Skip to content
Trainer profile

Kevin F O'Donnell

214 runners in the lifetime window · 36 individual horses
As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 9 days ago
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
11–214
Wins / Runs
5.1%
Strike rate
n=214
45 (21%)
Placed
0.89
n=214 · 0.68 incl. margin
−95.90
£1 level stake
n=214 at SP · −44.8%
£152k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.89).

Deterministic profile computed from 214 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 6%
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=31, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also reads well on Good to Firm going (13.3%, n=30) and over 2m1f – 2m4f (8.2%, n=49). The market has consistently overbet the yard in Flat races: Fair A/E 0.66 across 93 runners (3.2% strike, −60.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−5.1
n=31 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −31.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.1
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.1
n=33 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −33.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
10%+4.9
n=10 · A/E 3.32 · £1 +1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
33.3%+28.2
n=3 · A/E 3.96 · £1 +1.00
When favourite
40%
n=5 · A/E 1.18 · £1 +0.60
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6%+0.9
n=116 · A/E 1.29 · £1 −44.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.1
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good to Firm going 13.3% vs 5.1% · n=30
With horses switching code 0% vs 5.1% · n=44
With debutants 0% vs 5.1% · n=33
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 8.2% vs 5.1% · n=49
In Flat races 3.2% vs 5.1% · n=93 · A/E 0.66
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 93 3 3.2% −60.00
Hurdle 63 4 6.3% −27.40
NH Flat 45 3 6.7% −10.50
Chase 13 1 7.7% +2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 63 4 6.3% −18.00
Good 56 2 3.6% −37.50
Good to Firm 30 4 13.3% −1.40
Heavy 29 0 0% −29.00
Standard (AW) 19 0 0% −19.00
Firm 9 1 11.1% +17.00
Good to Soft 8 0 0% −8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Gowran Park 24 3 12.5% −6.40
Dundalk (AW) 19 0 0% −19.00
Wexford 19 2 10.5% +11.00
Galway 16 1 6.3% −1.00
Tramore 14 2 14.3% +19.00
Limerick 11 1 9.1% +4.00
Cork 10 0 0% −10.00
Punchestown 10 0 0% −10.00
Curragh 10 0 0% −10.00
Clonmel 10 1 10% −6.50
Killarney 8 0 0% −8.00
Listowel 8 0 0% −8.00
Thurles 7 0 0% −7.00
Naas 7 1 14.3% −3.00
Leopardstown 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 2 28.6% 0.97 −1.40
2nd–3rd fav 29 2 6.9% 0.49 −20.50
4th–6th fav 45 2 4.4% 0.75 −27.00
7th+ in betting 133 5 3.8% 1.38 −47.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Roseska (USA) 26 3 7 25 May 11
Sophie's World (IRE)then Alan Fleming 15 2 4 1 Nov 14
More Claret (IRE) 15 2 4 26 May 11
Bobeska (IRE)then Mike Sowersby 14 0 1 5 Oct 18
Holly Hawk (IRE) 12 0 6 5 Sep 09
Dubh Go Leir (IRE) 10 0 7 20 Apr 13
Banjo Davis (IRE) 9 1 1 6 Aug 10
Caedlih Davis (FR) 9 0 0 10 Jul 09
Dubh Eile (IRE)then Tim Vaughan 7 1 3 20 Jul 14
De Vegas Kid (IRE)then Tony Carroll 6 0 0 18 Oct 16
All 36 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 36 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 34 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for Tony Carroll (2); 25 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00050117361407
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Tom Doyle 17 2 11.8% +24.00
Mr P A O'Donnell 13 2 15.4% +6.50
Danny Mullins 12 0 0% −12.00
Liam Quinlan 9 0 0% −9.00
Mr P W Mullins 7 0 0% −7.00
Ms G O'Donnell 7 0 0% −7.00
Brian O'Connell 7 1 14.3% +8.00
Andrew Slattery 6 0 0% −6.00
Mr R A Latta 6 0 0% −6.00
J F Egan 5 0 0% −5.00
Sean Corby 5 2 40% +21.00
Michael Darcy 5 2 40% +0.60
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
12
Archived wins
£197k
Prize money
2014
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Sophie's World (IRE) — Bet Online At Thetote.com Handicap Galway · Jul 2014
£19,500
Sophie's World (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Fillies Handicap Gowran Park · Apr 2014
£16,250
Roseska (USA) — Kilkenny 3-y-o Hurdle Gowran Park · Oct 2009
£9,674

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Definite Article (GB) 7.7% · 2–26
Progeny have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since 2008 (527 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.1% from 138. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 211.
Include (USA) 11.5% · 3–26
Progeny have won 11.2% of 152 runs since 2008 (11 horses).
Kalanisi (IRE) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 10.5% of 6,753 runs since 2008 (648 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 355.
Beneficial (GB) 13.3% · 2–15
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,047 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Captain Rio (GB) 13.3% · 2–15
Progeny have won 9.5% of 6,912 runs since 2008 (423 horses).
Big Bad Bob (IRE) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 8.8% of 4,568 runs since 2009 (314 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 247 · newest first

The latest 50 of 247 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 April 2005 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Kevin F O'Donnell's strike rate?
Kevin F O'Donnell has won 11 of 214 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.1% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Kevin F O'Donnell in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Kevin F O'Donnell's Fair A/E?
0.89, from 214 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 13 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).