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Trainer profile

David A Kiely

204 runners in the lifetime window · 37 individual horses
As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
6–204
Wins / Runs
2.9%
Strike rate
n=204
37 (18%)
Placed
0.52
Fair A/E
n=204 · 0.39 incl. margin
−124.25
£1 level stake
n=204 at SP · −60.9%
£94,754
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.52). Debutants are a strength: 7% on first career starts (31 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 204 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 7 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 4.2%
The read

Debutants strike at 6.5% (n=31, Fair A/E 1.92). The market has consistently overbet the yard on Good going: Fair A/E 0.00 across 70 runners (0% strike, −70.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.3%−0.6
n=43 · A/E 0.43 · £1 −2.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.9
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
6.5%+3.6
n=31 · A/E 1.92 · £1 −5.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.9
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.9
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=6 · A/E 1.31 · £1 −0.75
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.2%+1.3
n=119 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −41.75
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.9
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With debutants 6.5% vs 2.9% · n=31
On Good going 0% vs 2.9% · n=70
Over 1m5f – 2m 5.4% vs 2.9% · n=93
Off a 31-60-day break 0% vs 2.9% · n=34
In Chase races 0% vs 2.9% · n=31
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 1.2% vs 2.9% · n=84 · A/E 0.22
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 111 4 3.6% −57.25
NH Flat 38 1 2.6% −27.00
Chase 31 0 0% −31.00
Flat 24 1 4.2% −9.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 70 0 0% −70.00
Soft 56 2 3.6% −7.50
Heavy 27 3 11.1% −10.75
Good to Firm 26 1 3.8% −11.00
Good to Soft 18 0 0% −18.00
Firm 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Clonmel 27 0 0% −27.00
Tramore 24 0 0% −24.00
Cork 19 0 0% −19.00
Killarney 19 0 0% −19.00
Tipperary 16 1 6.3% +25.00
Limerick 16 2 12.5% +2.50
Punchestown 13 0 0% −13.00
Listowel 12 1 8.3% −9.25
Kilbeggan 11 1 9.1% −8.50
Wexford 11 0 0% −11.00
Wexford 11 0 0% −11.00
Thurles 6 0 0% −6.00
Gowran Park 5 1 20% +10.00
Fairyhouse 4 0 0% −4.00
Downpatrick 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 6 2 33.3% 1.31 −0.75
2nd–3rd fav 27 1 3.7% 0.30 −19.50
4th–6th fav 52 2 3.8% 0.60 −26.00
7th+ in betting 119 1 0.8% 0.30 −78.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
84.5% completed · 142 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 31 71% 5 1 2 1 0
Hurdle 111 88.3% 3 0 9 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Finisk Rose (IRE)then Evan Williams 21 1 3 14 May 11
Seenya (IRE) 16 1 8 7 Jun 12
Our Symphony (IRE) 16 0 5 18 Sep 10
Campanile (GB)from James Fanshawe · then Evan Williams 13 1 5 19 Sep 09
Hill Of Dyrick (IRE)then Linda Blackford 12 0 2 21 Jul 11
Goldwin Magic (FR) 10 0 2 3 Sep 22
Baskerville (GB)from Peter Chapple-Hyam · then Lisa Williamson 10 1 3 12 Oct 08
Champions Hill (IRE) 9 0 1 18 Jul 21
Around The Pound (IRE) 8 0 1 28 Sep 17
Victorum (IRE) 8 0 0 18 Jun 17
Jiving Jerry (IRE)then James M Barcoe 7 0 0 21 Nov 19
She Ranks Me (IRE)then Donald McCain 7 0 0 20 May 12
All 37 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 37 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John E Kiely (2); 31 had their first archived run for this yard.

17 have since run for another yard, most often for Donald McCain (3) and Evan Williams (2); 20 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0017533340000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Mr K H Clarke 20 1 5% −17.25
Sean Flanagan 18 1 5.6% −10.50
R Walsh 11 1 9.1% −8.50
Tom Doyle 11 0 0% −11.00
Ms K Walsh 9 0 0% −9.00
Jody McGarvey 8 0 0% −8.00
Patrick Mangan 8 0 0% −8.00
Ian McCarthy 8 0 0% −8.00
D G Hogan 8 1 12.5% +33.00
Ambrose McCurtin 7 0 0% −7.00
Liam McKenna 6 0 0% −6.00
Paul Townend 5 0 0% −5.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
14
Archived wins
£221k
Prize money
2005
Best season · 6 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Karlo (IRE) — Max Premium Irish Dog Food Handicap Chase (0-123) Kilbeggan · Sep 2005
£13,997
Karlo (IRE) — Kieran Kelly Memorial Handicap Chase (0-123) Kilbeggan · Aug 2006
£13,020
Liscooney (IRE) — Clover Hill Hurdle Fairyhouse · Nov 2005
£11,056
Notable horses
Liscooney (IRE) Karlo (IRE) Dalian Dawn (IRE) Finisk Rose (IRE) Campanile (GB) Seenya (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Goldmark (USA) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 8.7% of 606 runs since 2008 (72 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 3.9% from 154. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13% from 138.
Kris Kin (USA) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 7% of 732 runs since 2008 (89 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.8% from 141. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.7% from 219.
Rudimentary (USA) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,114 runs since 2008 (201 horses).
Luso (GB) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 6.7% of 3,516 runs since 2008 (389 horses).
Zilzal (USA) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 9.6% of 531 runs since 2008 (42 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 13.1% from 137.
Foxhound (USA) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 5.5% of 1,106 runs since 2008 (60 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 9.7% from 144. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 8.6% from 360.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 304 · newest first

