What is Laura Horsfall's strike rate?

Laura Horsfall has won 22 of 329 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Laura Horsfall do best at?

Fontwell by strike rate: 2 wins from 34 runners (5.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Laura Horsfall?

Kevin Brogan, with 72 runners since 2008 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (8.3%).

Is Laura Horsfall in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Laura Horsfall's Fair A/E?

1.00, from 329 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Laura Horsfall

329 runners in the lifetime window · 58 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 3 days ago 91% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

22–329

Wins / Runs

6.7%

Strike rate

n=329

71 (22%)

Placed

1.00

Fair A/E

n=329 · 0.86 incl. margin

−79.57

£1 level stake

n=329 at SP · −24.2%

£207k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

13.6%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 9% off breaks of two months or more (79 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 329 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 8.9% Kevin Brogan: 8.3% from 72

The read

Debutants struggle at 3.2% (n=31, Fair A/E 0.82). Kevin Brogan rides 22% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.3%, A/E 1.03) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well beyond 3m (13.9%, n=36) and off a 61-180-day break (10.8%, n=37). The record reads poorly over 2m1f – 2m4f — 1.1% over 91 runners, 5.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 31-60-day break: Fair A/E 0.45 across 72 runners (2.8% strike, −49.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Jalisco Star (IRE) — 5 wins from 22 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.9%+2.2

n=79 · A/E 1.53 · £1 +6.93

New recruits · first run for the yard

3.7%−3.0

n=27 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −24.90

Debutants · first career start

3.2%−3.5

n=31 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −2.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.5%−2.2

n=22 · A/E 2.13 · £1 +19.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

22.2%+15.5

n=9 · A/E 3.58 · £1 +7.33

When favourite

27.3%

n=11 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −3.40

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.2%−1.5

n=153 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −30.90

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−6.7

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Beyond 3m 13.9% vs 6.7% · n=36

Over 2m1f – 2m4f 1.1% vs 6.7% · n=91

In Chase races 2.1% vs 6.7% · n=47

Off a 31-60-day break 2.8% vs 6.7% · n=72

Off a 61-180-day break 10.8% vs 6.7% · n=37

With debutants 3.2% vs 6.7% · n=31

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 209 17 8.1% −49.42

Chase 47 1 2.1% −44.90

NH Flat 43 2 4.7% +27.00

Flat 30 2 6.7% −12.25

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 141 9 6.4% −34.67

Good to Soft 74 5 6.8% +6.75

Soft 69 4 5.8% −29.00

Standard (AW) 22 1 4.5% −19.25

Heavy 17 2 11.8% +0.50

Good to Firm 6 1 16.7% −3.90

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Fontwell 34 2 5.9% −26.40

Huntingdon 29 3 10.3% +1.00

Worcester 16 1 6.3% +13.00

Fakenham 16 0 0% −16.00

Southwell 16 0 0% −16.00

Warwick 15 2 13.3% +1.50

Bangor-on-Dee 15 1 6.7% −3.00

Stratford 15 1 6.7% −4.00

Uttoxeter 14 2 14.3% +8.00

Ffos Las 14 3 21.4% +15.83

Wetherby 11 1 9.1% +30.00

Chepstow 10 1 10% −7.00

Sedgefield 9 0 0% −9.00

Market Rasen 8 0 0% −8.00

Hereford 8 1 12.5% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 155 9 5.8% −44.75

Class 5 136 9 6.6% −19.67

Class 6 21 3 14.3% −1.15

Class 3 12 1 8.3% −9.00

Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 14 3 21.4% 0.83 −6.40

2nd–3rd fav 49 7 14.3% 0.88 −17.17

4th–6th fav 133 8 6% 1.07 −31.00

7th+ in betting 133 4 3% 1.32 −25.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

78.5% completed · 256 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 47 59.6% 2 3 13 0 1

Hurdle 209 82.8% 1 3 31 1 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Jack The Savage (GB) 36 4 9 27 Aug 26

Jalisco Star (IRE)from Thomas Gallagher 22 5 10 11 Oct 26

City Roller (IRE) 16 0 4 17 Jul 24

Storm Arcadio (IRE) 16 0 3 12 Nov 22

Just A Whim (GB) 14 1 3 2 May 22

Lexie's Moon (GB) 13 2 6 1 Nov 26

Bobalot (GB)from Ben Clarke 13 1 6 2 Apr 26

Beaming Light (GB)then David Loughnane 12 0 0 16 Nov 24

Much Too Dear (IRE) 11 0 3 24 Apr 24

Escort'kheops (FR) 10 1 7 27 Oct 26

Flighttothestars (IRE) 10 0 1 5 Apr 25

Jazz Talking (GB) 7 0 0 29 Oct 25

All 58 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 58 horses listed, 27 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Philip Hobbs (3) and Olly Murphy (2); 31 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for Evan Williams (2); 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

061381314900636

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderKevin Brogan

22% of all rides
8.3% SR · A/E 1.03

RiderRWSR£1

Kevin Brogan 72 6 8.3% −20.92

Charlie Price 42 3 7.1% +28.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→

