What is Martin Keighley's strike rate?

Martin Keighley has won 408 of 3,605 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.3% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Martin Keighley do best at?

Ludlow by strike rate: 21 wins from 137 runners (15.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Martin Keighley?

James Best, with 353 runners since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 31 (8.8%).

Is Martin Keighley in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Martin Keighley's Fair A/E?

1.02, from 3,597 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Martin Keighley

3,605 runners in the lifetime window · 340 individual horses

As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 10.6% of 216 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.2–8.0% over 364 racing days). As at 13 Nov 2026.

Last runner 3 days ago 96% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

408–3,605

Wins / Runs

11.3%

Strike rate

n=3,605

1,074 (30%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=3,597 · 0.89 incl. margin

−737.05

£1 level stake

n=3,605 at SP · −20.4%

£3.43m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

13.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 190 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 11% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.02).

Deterministic profile computed from 3,605 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Oct–Nov 32.6% when favourite James Best: 8.8% from 353 Sends off the favourite in 9% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Catterick (21.9%, n=64), clear of the yard's 11.3% baseline. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 6.5% (n=93, Fair A/E 0.87). A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run are the standout value angle: 12.6% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.32 and +42.13 to a £1 stake over 174 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. James Best rides 10% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (8.8% vs 11.3%, A/E 1.03) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (19.5%, n=82). 6 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Kauto Star Novices' Chase at Kempton (Dec 2013, £39,865). The stable star of the record: Mr Mafia (IRE) — 12 wins from 46 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Oct–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.1%−3.2

n=911 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −312.62

New recruits · first run for the yard

9.6%−1.7

n=156 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −38.04

Debutants · first career start

8.4%−2.9

n=179 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −79.09

First-time headgear · true-first definition

7.6%−3.7

n=172 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −68.92

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

12.6%+1.3

n=174 · A/E 1.32 · £1 +42.13

When favourite

32.6%

n=325 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −28.72

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9%−2.3

n=1,105 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −295.92

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

6.5%−4.8

n=93 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −35.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 19.2% vs 11.3% · n=407

At Catterick 21.9% vs 11.3% · n=64

With Sean Bowen 18.9% vs 11.3% · n=323

With Richard Johnson 19.8% vs 11.3% · n=111

Off a 0-7-day break 19.5% vs 11.3% · n=82

With C&D winners 16.9% vs 11.3% · n=319

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,961 203 10.4% −406.92

Chase 1,159 173 14.9% −68.67

NH Flat 352 24 6.8% −196.71

Flat 133 8 6% −64.75

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,622 187 11.5% −274.03

Good to Soft 771 98 12.7% −25.58

Soft 610 55 9% −292.68

Good to Firm 265 36 13.6% −11.45

Heavy 246 26 10.6% −87.06

Standard (AW) 88 6 6.8% −43.25

Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Worcester 322 32 9.9% +5.79

Uttoxeter 298 35 11.7% −101.49

Southwell 286 43 15% +11.33

Cheltenham 280 29 10.4% +52.21

Stratford 188 19 10.1% +40.33

Chepstow 167 16 9.6% −59.59

Towcester 147 20 13.6% −48.67

Hereford 138 17 12.3% −23.76

Ludlow 137 21 15.3% −12.71

Newton Abbot 118 15 12.7% −32.97

Warwick 113 7 6.2% −64.50

Market Rasen 105 15 14.3% −19.04

Huntingdon 101 12 11.9% −33.55

Exeter 87 5 5.7% −48.40

Taunton 79 6 7.6% −43.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 1,459 168 11.5% −335.51

Class 5 1,135 134 11.8% −183.39

Class 3 498 66 13.3% −2.02

Class 2 204 13 6.4% −84.92

Class 6 180 19 10.6% −69.59

Class 1 128 8 6.3% −60.62

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 399 120 30.1% 1.03 −46.29

2nd–3rd fav 877 148 16.9% 1.00 −113.76

4th–6th fav 1,204 110 9.1% 1.11 −154.00

7th+ in betting 1,125 30 2.7% 0.84 −423.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 1,074 129 12% −150.81

