Skip to content
Trainer profile

Mrs Lorna Fowler

391 runners in the lifetime window · 67 individual horses
As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago 90% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
30–391
Wins / Runs
7.7%
Strike rate
n=391
99 (25%)
Placed
1.04
Fair A/E
n=391 · 0.84 incl. margin
−91.40
£1 level stake
n=391 at SP · −23.4%
£599k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04).

Deterministic profile computed from 391 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Conor Orr: 14.5% from 55
The read

In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 2.6% (n=38, Fair A/E 0.38). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.55 and −85.84 to a £1 stake over 115 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Conor Orr rides 14% of the entries and beats the yard's average (14.5% vs 7.7%, A/E 1.31) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (11.9%, n=109) and over 2m5f – 3m (12%, n=50). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 2.5% over 40 runners, 5.2pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Railway Bar Lismullen Hurdle at Navan (Nov 2025, £29,500). The stable star of the record: Politesse (IRE) — 5 wins from 15 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.3%−3.4
n=115 · A/E 0.55 · £1 −85.84
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.7
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
Debutants · first career start
6%−1.7
n=50 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +67.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
3.8%−3.9
n=26 · A/E 0.66 · £1 +15.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−7.7
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
When favourite
35.3%
n=17 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −3.43
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.6%−0.1
n=211 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −43.22
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
2.6%−5.1
n=38 · A/E 0.38 · £1 −25.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Kieren Buckley 18.8% vs 7.7% · n=32
With Conor Orr 14.5% vs 7.7% · n=55
Off a 15-30-day break 11.9% vs 7.7% · n=109
In Class 1 2.5% vs 7.7% · n=40
In Group / Graded races 2.6% vs 7.7% · n=38
Over 2m5f – 3m 12% vs 7.7% · n=50
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 242 19 7.9% −73.73
NH Flat 58 3 5.2% −42.87
Chase 53 5 9.4% −20.00
Flat 38 3 7.9% +45.20

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 153 13 8.5% −26.18
Good 90 8 8.9% −23.25
Good to Soft 88 7 8% −1.97
Heavy 50 2 4% −30.00
Good to Firm 5 0 0% −5.00
Standard (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Fairyhouse 47 3 6.4% +1.58
Punchestown 43 2 4.7% −35.55
Navan 28 4 14.3% +16.50
Tipperary 22 2 9.1% −12.50
Kilbeggan 21 1 4.8% −12.00
Leopardstown 18 1 5.6% −6.00
Down Royal 18 1 5.6% +49.00
Cork 16 1 6.3% −11.00
Naas 14 0 0% −14.00
Ballinrobe 14 1 7.1% +7.00
Roscommon 13 1 7.7% −6.50
Sligo 13 1 7.7% −9.00
Thurles 12 3 25% −2.95
Gowran Park 12 1 8.3% −5.00
Downpatrick 11 0 0% −11.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 40 1 2.5% −27.00
Class 4 8 1 12.5% −6.47
Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 5 1 1 100% +3.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 21 7 33.3% 1.14 −0.93
2nd–3rd fav 74 13 17.6% 1.16 −11.47
4th–6th fav 109 5 4.6% 0.72 −53.00
7th+ in betting 187 5 2.7% 1.11 −26.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
88.1% completed · 295 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 53 90.6% 2 1 2 0 0
Hurdle 242 87.6% 2 4 23 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Colonel Mustard (FR) 32 4 17 11 Mar 26
Banjaxed (GB) 23 2 6 12 Nov 26
Beneficial Society (IRE) 21 1 1 28 Oct 18
Politesse (IRE) 15 5 7 12 Oct 22
Wild Rumour (IRE) 14 0 2 31 May 21
Fairyland Opera (IRE) 13 1 5 10 May 26
Doyenna (IRE) 13 2 4 21 Apr 24
Lady Heath (IRE) 12 1 3 4 Oct 22
Skip Mahler (IRE)then Mark Walford 11 0 4 19 Oct 23
Tophill Low (IRE) 10 1 2 23 Aug 24
Drayton Cross (FR)from Edward Lynam 10 0 2 28 May 22
Good Egg (IRE)from Lady J Fowler · then Miss Sarah Rippon 10 1 4 9 Apr 15
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 67 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Lady J Fowler (3) and Alan King (2); 45 had their first archived run for this yard.

