What is Chris Down's strike rate?

Chris Down has won 145 of 1,963 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Chris Down do best at?

Stratford by strike rate: 9 wins from 80 runners (11.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Chris Down?

James Davies, with 641 runners since 2008 — 33% of the total. That pairing has won 48 (7.5%).

What is Chris Down's Fair A/E?

1.02, from 1,961 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Chris Down

1,963 runners in the lifetime window · 211 individual horses

As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 303 days ago 94% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

145–1,963

Wins / Runs

7.4%

Strike rate

n=1,963

454 (23%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=1,961 · 0.87 incl. margin

−543.37

£1 level stake

n=1,963 at SP · −27.7%

£1.06m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 100 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.02).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,963 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–May 26.5% when favourite James Davies: 7.5% from 641 Sends off the favourite in 4% of races

The read

It is weakest at Hereford (2% over 51 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 2% (n=100, Fair A/E 0.72). James Davies rides 33% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.5%, A/E 1.09) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (21.4%, n=42). The record reads poorly in NH Flat races — 1.4% over 146 runners, 6pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the John Smith's HBLB TBA Mares' Standard Open NH Flat at Aintree (Apr 2006, £17,106). The stable star of the record: Opening Bid (GB) — 10 wins from 41 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.5%−2.9

n=447 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −166.12

New recruits · first run for the yard

4.2%−3.2

n=95 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −32.87

Debutants · first career start

2%−5.4

n=100 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −70.75

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.7%−2.7

n=85 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −20.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

4.9%−2.5

n=61 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −41.50

When favourite

26.5%

n=83 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −21.66

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.9%−0.5

n=754 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −299.78

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.4

n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 21.4% vs 7.4% · n=42

With Bryan Carver 14.4% vs 7.4% · n=111

In NH Flat races 1.4% vs 7.4% · n=146

With debutants 2% vs 7.4% · n=100

With David Noonan 1.8% vs 7.4% · n=57

At Hereford 2% vs 7.4% · n=51

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,384 104 7.5% −285.10

Chase 316 32 10.1% −108.52

NH Flat 146 2 1.4% −133.00

Flat 117 7 6% −16.75

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 757 63 8.3% −221.88

Good to Soft 410 24 5.9% −97.40

Soft 364 15 4.1% −178.62

Good to Firm 215 23 10.7% −58.05

Heavy 146 15 10.3% +1.33

Standard (AW) 64 5 7.8% +18.25

Firm 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Exeter 387 34 8.8% −86.58

Newton Abbot 257 20 7.8% −132.42

Taunton 250 18 7.2% −78.00

Wincanton 193 18 9.3% +50.60

Chepstow 128 10 7.8% −4.38

Worcester 107 5 4.7% −74.00

Warwick 86 5 5.8% −48.92

Stratford 80 9 11.3% −13.50

Uttoxeter 54 4 7.4% −9.50

Hereford 51 1 2% −42.00

Ludlow 45 3 6.7% −32.00

Kempton (AW) 40 2 5% −16.00

Kempton 33 2 6.1% −19.00

Newbury 25 0 0% −25.00

Huntingdon 23 3 13% +26.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 928 72 7.8% −212.60

Class 5 659 50 7.6% −162.57

Class 3 227 16 7% −105.45

Class 6 107 6 5.6% −26.75

Class 2 27 1 3.7% −21.00

Class 1 15 0 0% −15.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 100 25 25% 0.92 −25.16

2nd–3rd fav 298 54 18.1% 1.17 −1.71

4th–6th fav 582 43 7.4% 1.02 −153.50

7th+ in betting 983 23 2.3% 0.84 −363.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 744 57 7.7% −248.17

1m5f – 2m 543 41 7.6% −117.32

2m5f – 3m 525 37 7% −128.25

Over 3m 61 6 9.8% −24.88

1m2f – 1m4f 48 3 6.3% +14.00

1m – 1m1f 21 0 0% −21.00

6f – 7f 19 1 5.3% −15.75

Under 6f 2 0 0% −2.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 126 5 4% −67.50

