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Trainer profile

K A Heffernan

168 runners in the lifetime window · 28 individual horses
As at 10 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 63 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
2–168
Wins / Runs
1.2%
Strike rate
n=168
17 (10%)
Placed
0.33
Fair A/E
n=168 · 0.26 incl. margin
−151.67
£1 level stake
n=168 at SP · −90.3%
£36,336
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, winning with 1% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.33).

Deterministic profile computed from 168 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 10 Nov 2026

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−1.2
n=39 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −39.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−1.2
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−1.2
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−1.2
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−1.2
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1%−0.2
n=102 · A/E 0.29 · £1 −90.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−1.2
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 110 2 1.8% −93.67
Flat 36 0 0% −36.00
NH Flat 17 0 0% −17.00
Chase 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 50 1 2% −45.67
Good 47 0 0% −47.00
Heavy 40 1 2.5% −28.00
Good to Soft 17 0 0% −17.00
Good to Firm 7 0 0% −7.00
Standard (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Ballinrobe 26 1 3.8% −21.67
Galway 25 0 0% −25.00
Limerick 18 1 5.6% −6.00
Thurles 8 0 0% −8.00
Dundalk (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Punchestown 7 0 0% −7.00
Fairyhouse 7 0 0% −7.00
Downpatrick 6 0 0% −6.00
Gowran Park 6 0 0% −6.00
Cork 6 0 0% −6.00
Sligo 6 0 0% −6.00
Roscommon 6 0 0% −6.00
Clonmel 6 0 0% −6.00
Kilbeggan 5 0 0% −5.00
Tipperary 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 7 1 14.3% 1.17 −2.67
4th–6th fav 27 0 0% 0.00 −27.00
7th+ in betting 133 1 0.8% 0.34 −121.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
80% completed · 115 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 5 40% 0 0 3 0 0
Hurdle 110 81.8% 5 1 14 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Brilliant Question (IRE)from Ms Sheila Lavery 26 1 3 7 Oct 25
The Vegas Raider (IRE)from Eoin Doyle 23 1 5 7 Sep 26
Up The Girls (IRE) 15 0 4 1 May 12
Oldtown To Emly (IRE) 13 0 0 9 Jun 25
Eden Gardens (IRE)from David Marnane 13 0 1 8 Apr 22
Spot The Header (IRE) 13 0 0 9 Oct 14
Princess Fiadh (IRE) 8 0 0 11 Apr 25
Nicolas Fortune (IRE) 7 0 0 21 Apr 25
Finish The Story (IRE)then Johnny Farrelly 7 0 3 1 May 12
Coolshine (IRE) 6 0 0 8 Sep 26
Ranger Billy (IRE)from Eoin Doyle 5 0 1 24 Aug 26
Piece A Cake (IRE) 5 0 0 24 Mar 20
All 28 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 28 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Eoin Doyle (2); 16 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard, most often for I Madden (2); 21 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1400000060000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Andrew Flaherty 27 0 0% −27.00
Robbie Geoghegan 15 1 6.7% −3.00
Mr P J Cawley 7 0 0% −7.00
Chris Hayes 6 0 0% −6.00
Robert Jones 5 0 0% −5.00
Philip Donovan 4 0 0% −4.00
J J Slevin 4 0 0% −4.00
Danny Gilligan 4 1 25% +0.33
Michael Darcy 4 0 0% −4.00
Jack G Gilligan 4 0 0% −4.00
John Cullen 4 0 0% −4.00
Ryan Treacy 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→
2
Archived wins
£36,336
Prize money
2024
Best season · 2 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
The Vegas Raider (IRE) — Broderick's Electric Handicap Hurdle (80-95) Ballinrobe · Aug 2024
£6,195
Brilliant Question (IRE) — Follow Limerick Racecourse On Instagram Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95) Limerick · Jan 2024
£5,900
Notable horses
Brilliant Question (IRE) The Vegas Raider (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Gutaifan (IRE) 3.8% · 1–26
Progeny have won 8.9% of 3,770 runs since 2019 (303 horses).
Kendargent (FR) 4.3% · 1–23
Progeny have won 9.6% of 5,252 runs since 2011 (580 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 256.
Witness Box (USA) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,675 runs since 2008 (194 horses). Weakest on Good to Firm going: 4% from 173.
Mukhadram (GB) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 10.7% of 2,444 runs since 2018 (199 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.2% from 302.
Shantou (USA) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,843 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.
Shirocco (GER) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 11.1% of 9,199 runs since 2010 (926 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 10 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 181 · newest first