20 have since run for another yard, most often for Adrian Brendan Joyce (2); 40 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
9410491273147611
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderConor Orr
14% of all rides
14.5% SR · A/E 1.31
RiderRWSR£1
Conor Orr 55 8 14.5% −10.42
John Shinnick 32 4 12.5% +27.91
Kieren Buckley 32 6 18.8% +2.28
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
30
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£599k
Prize money
2022
Best season · 7 wins
Colonel Mustard (FR) — Railway Bar Lismullen Hurdle (Grade 2) Navan · Nov 2025 · Grade 2
£29,500
Politesse (IRE) — Eileen Kelly Memorial Chase Galway · Jul 2022
£14,750
Politesse (IRE) — Tote Connacht National Handicap Chase Roscommon · Jun 2022
£14,160
Notable horses
Politesse (IRE) Colonel Mustard (FR) Banjaxed (GB) Doyenna (IRE) Naughtinesse (IRE) Beneficial Society (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Makfi (GB) 12.5% · 4–32
Progeny have won 11.3% of 3,831 runs since 2014 (358 horses).
Blue Bresil (FR) 8.7% · 2–23
Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,569 runs since 2013 (469 horses).
Beneficial (GB) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,047 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Elusive Pimpernel (USA) 9.5% · 2–21
Progeny have won 7.7% of 3,162 runs since 2015 (317 horses).
Califet (FR) 5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,814 runs since 2008 (399 horses).
Presenting (GB) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 11% of 20,053 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 391 · newest first

The latest 50 of 391 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 March 2013 to 12 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
12 Nov 26 Thurles (IRE) Banjaxed (GB)J: John Shinnick Horse & Jockey Handicap Steeplechase18f · Good · 12 ran 12th 33/1
10 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Ard Roisin (IRE)J: John Shinnick Irish Stallion Farms EBF Academy Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 1st 40/1
09 Nov 26 Punchestown (IRE) Cetshwayo (IRE)J: P J O'Hanlon Matchbook 50/5 Series Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 9th 33/1
25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Holly's Thunder (IRE)J: John Shinnick COLM QUINN BMW Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 8 ran 6th 13/2
22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Banjaxed (GB)J: John Shinnick William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Steeplechase21f · Good · 10 ran PU 16/1
22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Ballito Beauty (IRE)J: John Shinnick Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 8th 66/1
03 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Banjaxed (GB)J: John Shinnick Sign up to – GavinLynchRacing.com Handicap Steeplechase20f · Good To Yielding · 6 ran 4th 14/1
02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Ballito Beauty (IRE)J: J J Slevin Cantor Fitzgerald Ireland Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 7th 33/1
19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Lengaruka (FR)J: John Shinnick Meath Farm Machinery Maiden Hurdle21f · Good · 15 ran 5th 16/1
03 Sep 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Ballito Beauty (IRE)J: Mr M J Love Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race19f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 4th 13/2
19 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Lengaruka (FR)J: John Shinnick Solar Generation Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 14/1
06 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Ballito Beauty (IRE)J: Mr M J Love Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race18.5f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 25/1
06 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Il Pirata (IRE)J: Mr M J Love SIS Handicap Hurdle18f · Good · 16 ran 13th 66/1
24 Jul 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Lengaruka (FR)J: John Shinnick Tom McCormack Memorial Cup Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 15 ran 5th 33/1
06 Jul 26 Roscommon Il Pirata (IRE)J: Mr M J Love Shanagher Hearing Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)16f · Good · 14 ran 8th 40/1
06 Jul 26 Roscommon Lengaruka (FR)J: John Shinnick Shanagher Hearing Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)16f · Good · 15 ran 10th 40/1
10 May 26 Cork Fairyland Opera (IRE)J: Anna McGuinness Farm And Industrial Spares Mallow Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)19f · Good · 15 ran PU 12/1
01 May 26 Punchestown Holly's Thunder (IRE)J: Mr M J Love Stables Restaurant Naas Flat Race19f · Yielding · 21 ran 3rd 40/1
29 Apr 26 Punchestown Le Grand Peinture (IRE)J: Jack G Gilligan Louis Fitzgerald Hotel Hurdle19.5f · Yielding · 10 ran PU 80/1
06 Apr 26 Fairyhouse Queen Alice (GB)J: Anna McGuinness Leinster Reinforcements & Brazil Piling (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 3rd 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 22 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · to 22 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Mrs Lorna Fowler's strike rate?
Mrs Lorna Fowler has won 30 of 391 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.7% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mrs Lorna Fowler do best at?
Fairyhouse by strike rate: 3 wins from 47 runners (6.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Mrs Lorna Fowler?
Conor Orr, with 55 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (14.5%).
Is Mrs Lorna Fowler in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mrs Lorna Fowler's Fair A/E?
1.04, from 391 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 14 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).