What is J S Bolger's strike rate?

J S Bolger has won 894 of 8,152 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does J S Bolger do best at?

Down Royal by strike rate: 20 wins from 105 runners (19%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for J S Bolger?

Kevin Manning, with 5,386 runners since 2008 — 66% of the total. That pairing has won 664 (12.3%).

Is J S Bolger in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is J S Bolger's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 8,138 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

J S Bolger

8,152 runners in the lifetime window · 1,092 individual horses

As at 10 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 12 days ago 99% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

894–8,152

Wins / Runs

11%

Strike rate

n=8,152

2,425 (30%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=8,138 · 0.83 incl. margin

−1,837.14

£1 level stake

n=8,152 at SP · −22.5%

£29.8m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 430 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03).

Deterministic profile computed from 8,152 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 10 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Mar 31.9% when favourite Kevin Manning: 12.3% from 5,386 Sends off the favourite in 10% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Wexford (24.5%, n=53) and Newmarket (22.7%, n=44) — all clear of the yard's 11% baseline. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 5.9% (n=170, Fair A/E 0.65). Kevin Manning rides 66% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (12.3%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well on Firm going (24.3%, n=37). 185 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Parknasilla Hotel Goffs Fillies Million at Curragh (Sep 2007, £985,000). The stable star of the record: Ringside Humour (IRE) — 8 wins from 58 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.7%−2.3

n=1,395 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −289.91

New recruits · first run for the yard

22.2%+11.2

n=18 · A/E 2.54 · £1 +30.25

Debutants · first career start

9.9%−1.1

n=1,034 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −221.86

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9.6%−1.4

n=544 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −215.80

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

5.9%−5.1

n=170 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −100.50

When favourite

31.9%

n=792 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −94.33

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10.7%−0.3

n=950 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −172.96

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10.6%−0.4

n=1,373 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −296.70

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Wexford 24.5% vs 11% · n=53

With Gavin Ryan 25% vs 11% · n=40

On Firm going 24.3% vs 11% · n=37

At Newmarket 22.7% vs 11% · n=44

With Ross Coakley 0% vs 11% · n=53

On last-time-out winners 17.1% vs 11% · n=837

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 8,107 888 11% −1,807.77

NH Flat 24 5 20.8% −9.87

Hurdle 21 1 4.8% −19.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 2,295 195 8.5% −677.94

Good 2,028 221 10.9% −526.71

Good to Firm 1,108 174 15.7% −44.84

Heavy 1,081 117 10.8% −167.33

Standard (AW) 832 108 13% −137.55

Good to Soft 771 70 9.1% −289.50

Firm 37 9 24.3% +6.73

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Curragh 1,724 142 8.2% −475.53

Leopardstown 1,319 171 13% −142.38

Dundalk (AW) 831 108 13% −136.55

Gowran Park 746 81 10.9% −212.41

Naas 711 83 11.7% −109.30

Navan 440 47 10.7% −24.96

Cork 354 41 11.6% −72.72

Tipperary 302 33 10.9% −67.01

Roscommon 260 28 10.8% −31.85

Galway 219 17 7.8% −130.33

Fairyhouse 207 25 12.1% −65.16

Limerick 175 12 6.9% −106.90

Listowel 170 21 12.4% −29.00

Killarney 154 9 5.8% −115.52

Down Royal 105 20 19% +20.97

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 1,373 145 10.6% −296.70

Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 951 284 29.9% 1.08 −115.62

2nd–3rd fav 2,025 332 16.4% 1.07 −239.02

4th–6th fav 2,741 190 6.9% 0.91 −802.50

7th+ in betting 2,435 88 3.6% 1.00 −680.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 2,717 280 10.3% −635.54

1m – 1m1f 2,483 275 11.1% −604.27

1m2f – 1m4f 2,314 273 11.8% −343.31

1m5f – 2m 370 43 11.6% −136.22

Under 6f 251 23 9.2% −100.80

2m1f – 2m4f 16 0 0% −16.00

2m5f – 3m 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 444 59 13.3% −57.24

2009 437 56 12.8% −66.20

2010 455 56 12.3% −88.16

2011 488 52 10.7% −77.92

2012 538 67 12.5% −146.01

2013 517 68 13.2% −109.26

2014 518 66 12.7% −115.59

2015 546 72 13.2% −126.15

2016 569 67 11.8% −137.60

2017 591 67 11.3% −113.75

2018 516 47 9.1% −133.01

2019 459 57 12.4% +22.49

2020 441 43 9.8% −49.79

2021 437 34 7.8% −119.32

2022 330 27 8.2% −86.68

2023 350 26 7.4% −181.39

2024 245 9 3.7% −184.16

2025 154 9 5.8% −62.00

2026 117 12 10.3% −5.40

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 3,243 336 10.4% −457.67

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 2,006 177 8.8% −587.34

8-10 runners 1,941 252 13% −208.67

11-13 runners 1,889 191 10.1% −424.18

5-7 runners 1,148 173 15.1% −275.39

17+ runners 1,054 72 6.8% −353.24

2-4 runners 114 29 25.4% +11.68

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Ringside Humour (IRE) 58 8 24 22 Jul 18

Flight Risk (IRE) 52 6 18 28 Mar 21

Wexford Opera (IRE) 50 5 16 1 Jul 18

Neo Smart (IRE) 40 3 11 19 Oct 26

Bold Approach (IRE) 40 2 11 17 Oct 24

Mcguigan (IRE) 38 4 12 6 Mar 19

Club Wexford (IRE)then Roger Fell 36 3 15 12 Sep 17

Smash Williams (IRE) 33 3 11 26 Jun 21

Leitir Mor (IRE) 32 2 11 5 Oct 14

Agitare (IRE) 31 2 11 1 Jun 22

New Direction (IRE) 31 5 13 13 May 19

Gasta (IRE) 30 2 7 27 Jun 19

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,092 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 18 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, none arrived from another yard in our archive — all 60 had their first archived run here.

