What is Lady Cecil's strike rate?

Lady Cecil has won 68 of 429 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 15.9% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Lady Cecil do best at?

Lingfield by strike rate: 8 wins from 44 runners (18.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Lady Cecil?

Tom Queally, with 102 runners since 2008 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (17.6%).

What is Lady Cecil's Fair A/E?

0.88, from 427 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Lady Cecil

429 runners in the lifetime window · 102 individual horses

As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Nov 2015 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

68–429

Wins / Runs

15.9%

Strike rate

n=429

187 (44%)

Placed

0.88

Fair A/E

n=427 · 0.75 incl. margin

−110.64

£1 level stake

n=429 at SP · −25.8%

£2.49m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 140 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 16% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.88). New recruits from other yards win at 31% first time out (48 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 429 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 2 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired May–Jul Fresh horses: 22.1% 30.2% when favourite Tom Queally: 17.6% from 102 New recruits: 31.3% Group/Graded: 19% Sent off the favourite in 27% of races

The read

New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 31.3% (n=48, Fair A/E 1.48), but runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 5.9% (n=34, Fair A/E 0.42). Tom Queally rode 24% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (17.6%, A/E 0.95). The record read poorly over 6f – 7f — 8% over 75 runners, 7.9pts below the baseline. 12 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qipco Champion Stakes at Ascot (Oct 2014, £770,547). The stable star of the record was Noble Mission (GB) — 5 wins from 9 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired May–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 15.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

22.1%+6.2

n=77 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −18.93

New recruits · first run for the yard

31.3%+15.4

n=48 · A/E 1.48 · £1 +19.34

Debutants · first career start

7.3%−8.6

n=55 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −6.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.3%−9.6

n=32 · A/E 0.45 · £1 −24.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−15.9

n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

When favourite

30.2%

n=116 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −30.02

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.9%−10.0

n=34 · A/E 0.42 · £1 −13.25

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

19%+3.1

n=63 · A/E 1.15 · £1 +0.81

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 15.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With new recruits 31.3% vs 15.9% · n=48

On last-time-out winners 28% vs 15.9% · n=75

With claiming riders up 5.9% vs 15.9% · n=34

With debutants 7.3% vs 15.9% · n=55

Over 6f – 7f 8% vs 15.9% · n=75

With first-time headgear 6.3% vs 15.9% · n=32

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 427 68 15.9% −108.64

Hurdle 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 131 20 15.3% −72.67

Good 105 16 15.2% +25.57

Good to Firm 96 22 22.9% −11.59

Soft 51 6 11.8% −28.95

Good to Soft 42 3 7.1% −27.00

Heavy 3 1 33.3% +5.00

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 52 6 11.5% −35.42

Lingfield 44 8 18.2% −19.17

Newmarket 25 3 12% +17.88

Newbury 23 2 8.7% −16.75

Wolverhampton (AW) 23 1 4.3% −17.50

Newmarket 20 2 10% −8.00

Haydock 20 3 15% −11.21

Doncaster 19 3 15.8% +8.25

York 19 2 10.5% +4.00

Ascot 16 5 31.3% +17.50

Yarmouth 16 2 12.5% −5.60

Nottingham 15 2 13.3% −4.20

Windsor 14 0 0% −14.00

Sandown 11 3 27.3% +1.25

Salisbury 9 5 55.6% +3.94

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 161 26 16.1% −68.68

Class 4 114 16 14% −18.54

Class 1 63 12 19% +0.81

Class 3 37 7 18.9% −3.12

Class 2 30 5 16.7% −1.59

Class 6 23 2 8.7% −18.52

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 135 38 28.1% 0.90 −37.27

2nd–3rd fav 136 21 15.4% 0.89 −43.37

4th–6th fav 119 6 5% 0.61 −59.00

7th+ in betting 39 3 7.7% 1.82 +29.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Perfect Summer (IRE)then Ian Williams 17 1 8 30 Jul 15

Mighty Yar (IRE)from Sir Henry Cecil 11 2 3 21 Aug 15

Joyeuse (GB)from Sir Henry Cecil 11 2 6 17 Oct 14

Tacticus (USA) 9 2 5 25 Apr 15

Noble Mission (GB)from Sir Henry Cecil 9 5 7 18 Oct 14

Phaenomena (IRE)from Sir Henry Cecil 9 2 3 24 Aug 14

Hamelin (IRE)from Sir Henry Cecil · then George Scott 8 3 6 4 Nov 15

Illusive (IRE)from A P O'Brien · then George Scott 8 1 5 27 Sep 15

Retirement Plan (GB)from Sir Henry Cecil 8 3 4 29 Aug 15

Meteoroid (USA) 8 1 2 21 Oct 14

Blighty (IRE) 8 1 5 17 Sep 14

Flow (USA)from Sir Henry Cecil · then David Brown 8 1 3 9 Sep 14

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 102 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 24 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Sir Henry Cecil (23); 36 had their first archived run for this yard.