1m5f – 2m 1,071 110 10.3% −323.09

2m5f – 3m 1,011 117 11.6% −207.51

Over 3m 336 44 13.1% −10.89

1m2f – 1m4f 52 4 7.7% −6.00

6f – 7f 28 1 3.6% −25.00

1m – 1m1f 25 1 4% −14.00

Under 6f 8 2 25% +0.25

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 100 4 4% −50.25

2009 173 25 14.5% +3.59

2010 160 18 11.3% −57.13

2011 248 35 14.1% −21.36

2012 205 25 12.2% −38.02

2013 206 25 12.1% −71.00

2014 220 20 9.1% −70.05

2015 216 21 9.7% −57.33

2016 182 25 13.7% +14.56

2017 206 21 10.2% −54.25

2018 202 20 9.9% −76.75

2019 183 15 8.2% −94.30

2020 128 10 7.8% −10.92

2021 191 37 19.4% +0.43

2022 186 24 12.9% −58.84

2023 213 18 8.5% −71.54

2024 237 21 8.9% −38.58

2025 190 23 12.1% −13.25

2026 159 21 13.2% +27.94

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 2,385 287 12% −420.21

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 1,172 128 10.9% −260.87

11-13 runners 902 80 8.9% −217.40

5-7 runners 816 136 16.7% −30.07

14-16 runners 443 27 6.1% −143.84

17+ runners 160 8 5% −62.00

2-4 runners 112 29 25.9% −22.87

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81% completed · 3,120 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 1,159 74% 47 34 212 3 5

Hurdle 1,961 85.1% 31 26 224 2 10

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Solstice Star (GB)from Anthony Honeyball 49 9 17 6 May 21

Any Currency (IRE) 49 6 23 19 Apr 17

Mr Mafia (IRE)from Tony Carroll 46 12 20 14 Nov 23

The Fox's Decree (GB)from Tim Vaughan 46 3 21 21 Jul 13

The Kvilleken (GB)then Hannah James 45 2 18 1 Nov 17

Kyles Faith (IRE) 45 3 9 16 Nov 15

Mauricetheathlete (IRE) 45 4 14 23 Apr 14

Benbane Head (USA) 44 7 18 28 Jun 15

Ben Buie (IRE) 41 7 15 2 Jan 25

Monty's Revenge (IRE) 41 5 10 20 Jun 16

Enforcement (IRE) 40 2 6 5 Jul 24

Always Bold (IRE)from Donald McCain 38 5 16 26 Jul 15

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 340 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 19 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 19 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Mary Hambro (2) and Mme Christiane Head (2); 41 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard; 53 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

2 from 8

Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

91211814915910141310

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJames Best

10% of all rides
8.8% SR · A/E 1.03

RiderRWSR£1

James Best 353 31 8.8% −121.57

Sean Bowen 323 61 18.9% +57.21

Ian Popham 306 38 12.4% −46.08

Andrew Tinkler 302 33 10.9% −36.82

Warren Marston 288 38 13.2% −23.62

Alain Cawley 157 21 13.4% −33.59

Freddie Keighley 143 18 12.6% −5.47

Harry Stock 137 15 10.9% −27.75

Richard Johnson 111 22 19.8% −6.75

Harry Atkins 81 6 7.4% −31.62

Conor Shoemark 73 4 5.5% −26.50

Daniel Hiskett 72 6 8.3% −41.65

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

412

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.44m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 37 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Annacotty (IRE) — Kauto Star Novices' Chase (In Memory Of Nigel Clark) (Formerly The Feltham Novices' Chase) (Grade 1) Kempton · Dec 2013 · Grade 1

£39,865

Annacotty (IRE) — freebets.com Trophy Chase (Grade 3 Handicap) Cheltenham · Jan 2015 · Grade 3

£28,475

Champion Court (IRE) — Macmillan Cancer Support Silver Trophy Chase (Grade 2 Limited Handicap) Cheltenham · Apr 2013 · Class 1

£28,475

Notable horses

Mr Mafia (IRE) Solstice Star (GB) Back On The Lash (GB) Duke Of Luckley (IRE) Found On (IRE) Benbane Head (USA)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kayf Tara (GB) 11.8% · 28–237

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,769 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Mahler (GB) 17.2% · 25–145

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,898 runs since 2014 (790 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Court Cave (IRE) 14.1% · 20–142

Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,970 runs since 2008 (553 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.