17 have since run for another yard; 43 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 2

Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1933141111121410991010

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderKevin Manning

66% of all rides
12.3% SR · A/E 1.02

RiderRWSR£1

Kevin Manning 5,386 664 12.3% −991.54

Rory Cleary 958 62 6.5% −334.05

R. P. Whelan 476 38 8% −256.28

Luke McAteer 186 29 15.6% +20.35

D J Moran 179 15 8.4% −6.25

Declan McDonogh 148 14 9.5% −18.42

Willie Byrne 107 10 9.3% −20.50

Danny Redmond 97 7 7.2% −47.25

Martin Harley 67 7 10.4% −12.25

Danny Mullins 57 10 17.5% −2.34

Ross Coakley 53 0 0% −53.00

Gavin Ryan 40 10 25% +26.13

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,040

Archived wins

185

Pattern / graded wins

£37.2m

Prize money

2015

Best season · 72 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Lush Lashes (GB) — Parknasilla Hotel Goffs Fillies Million Curragh · Sep 2007

£985,000

New Approach (IRE) — Vodafone Derby (Group 1) Epsom Downs · Jun 2008 · Group 1

£802,444

Trading Leather (IRE) — Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (Group 1) Curragh · Jun 2013 · Group 1

£725,000

Notable horses

Ringside Humour (IRE) Dawn Approach (IRE) New Approach (IRE) Banimpire (IRE) Flight Risk (IRE) Mainicin (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Teofilo (IRE) 13.7% · 194–1,420

Progeny have won 12.5% of 10,091 runs since 2011 (908 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7% from 627.

Vocalised (USA) 8.3% · 68–815

Progeny have won 6.7% of 2,033 runs since 2014 (172 horses).

Dawn Approach (IRE) 8.3% · 54–649

Progeny have won 8% of 3,580 runs since 2017 (359 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.6% from 333. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 125. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5% from 181.

Intense Focus (USA) 6.5% · 34–524

Progeny have won 8.3% of 3,630 runs since 2013 (218 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 11.5% from 349. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.5% from 384.

New Approach (IRE) 12.7% · 66–518

Progeny have won 12.6% of 6,794 runs since 2012 (685 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.9% from 101.

Galileo (IRE) 16.1% · 65–404

Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,201 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.4% from 890.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 10 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 9,320 · newest first

The latest 50 of 9,320 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 March 2005 to 29 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Dawnmore (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Win A Trip To Lapland At Punchestown On Sun 22 November Maiden7f · Yielding · 11 ran 4th 17/2

29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Lan De Ghaire (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden8f · Yielding · 8 ran 6th 28/1

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Parish Express (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Navan Racecourse Handicap14f · Yielding · 23 ran 22nd 50/1

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Teofil (IRE)J: Luke McAteer WTW Willis Towers Watson Maiden14f · Yielding · 12 ran 1st 8/13F

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Admired Beauty (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Staffordstown Stud Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 8f · Yielding · 11 ran 8th 16/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Neo Smart (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Racing Again November 7th Handicap12f · Soft · 14 ran 11th 8/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Lar Na Coille (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse Dine At Gowran Park Handicap7f · Yielding · 13 ran 7th 33/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Teoest (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Bahrain Turf Club October Handicap11.5f · Good · 15 ran 4th 12/1

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Admired Beauty (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery Handicap8.5f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 7/4

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Ita Florence (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Laidlaw Cup Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 13 ran 6th 6/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Sparan Nua (IRE)J: Rossa Ryan Qatar Racing British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 12f · Good · 12 ran 10th 17/2

12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Ballaghkeen (IRE)J: Shane Foley Thank You For Your Support Handicap12f · Soft · 16 ran 9th 7/2F

12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Teoest (IRE)J: Colin Keane Boyle Maiden10.5f · Soft · 11 ran 1st 7/4

11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Dawnmore (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Irish EBF Auction Series Race Final7f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 9/2

11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Ita Florence (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden6f · Soft · 13 ran 2nd 7/2

10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Admired Beauty (IRE)J: Andrew Slattery Irish EBF Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Soft · 18 ran 1st 20/1

08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Teofil (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan www.thurlesraces.ie Maiden16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 2nd 13/8F

08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Dawnmore (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden (Smullen Series)8.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 2nd 11/8J

07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Ballaghkeen (IRE)J: Declan McDonogh Racing Again 21st October Handicap (Div II)10f · Yielding · 16 ran 1st 14/1

28 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Ballaghkeen (IRE)J: R. P. Whelan Pravha Handicap (Div II)11f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 12th 17/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 11 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0) · to 29 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is J S Bolger's strike rate?: J S Bolger has won 894 of 8,152 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does J S Bolger do best at?: Down Royal by strike rate: 20 wins from 105 runners (19%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for J S Bolger?: Kevin Manning, with 5,386 runners since 2008 — 66% of the total. That pairing has won 664 (12.3%).
Is J S Bolger in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is J S Bolger's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 8,138 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.