Joel Phelippon
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 50 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.76). New recruits from other yards win at 13% first time out (179 runs).
The record is strongest at Longchamp (FR) (14.3%, n=84), clear of the yard's 9.8% baseline. It is weakest at Deauville (FR) (5.5% over 127 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 13.4% (n=179, Fair A/E 0.93), but a horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 6.7% (n=45, Fair A/E 0.69). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 8.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.77 and −109.60 to a £1 stake over 285 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Ronan Thomas rides 26% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.1%, A/E 0.78). The yard also reads well over 2m1f – 2m4f (25%, n=32) and off a 0-7-day break (17.9%, n=39). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Grand Prix du Departement 06 - Defi du Galop 2016 at Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) (Feb 2016, £27,574). Seasonally, the yard fires Oct–Nov.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.8% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2011→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 878 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 878 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 October 2011 to 24 February 2023.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Joel Phelippon's strike rate?
- Joel Phelippon has won 86 of 878 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.8% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Joel Phelippon do best at?
- Longchamp (FR) by strike rate: 12 wins from 84 runners (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Joel Phelippon?
- Ronan Thomas, with 232 runners since 2008 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 21 (9.1%).
- What is Joel Phelippon's Fair A/E?
- 0.76, from 860 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.