The latest 50 of 304 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 30 January 2005 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
05 Nov 26 Clonmel (IRE) Distraction (IRE)J: Mr J L Gleeson racingtv.com/freetrial Flat Race16.5f · Good · 12 ran 10th 7/2
26 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Distraction (IRE)J: Mr J L Gleeson Listowel Printing Works Slan Abhaile (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 11/1
23 Jul 26 Wexford (IRE) Distraction (IRE)J: Mr J L Gleeson Save The Date Ladies Day At Wexford Races Friday 7th August Flat Race16.5f · Good · 14 ran 4th 8/1
29 May 26 Tramore Distraction (IRE)J: Miss E Cody August Festival Early Bird Tickets At tramoreraces.ie (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 11 ran 6th 12/1
23 Nov 25 Cork Distraction (IRE)J: Liam McKenna Join Racing TV Now With A Free Trial Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran PU 80/1
07 Aug 24 Wexford Polly Poppins (IRE)J: Tiernan Power Roche Wexford Fillies Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 14 ran 5th 80/1
01 Jun 24 Tramore Itto Boy (FR)J: Gavin Brouder Try Racing TV For Free At racingtv.com/freetrial Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 15 ran 5th 50/1
30 Mar 23 Limerick Sir Dan Dan (IRE)J: Derek Thomas McGrath Supermac's (C & G) Maiden Hurdle21f · Soft · 14 ran 11th 125/1
18 Mar 23 Thurles Sir Dan Dan (IRE)J: Derek Thomas McGrath Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 16 ran 7th 100/1
03 Sep 22 Wexford Goldwin Magic (FR)J: Liam McKenna Download The BoyleSports App Handicap Hurdle (80-102)20.5f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran PU 66/1
15 Jun 22 Wexford Goldwin Magic (FR)J: Miss T Quail Slaney River Ladies Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good · 14 ran PU 50/1
04 Jun 22 Tramore Goldwin Magic (FR)J: Jack Foley Tramore Farmers Market Handicap Hurdle (80-109)21.5f · Yielding · 12 ran PU 50/1
12 May 22 Clonmel Goldwin Magic (FR)J: Shane Fitzgerald Clonmel Racecourse Supporters Club (C & G) Maiden Hurdle19.5f · Good · 14 ran 11th 7/1
18 Jul 21 Tipperary Champions Hill (IRE)J: Jack Foley Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Chase (0-109) (Div 1)22.5f · Yielding · 14 ran PU 13/2
16 Jun 21 Wexford Champions Hill (IRE)J: Jack Foley Tuskar Handicap Chase (0-109)25.5f · Yielding · 11 ran 3rd 11/1
07 Jun 21 Listowel Goldwin Magic (FR)J: Liam McKenna Dr. Louis O'Carroll (Pro/Am) Flat Race20f · Good · 15 ran 7th 20/1
04 Jun 21 Tramore Champions Hill (IRE)J: Richard Condon Tramore Tourism Handicap Chase (0-102)15.5f · Yielding · 13 ran 8th 28/1
10 May 21 Killarney Goldwin Magic (FR)J: Mr P W Mullins KillarneyRaces.ie Flat Race17f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 2nd 12/1
23 Apr 21 Kilbeggan Goldwin Magic (FR)J: Liam McKenna KilbegganRaces.com Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)19.5f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 66/1
06 Dec 20 Cork Goldwin Magic (FR)J: Liam McKenna Charleville Cheese Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)16f · Soft To Heavy · 18 ran 13th 150/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 5 Nov 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 5 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is David A Kiely's strike rate?
David A Kiely has won 6 of 204 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.9% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is David A Kiely in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is David A Kiely's Fair A/E?
0.52, from 204 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 7 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).