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Trainer profile

Daisy Hitchins

332 runners in the lifetime window · 43 individual horses
As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner yesterday
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2024→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
30–332
Wins / Runs
9%
Strike rate
n=332
105 (32%)
Placed
0.94
Fair A/E
n=331 · 0.84 incl. margin
−94.51
£1 level stake
n=332 at SP · −28.5%
£324k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
10.4%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94). With a claiming rider up the record reads 12% (203 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 332 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Mr Robbie David: 13.7% from 131 Claiming riders: 11.8%
The read

The record is strongest at Stratford (16.1%, n=31), clear of the yard's 9% baseline. Mr Robbie David rides 39% of the entries and edges the yard's average (13.7% vs 9%, A/E 1.10) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Soft going (14.7%, n=34) and on Good to Soft going (13.5%, n=52).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.3%−1.7
n=41 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −23.25
New recruits · first run for the yard
7.7%−1.3
n=26 · A/E 1.64 · £1 +3.75
Debutants · first career start
0%−9.0
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−9.0
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−9.0
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
When favourite
30.4%
n=23 · A/E 1.06 · £1 +1.24
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
11.8%+2.8
n=203 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −8.76
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−9.0
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Stratford 16.1% vs 9% · n=31
With Mr Robbie David 13.7% vs 9% · n=131
On Soft going 14.7% vs 9% · n=34
On Good to Soft going 13.5% vs 9% · n=52
With Harry Reed 5% vs 9% · n=80
With a new jockey booking 5.2% vs 9% · n=97
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 28.7% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 170 15 8.8% −39.95
Flat 86 8 9.3% −20.25
Chase 61 7 11.5% −19.31
NH Flat 15 0 0% −15.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 154 11 7.1% −85.70
Good to Soft 52 7 13.5% +48.50
Standard (AW) 43 4 9.3% −11.75
Soft 34 5 14.7% −16.31
Good to Firm 30 2 6.7% −20.25
Heavy 15 1 6.7% −5.00
Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newton Abbot 46 4 8.7% −25.45
Stratford 31 5 16.1% −3.00
Wincanton 26 3 11.5% +15.00
Exeter 24 2 8.3% −16.25
Taunton 24 1 4.2% −18.50
Worcester 21 1 4.8% −6.00
Bath 19 2 10.5% −4.50
Lingfield (AW) 14 3 21.4% +5.25
Fontwell 12 1 8.3% +14.00
Kempton (AW) 12 0 0% −12.00
Newbury 10 0 0% −10.00
Southwell 9 1 11.1% −7.56
Lingfield 9 0 0% −9.00
Huntingdon 9 0 0% −9.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 153 17 11.1% −0.31
Class 4 128 9 7% −79.20
Class 6 23 3 13% +4.00
Class 3 16 1 6.3% −7.00
Class 2 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 26 7 26.9% 0.98 −1.76
2nd–3rd fav 69 10 14.5% 0.75 −21.25
4th–6th fav 121 9 7.4% 1.05 −34.50
7th+ in betting 116 4 3.4% 1.28 −37.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
88.3% completed · 231 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 61 86.9% 2 2 4 0 0
Hurdle 170 88.8% 6 3 8 0 2
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Toolatetonegotiate (GB) 34 4 18 7 Nov 26
Begin The Luck (IRE)from Brian Barr 34 4 16 3 Nov 26
Kitty Foyle (IRE)from Jack Jones 21 3 9 24 Oct 26
Coconut Twist (IRE)from Brian Barr 21 4 11 17 Oct 26
Chicago Storm (GB)from Chris Timmons · then Barry Murtagh 17 3 5 19 Apr 26
Teorie (IRE)from Alan King · then James Owen 14 0 2 17 Apr 26
No Way Pedro (IRE)from Brian Barr 13 2 3 3 Nov 24
Sea Thrift (IRE) 12 3 7 5 Apr 26
Broomfield Gale (IRE)from Robert Murphy 12 2 4 12 Feb 26
As Fast As Wind (IRE)from Eoin Doyle · then Tristan Davidson 11 2 3 2 Nov 25
Far Away West (IRE)from Josh Halley · then Dan Skelton 11 0 2 31 Oct 24
Pak Army (IRE)from Brian Barr 10 1 4 3 Nov 24
All 43 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 43 horses listed, 26 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Brian Barr (5) and Eoin Doyle (2); 17 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard; 36 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 7
Only 7 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
31715814338101109
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMr Robbie David
39% of all rides
13.7% SR · A/E 1.10
RiderRWSR£1
Mr Robbie David 131 18 13.7% +12.99
Harry Reed 80 4 5% −52.25
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→
30
Archived wins
£324k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 12 wins
Kitty Foyle (IRE) — William Hill Extra Place Races Handicap Goodwood · Aug 2024 · Class 4
£10,643
Intellotto (IRE) — Konsileo Local Award Winning Commercial Insurer Handicap Hurdle Race Newton Abbot · Oct 2026 · Class 3
£7,922
Begin The Luck (IRE) — PricedUp Daily Racing Boosts Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Wincanton · Dec 2025 · Class 4
£6,503
Notable horses
Toolatetonegotiate (GB) Begin The Luck (IRE) Coconut Twist (IRE) Kitty Foyle (IRE) Chicago Storm (GB) Sea Thrift (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Teofilo (IRE) 7.3% · 3–41
Progeny have won 12.5% of 10,088 runs since 2011 (908 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7% from 626.
Havana Grey (GB) 11.8% · 4–34
Progeny have won 13.2% of 4,611 runs since 2022 (420 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.2% from 105. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 9.9% from 424.
Le Fou (IRE) 11.8% · 4–34
Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,418 runs since 2010 (137 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 12.1% from 239.
Shantou (USA) 19% · 4–21
Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,841 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.
Dabirsim (FR) 17.6% · 3–17
Progeny have won 7.4% of 4,170 runs since 2017 (448 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 257. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 209. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.7% from 146.
Kalanisi (IRE) 15.4% · 2–13
Progeny have won 10.5% of 6,751 runs since 2008 (648 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 355.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 332 · newest first