Archived wins

£207k

Prize money

2024

Best season · 8 wins

Jalisco Star (IRE) — CopyBet Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Ascot · Nov 2024 · Class 4

£8,265

Jalisco Star (IRE) — fairplaybet.co.uk Bet 10 Get 10 Mares' Handicap Hurdle Chepstow · Feb 2026 · Class 3

£5,868

Sky Grove (IRE) — Mike Mohan's 60th Birthday 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Warwick · May 2026 · Class 4

£5,446

Notable horses

Jalisco Star (IRE) Jack The Savage (GB) Lexie's Moon (GB) Camacho Man (IRE) Long Symphony (IRE) Just A Whim (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Passing Glance (GB) 10.5% · 4–38

Progeny have won 12.4% of 3,565 runs since 2008 (294 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.8% from 222. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.2% from 290. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.8% from 171.

Mahler (GB) 25% · 7–28

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,877 runs since 2014 (787 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Scorpion (IRE) 0% · 0–22

Progeny have won 9.2% of 6,324 runs since 2011 (609 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.1% from 142.

Arcadio (GER) 0% · 0–16

Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,979 runs since 2011 (375 horses).

Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 0% · 0–16

Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,879 runs since 2013 (684 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.

Getaway (GER) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,985 runs since 2016 (1,030 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 329 · newest first

The latest 50 of 329 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 May 2016 to 2 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

02 Nov 26 Plumpton Lancier Des Obeaux (FR)J: Bryan Carver Richard Soan Roofing Services Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 25.5f · Good · 4 ran 4th 11/2

01 Nov 26 Worcester Lexie's Moon (GB)J: Bryan Carver Copybet For Premier League Profit Boosts Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 9th 28/1

27 Oct 26 Bangor-on-Dee Escort'kheops (FR)J: Kevin Brogan Mount Vines Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 3rd 12/1

22 Oct 26 Ffos Las Sky Grove (IRE)J: Bryan Carver bettingsites.co.uk Instant Withdrawal Novices' Hurdle Race (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 11 ran 5th 11/2

22 Oct 26 Ffos Las Crescendo Lady (GB)J: Kevin Brogan bettingsites.co.uk Fast Withdrawal Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Soft · 8 ran PU 250/1

13 Oct 26 Southwell Madethempay (GB)J: Benjamin Macey Case Ih Dealer Network Top Class Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 25/1

11 Oct 26 Chepstow Jalisco Star (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Dragonbet Cefnogi Rasio Ceffylau Cymreig Handicap Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 2 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran PU 10/1

28 Aug 26 Fontwell Short Symphony (IRE)J: Bryan Carver Download The At The Races App Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17.5f · Good · 8 ran PU 50/1

27 Aug 26 Newton Abbot Jack The Savage (GB)J: Sean Bowen Compwiz Ltd - It Solutions For Business Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 26.5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 5th 7/2

16 Jul 26 Worcester Witheros Hill (IRE)J: Kevin Brogan Copybet Support Safer Gambling Maiden Hurdle Race (ARC Summer Novices' Brush Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23f · Good · 5 ran 4th 50/1

07 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Naiad (IRE)J: Gavin Sheehan CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 10/3

05 Jul 26 Market Rasen Jack The Savage (GB)J: Sean Bowen Stay At The Market Rasen Racecourse Caravan Park Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 12 ran 4th 9/1

10 Jun 26 Fontwell Jack The Savage (GB)J: Sean Bowen Cathedral Wealth Ahead Of The Field Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 26f · Good · 5 ran 1st 9/2

09 May 26 Warwick Sky Grove (IRE)J: Bryan Carver Mike Mohan's 60th Birthday 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 1st 12/1

21 Apr 26 Ffos Las Lancier Des Obeaux (FR)J: Kevin Brogan SWRSL - Dan Ward Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 6th 22/1

19 Apr 26 Stratford Kampari (FR)J: Kevin Brogan Green 4 Motor Company 30th Anniversary Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 26.5f · Good · 10 ran 7th 13/2

16 Apr 26 Hereford Sky Grove (IRE)J: Kevin Brogan Wye Valley Metals Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 11/1

06 Apr 26 Fakenham Crescendo Lady (GB)J: Freddie Gingell Every Race Live On Racing TV Mares' Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 5 ran 5th 25/1

02 Apr 26 Chepstow Bobalot (GB)J: Isabelle Ryder UB40 Live After Racing 24th July Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 6th 11/2

31 Mar 26 Bangor-on-Dee Escort'kheops (FR)J: Kevin Brogan Xenon Workplace Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 11/4

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 22 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 22 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Laura Horsfall's strike rate?: Laura Horsfall has won 22 of 329 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Laura Horsfall do best at?: Fontwell by strike rate: 2 wins from 34 runners (5.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Laura Horsfall?: Kevin Brogan, with 72 runners since 2008 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (8.3%).
Is Laura Horsfall in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Laura Horsfall's Fair A/E?: 1.00, from 329 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.