23 have since run for another yard, most often for George Scott (5); 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

40203815202018141210033

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderTom Queally

24% of all rides
17.6% SR · A/E 0.95

RiderRWSR£1

Tom Queally 102 18 17.6% −32.50

James Doyle 64 12 18.8% −19.37

Martin Harley 43 6 14% −25.82

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.49m

Prize money

2013

Best season · 36 wins

Noble Mission (GB) — Qipco Champion Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Middle Distance) Ascot · Oct 2014 · Group 1

£770,547

Noble Mission (GB) — Grand Prix de Saint-Cloud (4yo+) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Jun 2014 · Group 1

£190,467

Tiger Cliff (IRE) — Betfred Ebor (Heritage Handicap) York · Aug 2013 · Class 2

£155,625

Notable horses

Noble Mission (GB) Retirement Plan (GB) Hamelin (IRE) Grasped (GB) Morpheus (GB) Shaden (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Galileo (IRE) 26.2% · 11–42

Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,200 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.4% from 890.

Dansili (GB) 13.9% · 5–36

Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,842 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.

Oasis Dream (GB) 15.6% · 5–32

Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,026 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 483. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 790.

High Chaparral (IRE) 3.4% · 1–29

Progeny have won 10.3% of 8,730 runs since 2008 (682 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 419.

Teofilo (IRE) 11.1% · 2–18

Progeny have won 12.5% of 10,081 runs since 2011 (907 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7% from 625.

Beat Hollow (GB) 29.4% · 5–17

Progeny have won 11.3% of 6,034 runs since 2008 (412 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 429 · newest first

The latest 50 of 429 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 June 2013 to 4 November 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Nov 15 Kempton (AW) Hamelin (IRE)J: Stevie Donohoe 32Red Floodlit Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 12f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 2nd 9/1

29 Oct 15 Lingfield (AW) Granita (USA)J: Stevie Donohoe 32Red Casino/British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Plus 10) (Div 2)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 25/1

23 Oct 15 Newbury Distain (GB)J: Stevie Donohoe ALMR Fillies' HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 5th 9/4F

21 Oct 15 Kempton (AW) Burner (IRE)J: Stevie Donohoe 10 Free Bet At 32RedSport HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 10th 16/1

17 Oct 15 Wolverhampton (AW) Hamelin (IRE)J: Stevie Donohoe Bet365 HandicapClass 3 · 12f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 9/2

07 Oct 15 Kempton (AW) Cabinet Room (USA)J: Hayley Turner 32Red Casino/British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes (Div 1)Class 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 2nd 11/2

27 Sep 15 Epsom Downs Illusive (IRE)J: Tom Marquand Win A Football Fortune With Scoop6soccer HandicapClass 3 · 10f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 3rd 7/1

26 Sep 15 Chelmsford City (AW) Western Reserve (USA)J: Pat Smullen Totepool Supporting The Sport You Love Conditions StakesClass 2 · 9f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 3/1

26 Sep 15 Haydock Hamelin (IRE)J: George Baker Beer Studio HandicapClass 2 · 14f · Soft · 17 ran 16th 4/1J

26 Sep 15 Newmarket Granita (USA)J: Hayley Turner Turftrax Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Plus 10) (Div 2)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 11th 8/1

22 Sep 15 Kempton (AW) Zeebee (IRE)J: Stevie Donohoe 32Red Casino Nursery (Div 1)Class 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 11th 14/1

22 Sep 15 Lingfield (AW) Cabinet Room (USA)J: Hayley Turner British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 6/1

19 Sep 15 Newmarket Distain (GB)J: Tom Marquand Thoroughbred Breeders' Association Ebf Stallions Fillies' HandicapClass 3 · 12f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 3rd 7/4F

19 Sep 15 Ayr Shaden (IRE)J: Hayley Turner William Hill Firth Of Clyde Stakes (Fillies' Group 3)Class 1 · 6f · Good · 14 ran 1st 16/1

16 Sep 15 Yarmouth Illusive (IRE)J: Harry Bentley Parklands Leisure Holiday Caravan Distributors Handicap (For The Golden Jubilee Trophy)Class 3 · 10f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 1st 8/1

07 Sep 15 Windsor Highly Prized (GB)J: Stevie Donohoe Chandler And Co Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good · 14 ran 4th 12/1

07 Sep 15 Windsor Granita (USA)J: Ted Durcan Awesome Biscuits Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Plus 10) (Div 2)Class 5 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 4th 20/1

06 Sep 15 York Distain (GB)J: Stevie Donohoe Barkers Garage HandicapClass 4 · 10.5f · Good · 19 ran 2nd 9/2F

05 Sep 15 Wolverhampton (AW) Hamelin (IRE)J: Stevie Donohoe Tican Chilled 15 Year Celebration HandicapClass 3 · 12f · Standard · 7 ran 2nd 16/1

02 Sep 15 Bath Shaden (IRE)J: Jamie Spencer Brandon Trust European Breeders' Fund Novice StakesClass 5 · 5.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 2nd 8/11F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Lady Cecil's strike rate?: Lady Cecil has won 68 of 429 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 15.9% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Lady Cecil do best at?: Lingfield by strike rate: 8 wins from 44 runners (18.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Lady Cecil?: Tom Queally, with 102 runners since 2008 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (17.6%).
What is Lady Cecil's Fair A/E?: 0.88, from 427 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.