Skip to content
Trainer profile

Garry Caldwell

250 runners in the lifetime window · 59 individual horses
As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 71 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
9–250
Wins / Runs
3.6%
Strike rate
n=250
17 (7%)
Placed
1.09
Fair A/E
n=250 · 0.83 incl. margin
−105.50
£1 level stake
n=250 at SP · −42.2%
£76,920
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 4% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.09).

Deterministic profile computed from 250 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 4%
The read

Debutants struggle at 0% (n=34, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also reads well off a 61-180-day break (7.5%, n=40). The record reads poorly over 2m1f – 2m4f — 0% over 40 runners, 3.6pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4%+0.4
n=75 · A/E 1.55 · £1 +22.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
3.8%+0.2
n=26 · A/E 1.80 · £1 +41.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.6
n=34 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −34.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
3.8%+0.2
n=26 · A/E 2.16 · £1 −9.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.6
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
When favourite
25%
n=4 · A/E 1.42 · £1 −0.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.6%+0.0
n=138 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −37.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−3.6
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 61-180-day break 7.5% vs 3.6% · n=40
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 0% vs 3.6% · n=40
Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 3.6% · n=35
Off a 31-60-day break 0% vs 3.6% · n=35
With debutants 0% vs 3.6% · n=34
Off a 15-30-day break 6.5% vs 3.6% · n=46
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 30.1% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 160 7 4.4% −30.50
Hurdle 59 2 3.4% −44.00
NH Flat 23 0 0% −23.00
Chase 8 0 0% −8.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 79 4 5.1% −54.50
Soft 76 1 1.3% −63.00
Standard (AW) 37 1 2.7% +30.00
Good to Firm 28 2 7.1% +4.00
Heavy 18 1 5.6% −10.00
Good to Soft 12 0 0% −12.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 36 1 2.8% +31.00
Fairyhouse 22 1 4.5% −18.50
Curragh 19 2 10.5% +9.00
Gowran Park 17 1 5.9% +0.00
Leopardstown 14 0 0% −14.00
Naas 14 2 14.3% +0.00
Galway 14 0 0% −14.00
Navan 12 0 0% −12.00
Bellewstown 10 0 0% −10.00
Ballinrobe 10 1 10% −3.00
Sligo 9 0 0% −9.00
Down Royal 8 0 0% −8.00
Roscommon 8 0 0% −8.00
Kilbeggan 7 0 0% −7.00
Downpatrick 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 6 1 16.7% 0.96 −2.50
2nd–3rd fav 13 2 15.4% 1.41 +0.00
4th–6th fav 36 3 8.3% 1.37 −7.00
7th+ in betting 195 3 1.5% 0.84 −96.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Baby Power (IRE) 31 4 7 7 Jul 21
Acari (IRE)then P Cluskey 25 2 5 4 May 21
Mississippi John (IRE)from G M Lyons 17 0 0 22 Sep 17
Take A Chance On R (IRE)then P M Mooney 12 0 0 16 Jul 17
Our Matilda (IRE) 8 0 0 15 Aug 24
Zambezi Tiger (IRE)from Patrick Griffin · then Hugh Burns 8 1 1 8 Jul 17
Xolani (IRE) 7 0 1 4 Aug 13
Destined To Rock (GB)then John C McConnell 6 0 0 16 Nov 22
Market Garden (IRE) 6 0 0 15 Oct 11
Wonder Woman (IRE) 5 0 0 10 Aug 22
Kinch (IRE)from J F Levins 5 0 0 15 Dec 21
Donate (GB) 5 0 0 23 Oct 20
All 59 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 59 horses listed, 25 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from J F Levins (3) and Ian Patrick Donoghue (2); 34 had their first archived run for this yard.

