme C Predignac (2) and Mme G Rarick (2); 23 had their first archived run for this yard.
18 have since run for another yard, most often for Brian Beaunez (6); 35 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
08328417173030
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
13
Archived wins
3
Pattern / graded wins
£659k
Prize money
2014
Best season · 2 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Grand D'Auteuil (FR) — Prix Renaud Du Vivier (Grande Course De Haies Des 4 Ans) (Hurdle) (4yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Nov 2011 · Grade 1
£104,741
Cayo De Pail (FR) — Prix RMC (Grande Course de Haies - Prix Guillaume DOrnano) (Listed Handicap Hurdle) Clairefontaine · Aug 2014 · Listed
£39,375
Grand D'Auteuil (FR) — Prix Alain Et Gilles De Goulaine (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (4yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Sep 2011 · Listed
Progeny have won 13.2% of 1,601 runs since 2008 (162 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 18.3% from 377.
Great Pretender (IRE)15% · 3–20
Progeny have won 13% of 3,549 runs since 2010 (410 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.5% from 728. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.6% from 151.
Progeny have won 8.6% of 1,984 runs since 2014 (190 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.2% from 672. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.3% from 266. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.3% from 565.
Bertolini (USA)6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).
Saint Des Saints (FR)0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 15% of 5,356 runs since 2008 (643 horses).
Progeny have won 8.4% of 238 runs since 2010 (22 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 274 · newest first
The latest 50 of 274 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 September 2005 to 26 January 2022.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Bernard Beaunez's strike rate?
Bernard Beaunez has won 11 of 267 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.1% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Bernard Beaunez do best at?
Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 7 wins from 87 runners (8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Bernard Beaunez?
Jonathan Nattiez, with 61 runners since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (11.5%).
What is Bernard Beaunez's Fair A/E?
0.64, from 254 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Bernard Beaunez·SR 4.1%·A/E 0.64
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