The latest 50 of 332 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 17 March 2024 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
07 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Toolatetonegotiate (GB)J: Millie Wonnacott Create Your Bet Builders At Midnite Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 11/1
07 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Master Dandy (IRE)J: Millie Wonnacott Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 20/1
03 Nov 26 Lingfield Begin The Luck (IRE)J: Robbie David attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 9 ran 6th 10/1
03 Nov 26 Lingfield Powerful Act (GB)J: Harry Reed Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Open Maiden National Hunt Flat Race (Category 3 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran 2nd 11/2
29 Oct 26 Stratford Royal Salamah (GB)J: Robbie David Charlotte Cole And Becky Rowland Memorial Fillies' "Junior" National Hunt Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 12/1
29 Oct 26 Stratford Black Dakota (IRE)J: Robbie David Blaze A Trail Stratford Hat-Trick Hero Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 5th 9/2J
26 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Pete's Sake (GB)J: Ben Ffrench Davis Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 12f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 9th 125/1
24 Oct 26 Cheltenham Kitty Foyle (IRE)J: Robbie David Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Race (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24f · Good · 19 ran 3rd 16/1
17 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Coconut Twist (IRE)J: Robbie David 1st Office Print And It Solutions Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 21.5f · Good · 6 ran 5th 10/1
17 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Intellotto (IRE)J: Robbie David Konsileo Local Award Winning Commercial Insurer Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 17f · Good · 7 ran 1st 8/1
17 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Danza Kuduro (IRE)J: Robbie David British Stallion Studs Ebf 'national Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 14/1
09 Oct 26 Chepstow Coconut Twist (IRE)J: Robbie David Dragonbet Daily Dragonboosts Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 10th 66/1
03 Oct 26 Fontwell Begin The Luck (IRE)J: Ben Godfrey Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17.5f · Good · 8 ran 7th 28/1
03 Oct 26 Fontwell Black Dakota (IRE)J: Robbie David Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17.5f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 12/1
29 Sep 26 Bath Toolatetonegotiate (GB)J: Millie Wonnacott Sw Hire Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 3rd 6/1
28 Sep 26 Newton Abbot Princess Of Ballea (IRE)J: Harry Reed Final Furlong Before "i Do" Selling Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 17f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 22/1
18 Sep 26 Newton Abbot Begin The Luck (IRE)J: Robbie David Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Finale Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 17f · Good · 11 ran 8th 40/1
18 Sep 26 Newton Abbot Black Dakota (IRE)J: Robbie David Edmundson Electrical Cabletec Plymouth Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 21.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 9/1
14 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Master Dandy (IRE)J: Millie Wonnacott Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 4th 14/1
10 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Ethereal Charm (IRE)J: Millie Wonnacott Get Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 7 Nov 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · to 7 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Daisy Hitchins's strike rate?
Daisy Hitchins has won 30 of 332 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Daisy Hitchins do best at?
Stratford by strike rate: 5 wins from 31 runners (16.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Daisy Hitchins?
Mr Robbie David, with 131 runners since 2008 — 39% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (13.7%).
Is Daisy Hitchins in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Daisy Hitchins's Fair A/E?
0.94, from 331 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 8 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).