The latest 50 of 181 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 January 2006 to 8 September 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
08 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Coolshine (IRE)J: Jack Cleary James P. Cunningham Electrical Handicap8.5f · Soft · 14 ran 13th 80/1
07 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Kalinka De Loire (FR)J: Mr J Dunne Kenny Developments Irish EBF Mares Flat Race16.5f · Soft · 18 ran 9th 100/1
07 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) The Vegas Raider (IRE)J: Daniel King WTW Willis Handicap Hurdle (Div II)22.5f · Yielding · 19 ran PU 40/1
24 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Ranger Billy (IRE)J: J J Slevin Jerry McDonnell Memorial Handicap Hurdle22.5f · Good · 16 ran 13th 12/1
24 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) The Vegas Raider (IRE)J: Danny Gilligan Jerry McDonnell Memorial Handicap Hurdle22.5f · Good · 16 ran F 22/1
10 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Ranger Billy (IRE)J: J J Slevin Tim Kelly Group Handicap Hurdle22.5f · Good · 16 ran 7th 14/1
10 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) The Vegas Raider (IRE)J: Shane Fitzgerald Broderick's Electric Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Good · 15 ran 10th 12/1
27 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) Coolshine (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse Clayton Hotel Galway Handicap7f · Yielding · 15 ran 13th 100/1
21 Jul 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Ranger Billy (IRE)J: J J Slevin Sweeney Oil Handicap Hurdle (Div I)22f · Good · 15 ran 3rd 50/1
20 Jul 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Coolshine (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Download The Tote App Handicap9.5f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 9th 50/1
08 Jul 26 Fairyhouse Coolshine (IRE)J: James Ryan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden7f · Good · 15 ran 10th 300/1
02 Jul 26 Limerick The Vegas Raider (IRE)J: Michael Kenneally Joe Walsh Flooring Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 14 ran UR 28/1
24 Jun 26 Naas Coolshine (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse Fox Dunlavin (C & G) Maiden8f · Good · 15 ran 11th 250/1
19 Jun 26 Limerick Coolshine (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Twilight Racing Summer Series Maiden (Div 1)7f · Soft · 16 ran 9th 200/1
21 May 26 Limerick Ranger Billy (IRE)J: Jack G Gilligan Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Chase (0-100) (Div 1)22.5f · Good · 11 ran PU 40/1
10 May 26 Cork Ranger Billy (IRE)J: Jack G Gilligan Bet With Tote.ie On Racing & Sports Handicap Hurdle (0-100)24.5f · Good · 21 ran PU 50/1
07 Oct 25 Galway Brilliant Question (IRE)J: Phillip Enright SIS Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 11 ran 11th 11/1
30 Jul 25 Galway Rose Of Glenhest (IRE)J: Mr L Hackett Download The Tote App (Q.R.) Maiden12f · Yielding To Soft · 18 ran 18th 300/1
01 Jul 25 Tipperary Brilliant Question (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Handicap Chase (0-100)16.5f · Yielding · 16 ran 11th 50/1
09 Jun 25 Roscommon Oldtown To Emly (IRE)J: Mr S Cotter Racing Here Again On The 1st July (Q.R.) Handicap Chase (0-100)25f · Good · 14 ran PU 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is K A Heffernan's strike rate?
K A Heffernan has won 2 of 168 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 1.2% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is K A Heffernan's Fair A/E?
0.33, from 168 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 10 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).