Elliott Cooper
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 70 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.16).
Johnny Farrelly rode 28% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.7%, A/E 1.31) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well over 2m5f – 3m (15%, n=60) and in Class 5 (11.8%, n=76). The record read poorly in NH Flat races — 3% over 33 runners, 5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 2m1f – 2m4f: Fair A/E 0.63 across 73 runners (4.1% strike, −55.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. The stable star of the record was Flying Doctor (GB) — 5 wins from 33 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2009→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 224 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 224 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 June 2009 to 18 December 2011.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Elliott Cooper's strike rate?
- Elliott Cooper has won 18 of 224 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Who rides most for Elliott Cooper?
- Johnny Farrelly, with 62 runners since 2008 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (9.7%).
- What is Elliott Cooper's Fair A/E?
- 1.16, from 224 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.