Miss D A McHale
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out 238 runners in our archive record (2005–2007), almost all on the flat, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across that record (Fair A/E 0.91).
The record is strongest at Southwell (AW) (11.3%, n=53), clear of the yard's 4.6% baseline. The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 3% strike, Fair A/E 0.79 and −15.00 to a £1 stake over 101 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. The yard also read well at trips under 6f (9.1%, n=33) and over 1m5f – 2m (8%, n=50). The record read poorly over 6f – 7f — 1.5% over 66 runners, 3.1pts below the baseline.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. Tiles that depend on a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time off, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are not shown on an archive-era record: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 2005–2007Jockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 238 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 238 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2005 to 6 August 2007.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Miss D A McHale's strike rate?
- Miss D A McHale has won 11 of 238 runners between 2005 and 2007, a strike rate of 4.6% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. Our archive begins in 2005, so anything earlier is not counted.
- Which course does Miss D A McHale do best at?
- Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 6 wins from 53 runners (11.3%) between 2005 and 2007. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- What is Miss D A McHale's Fair A/E?
- 0.91, from 237 runners with a computed fair probability between 2005 and 2007. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.