2009 138 12 8.7% +30.50

2010 169 9 5.3% −77.75

2011 132 6 4.5% −84.25

2012 80 6 7.5% +31.00

2013 130 10 7.7% −16.12

2014 129 11 8.5% −12.00

2015 148 14 9.5% −6.75

2016 108 6 5.6% −75.67

2017 91 11 12.1% +5.60

2018 82 8 9.8% −25.00

2019 89 6 6.7% −38.62

2020 64 3 4.7% −43.00

2021 130 10 7.7% −35.17

2022 99 8 8.1% −57.25

2023 72 9 12.5% +8.58

2024 111 6 5.4% −28.08

2025 65 5 7.7% −51.89

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,324 118 8.9% −230.82

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

11-13 runners 594 34 5.7% −179.28

8-10 runners 560 44 7.9% −123.50

14-16 runners 402 17 4.2% −161.25

5-7 runners 273 37 13.6% −47.04

17+ runners 103 4 3.9% −47.75

2-4 runners 31 9 29% +15.45

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

82.5% completed · 1,700 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 316 72.2% 17 7 61 1 2

Hurdle 1,384 84.9% 26 18 160 4 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Ladies Dancing (GB)from Jamie Osborne 68 5 22 10 Oct 19

Dragon's Den (IRE)from David Wachman · then Jackie Du Plessis 44 6 12 23 Sep 16

Culm Counsellor (GB) 42 4 10 9 Oct 19

Opening Bid (GB)then Joe Tizzard 41 10 17 14 May 25

Billy My Boy (GB) 41 4 20 25 Jun 19

Frozen Over (GB)from Stuart Kittow 40 4 14 11 Oct 17

Thedeboftheyear (GB) 40 5 12 24 Jun 14

Fat Sam (GB)from Gary Moore · then David Dennis 35 5 13 21 Aug 25

Starlit Night (GB)from Roger Charlton 31 1 3 21 Nov 19

Key To Milan (GB) 31 3 8 20 Aug 16

Miss Marette (GB) 29 1 3 22 May 25

Max Forte (IRE) 28 2 8 11 Nov 20

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 211 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 12 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 29 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Rod Millman (5); 31 had their first archived run for this yard.

15 have since run for another yard, most often for Jackie Du Plessis (2); 45 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

49910987961035

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJames Davies

33% of all rides
7.5% SR · A/E 1.09

RiderRWSR£1

James Davies 641 48 7.5% +15.08

Chris Honour 196 10 5.1% −86.00

Giles Hawkins 121 9 7.4% −37.50

Bryan Carver 111 16 14.4% −42.75

Page Fuller 93 10 10.8% −7.90

Danny Burton 73 5 6.8% −11.50

David Noonan 57 1 1.8% −45.00

Ciaran Gethings 45 4 8.9% −17.17

Kieron Edgar 42 1 2.4% −34.50

Liam Heard 38 1 2.6% −32.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

168

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.26m

Prize money

2015

Best season · 14 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Rhacophorus (GB) — John Smith's HBLB TBA Mares' Standard Open NH Flat (Listed) Aintree · Apr 2006 · Listed

£17,106

Beau Supreme (IRE) — Forbra Handicap Chase Ludlow · Mar 2005 · Class 3

£13,624

Sir Harry Ormesher (GB) — Caravan Club Centenary Introductory Hurdle Uttoxeter · Nov 2007 · Class 2

£12,676

Notable horses

Opening Bid (GB) Dragon's Den (IRE) Ladies Dancing (GB) Thedeboftheyear (GB) Fat Sam (GB) Culm Counsellor (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Sir Harry Lewis (USA) 9.9% · 10–101

Progeny have won 11.8% of 2,425 runs since 2008 (190 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.3% from 306.

Royal Applause (GB) 6.6% · 5–76

Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.