Midnight Legend (GB) 11.9% · 12–101

Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,311 runs since 2008 (494 horses).

Presenting (GB) 16.7% · 14–84

Progeny have won 11% of 20,053 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Ocovango (GB) 13.2% · 9–68

Progeny have won 9.5% of 3,024 runs since 2019 (308 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 13.8% from 196.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,649 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,649 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 11 March 2005 to 10 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

10 Nov 26 Huntingdon Escaria Ten (FR)J: Freddie Keighley PricedUp Boosts And BOG Veterans' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 4 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 7/2

09 Nov 26 Stratford Lord Virginia (FR)J: Freddie Keighley 31 Days Free Racing TV At racingtv.com/freetrial Novices' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran PU 5/2F

09 Nov 26 Stratford Bobbi's Beauty (IRE)J: Freddie Keighley Get A Free Trial Of Racing TV Now Mares' Handicap Steeple Chase (Challenger Mares' Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 3 · 21f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 1st 11/1

07 Nov 26 Uttoxeter Amberelli (GB)J: Sean Bowen 0% Commission For 110 Days At Matchbook Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 1st 4/1C

05 Nov 26 Newbury Moments Away (IRE)J: Sean Bowen CSP Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 5th 2/1J

05 Nov 26 Newbury Ballyvango (IRE)J: Beau Morgan OLBG Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 8th 16/1

04 Nov 26 Chepstow Midnight Pass (GB)J: Sean Bowen Floyds Turfcare & Weed Solutions Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran PU 6/1

04 Nov 26 Chepstow Emailandy (IRE)J: Freddie Keighley Lords Taverners Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 14/1

30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Pike Road (GB)J: James Best Abode Estate Agents Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20f · Good · 15 ran 13th 22/1

30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Springs A Girl (IRE)J: Freddie Keighley Abode Estate Agents Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20f · Good · 15 ran 4th 18/1

29 Oct 26 Ffos Las Lucky Bailly (FR)J: Freddie Keighley bettingsites.co.uk Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Heavy · 11 ran PU 14/1

27 Oct 26 Bangor-on-Dee Hot Goddess (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Kellyhill Financial Planning Mares' Handicap Hurdle Race (Challenger Mares' Hurdle Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good · 10 ran 8th 17/2

27 Oct 26 Bangor-on-Dee Glance Of Glory (GB)J: Freddie Keighley Spooktacular Family Day Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 23f · Good · 9 ran F 100/30F

26 Oct 26 Hereford Here I Bow (FR)J: James Best BETTING.BET Play Champion Tipster Juvenile Maiden Hurdle Race (Div II) (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 6th 28/1

26 Oct 26 Hereford Prairie Diamond (IRE)J: Mr Harry Hoyles BETTING.BET Free Racing Tips 'hands And Heels' Handicap Hurdle Race(conditional & Amateur Jockeys') (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series)Class 5 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran UR 11/4

24 Oct 26 Cheltenham Turndlightsdownlow (IRE)J: Freddie Keighley William Hill Price Boosts 'chasing Excellence' Novices' Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 2 · 25f · Good To Soft · 6 ran UR 4/1

24 Oct 26 Cheltenham Shannon Royale (IRE)J: Freddie Keighley William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 2 · 25f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 16/1

24 Oct 26 Cheltenham De Temps En Temps (IRE)J: Freddie Keighley William Hill Epic Boosts Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 7/1

24 Oct 26 Cheltenham O'Moore Park (IRE)J: Sean Bowen William Hill Epic Boosts Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 1st 25/1

23 Oct 26 Cheltenham Better Off Alone (IRE)J: Mr Sean O'Connor Chapel Down Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 25f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 2nd 7/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 11 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 5 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 5 runs (won 1) · to 10 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Martin Keighley's strike rate?: Martin Keighley has won 408 of 3,605 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.3% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Martin Keighley do best at?: Ludlow by strike rate: 21 wins from 137 runners (15.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Martin Keighley?: James Best, with 353 runners since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 31 (8.8%).
Is Martin Keighley in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Martin Keighley's Fair A/E?: 1.02, from 3,597 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.