15 have since run for another yard, most often for John C McConnell (2) and P Cluskey (2); 44 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
01417083254000
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Gavin Ryan 19 2 10.5% −9.50
J B Kane 13 0 0% −13.00
Robbie Colgan 13 0 0% −13.00
Chris Timmons 11 0 0% −11.00
Leigh Roche 9 1 11.1% +6.00
Killian Leonard 9 1 11.1% +4.00
Chris Hayes 9 1 11.1% −1.00
Seamie Heffernan 8 0 0% −8.00
Mr J P McKeown 8 1 12.5% −1.00
Ross Coakley 8 1 12.5% +59.00
Dylan Kidd 7 0 0% −7.00
Conor Hoban 6 0 0% −6.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→
9
Archived wins
£76,920
Prize money
2019
Best season · 3 wins
Baby Power (IRE) — Hanlon Concrete Handicap (45-70) Curragh · May 2019
£12,320
Baby Power (IRE) — Dooley Insurance Apprentice Handicap (45-70) Naas · Jul 2019
£7,092
Acari (IRE) — Derek O'Sullivan Memorial Apprentice Handicap (45-70) Curragh · Aug 2019
£6,501
Notable horses
Baby Power (IRE) Acari (IRE) Zambezi Tiger (IRE) Clonsilla Fath (IRE) Stagecoach Mary (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Frozen Power (IRE) 12.9% · 4–31
Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,887 runs since 2015 (132 horses).
High Chaparral (IRE) 8% · 2–25
Progeny have won 10.3% of 8,730 runs since 2008 (682 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 419.
Lawman (FR) 0% · 0–19
Progeny have won 8.9% of 9,429 runs since 2011 (730 horses).
Vinnie Roe (IRE) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 11.3% of 3,061 runs since 2010 (236 horses). Weakest on Good to Firm going: 7.8% from 166.
Dark Angel (IRE) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,953 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Presenting (GB) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 250 · newest first

The latest 50 of 250 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 July 2010 to 29 August 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
29 Aug 26 Curragh (IRE) Cmon Now The View (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce John Ormonde Wexford Sand Irish EBF (C & G) Maiden8f · Good · 13 ran 13th 500/1
12 Jun 26 Fairyhouse Youse Raven Mad (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden12f · Good · 17 ran 17th 200/1
29 May 26 Down Royal Youse Raven Mad (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan BOYLE Sports Money Back Meetings Every Day Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 14 ran 14th 150/1
25 Sep 25 Listowel Princess Georgie (IRE)J: Dylan Kidd Thorn Plant Hire Beginners Chase22f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran PU 250/1
14 Jul 25 Downpatrick Princess Georgie (IRE)J: Conor Stone-Walsh Plus 2 Print Remembering Tony Oakes MBE Maiden Hurdle22f · Good · 7 ran PU 40/1
10 Jun 25 Sligo Belle Coko (IRE)J: Mr J R Martin Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race18.5f · Good · 15 ran 13th 200/1
08 Jun 25 Punchestown Princess Georgie (IRE)J: Dylan Kidd Lily & Wild Mares Maiden Hurdle21.5f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran UR 100/1
06 Jun 25 Fairyhouse Topomania (GB)J: Gavin Ryan Racing Again Next Friday Handicap (0-60) (Div 1)10f · Good · 18 ran 16th 40/1
01 Jun 25 Kilbeggan Belle Coko (IRE)J: Dylan Kidd Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 16 ran 13th 66/1
16 May 25 Kilbeggan Princess Georgie (IRE)J: Dylan Kidd Follow Kilbeggan On Instagram Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 16 ran 7th 66/1
05 May 25 Curragh Topomania (GB)J: Terry Casey PG Duffy & Sons Citroen Apprentice Handicap7f · Good · 25 ran 24th 50/1
03 Apr 25 Aintree Oldschool Outlaw (IRE)J: Mr H C Swan Goffs Nickel Coin Mares' Standard Open NH Flat Race (Grade 2) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 17f · Good To Soft · 20 ran 7th 50/1
03 Mar 25 Leopardstown Oldschool Outlaw (IRE)J: Mr H C Swan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race16f · Yielding · 14 ran 2nd 33/1
15 Aug 24 Dundalk (AW) Our Matilda (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan Bar One Racing Guaranteed Multiples All Shops Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)8f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 150/1
30 Jul 24 Galway Our Matilda (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan Caulfield Industrial Irish EBF Maiden7f · Yielding · 9 ran 8th 200/1
22 Jul 24 Ballinrobe Girl Crush (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan Tote.ie Claiming Race9.5f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 9th 40/1
01 Mar 24 Dundalk (AW) El C Wells (IRE)J: Shane B Kelly Put The Fun In Fundraising At Dundalk Handicap (47-70)12f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 50/1
13 Feb 24 Thurles Stagecoach Mary (IRE)J: Kevin Sexton thurles.ie Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)15.5f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 1st 7/1
27 Jan 24 Fairyhouse Stagecoach Mary (IRE)J: Kevin Sexton SBK Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 33/1
12 Jan 24 Naas Stagecoach Mary (IRE)J: Kevin Sexton Matt Britton Irish EBF Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 25 ran 8th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Garry Caldwell's strike rate?
Garry Caldwell has won 9 of 250 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.6% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Garry Caldwell do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 1 wins from 36 runners (2.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Garry Caldwell's Fair A/E?
1.09, from 250 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 8 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).