Iceman (GB) 11.7% · 7–60

Progeny have won 8.1% of 2,215 runs since 2008 (119 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 12.1% from 206. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 4.4% from 137.

Fleetwood (IRE) 5.9% · 3–51

Progeny have won 10% of 617 runs since 2008 (72 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 14.5% from 159. Weakest on Good going: 6.7% from 164. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.3% from 159.

Erhaab (USA) 8.3% · 4–48

Progeny have won 8% of 1,060 runs since 2008 (86 horses).

Antonius Pius (USA) 13.6% · 6–44

Progeny have won 8.1% of 3,236 runs since 2008 (195 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 5% from 339.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,398 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,398 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 30 December 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Dec 25 Taunton Blazing Litten (GB)J: Bryan Carver Boyle Sports Best Odds Guaranteed Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19f · Good · 13 ran 10th 150/1

18 Dec 25 Exeter Blazing Litten (GB)J: James Davies Pricedup.Bet Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 7th 100/1

11 Dec 25 Taunton Merry Monty (GB)J: Bryan Carver Sandals Resorts Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 18f · Good · 9 ran 4th 13/2

06 Dec 25 Chepstow Winters Hill (GB)J: James Davies Coral Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 100/1

05 Dec 25 Exeter Topsham Tide (IRE)J: James Davies Ludo Sports & Live Lounge Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Soft · 15 ran 10th 125/1

05 Dec 25 Exeter Reel Orange (IRE)J: James Davies JCB Hydradig Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Soft · 14 ran 11th 33/1

27 Nov 25 Uttoxeter Merry Monty (GB)J: Freddie Gordon Signs 2000 Conditional Jockeys' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Soft · 6 ran 6th 3/1

24 Nov 25 Kempton Modern Style (GB)J: Bryan Carver Live Racing Streaming At CopyBet Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran PU 250/1

24 Nov 25 Kempton Praying For Time (IRE)J: Sean Houlihan Live Racing Streaming At CopyBet Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran PU 400/1

20 Nov 25 Wincanton Amhranai (IRE)J: James Davies Download The PricedUp App 'Junior' NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 15f · Good · 12 ran 11th 125/1

20 Nov 25 Wincanton Cinq Douzaine (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley pricedup.bet Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 15f · Good · 7 ran 7th 125/1

11 Nov 25 Hereford Praying For Time (IRE)J: Sean Houlihan BetWright Bangers N'Cash Fillies' Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 6th 150/1

06 Nov 25 Ludlow Modern Style (GB)J: James Davies Ace ATV Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 33/1

31 Oct 25 Uttoxeter Merry Monty (GB)J: Bryan Carver QuinnBet Daily Free Bet Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 3rd 20/1

30 Oct 25 Stratford Amhranai (IRE)J: James Davies Charlotte Cole And Becky Rowland Memorial Fillies' 'Junior' NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 13th 100/1

22 Oct 25 Worcester Reel Orange (IRE)J: James Davies PJ Nicholls KGM Korea Genuinely Made Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 9th 33/1

29 Aug 25 Salisbury Praying For Time (IRE)J: Gina Mangan Kingsclere 'Sally Hits 90' HandicapClass 5 · 14f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 13th 125/1

21 Aug 25 Newton Abbot Fat Sam (GB)J: James Davies Thank You To All Our Armed Forces Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21f · Good · 7 ran 6th 9/1

24 Jul 25 Worcester Fat Sam (GB)J: James Davies Pershore Hire Centre Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 4th 15/2

20 Jul 25 Newton Abbot Impecunious (IRE)J: Bryan Carver Brendon Soper Memorial Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 26.5f · Good · 7 ran 1st 13/8F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Chris Down's strike rate?: Chris Down has won 145 of 1,963 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Chris Down do best at?: Stratford by strike rate: 9 wins from 80 runners (11.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Chris Down?: James Davies, with 641 runners since 2008 — 33% of the total. That pairing has won 48 (7.5%).
What is Chris Down's Fair A/E?: 1.02, from 1,961 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.