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Trainer profile

Noel Henley

130 runners in the lifetime window · 22 individual horses
As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Nov 2022
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
3–130
Wins / Runs
2.3%
Strike rate
n=130
13 (10%)
Placed
0.60
Fair A/E
n=130 · 0.46 incl. margin
−78.00
£1 level stake
n=130 at SP · −60.0%
£45,531
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.60).

Deterministic profile computed from 130 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 2.9% Claiming riders: 3.2%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.9%+0.6
n=34 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −17.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Debutants · first career start
5.3%+3.0
n=19 · A/E 1.83 · £1 +7.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.3
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.3
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.2%+0.9
n=62 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −27.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.3
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Soft going 4.9% vs 2.3% · n=41
In Flat races 0% vs 2.3% · n=52
With claiming riders up 3.2% vs 2.3% · n=62 · A/E 0.79
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 36.2% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 52 0 0% −52.00
Chase 32 1 3.1% −15.00
NH Flat 25 2 8% +10.00
Hurdle 21 0 0% −21.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 41 2 4.9% −6.00
Good 36 1 2.8% −19.00
Heavy 24 0 0% −24.00
Good to Firm 14 0 0% −14.00
Standard (AW) 9 0 0% −9.00
Good to Soft 5 0 0% −5.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cork 14 1 7.1% −5.00
Limerick 11 1 9.1% +15.00
Gowran Park 11 0 0% −11.00
Clonmel 10 0 0% −10.00
Killarney 9 0 0% −9.00
Tramore 8 0 0% −8.00
Thurles 8 0 0% −8.00
Dundalk (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Fairyhouse 7 1 14.3% +10.00
Tipperary 6 0 0% −6.00
Galway 6 0 0% −6.00
Naas 5 0 0% −5.00
Wexford 5 0 0% −5.00
Navan 4 0 0% −4.00
Punchestown 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 9 0 0% 0.00 −9.00
4th–6th fav 23 1 4.3% 0.70 −14.00
7th+ in betting 98 2 2% 0.77 −55.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Heavenly Brook (IRE)then R K Watson 19 1 3 18 May 14
Cavelli (IRE) 14 0 3 20 Nov 19
Tigim (IRE)from Peter Henley 13 0 2 11 Sep 09
Bennys Girl (IRE)then Dai Williams 12 0 1 28 Mar 16
Conamore (IRE) 9 0 0 11 Nov 22
Mon Carlos (IRE)then S J Mahon 8 0 1 14 Jun 13
African Flight (GB)from Michael Bell 8 0 0 22 Aug 11
Hill Rock (IRE) 7 0 1 22 Mar 14
Kalanelli (IRE) 5 1 1 17 Jan 14
Conkies Lad (IRE)then Marc Barber 5 0 0 1 Nov 12
Austerity Measures (IRE) 4 0 0 21 Feb 13
Bit Of Crack (IRE) 4 0 0 26 Aug 12
All 22 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 22 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 20 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard; 15 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0001100060080
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Robbie Colgan 13 0 0% −13.00
B J Foley 10 0 0% −10.00
Mr J T Carroll 6 1 16.7% +3.00
Seamie Heffernan 6 0 0% −6.00
Shane Shortall 4 0 0% −4.00
Phillip Enright 4 0 0% −4.00
Robbie Power 4 0 0% −4.00
Michael Hussey 4 0 0% −4.00
Andrew J McNamara 4 1 25% +13.00
Shane Foley 3 0 0% −3.00
Colin Keane 3 0 0% −3.00
Martin Lane 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
4
Archived wins
£56,179
Prize money
2010
Best season · 2 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Heavenly Brook (IRE) — Ryan's Cleaning Events Specialist Beginners Chase Fairyhouse · Apr 2012
£8,970
Tigim (IRE) — Cunnane Stratton Reynolds Handicap (42-70) Limerick · Jun 2007
£7,601
Kalanelli (IRE) — Limerickraces.ie Online Booking Mares (pro/am) Flat Race Limerick · Nov 2010
£5,865
Notable horses
Tigim (IRE) Heavenly Brook (IRE) Kalanelli (IRE) Ebony Diamond (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Alderbrook (GB) 4.3% · 1–23
Progeny have won 9.7% of 3,293 runs since 2008 (299 horses).
Beneficial (GB) 0% · 0–19
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,046 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Dansant (GB) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 7.9% of 545 runs since 2014 (64 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.8% from 110.
Fayruz (GB) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 7.4% of 620 runs since 2008 (43 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.3% from 151.
Tagula (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 9.1% of 5,561 runs since 2008 (382 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.1% from 909.
Aahsaylad (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 6.5% of 186 runs since 2008 (26 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 151 · newest first

The latest 50 of 151 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 June 2005 to 11 November 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
11 Nov 22 Dundalk (AW) Conamore (IRE)J: Sean D Bowen Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)12f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 80/1
01 Sep 22 Clonmel Conamore (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan St. Patrick's Well Handicap (47-65)9.5f · Good · 14 ran 13th 33/1
12 Aug 22 Cork Conamore (IRE)J: Danny Gilligan Newmarket Maiden12f · Good · 14 ran 8th 300/1
27 Jul 22 Galway Conamore (IRE)J: Miss A B O'Connor Tote Guarantee On All Irish & Uk Races (Q.R.) Maiden12f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 15th 150/1
20 Jun 22 Ballinrobe Conamore (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Eamon Sheridan Groundworks Maiden9.5f · Good · 14 ran 7th 100/1
11 Apr 22 Tramore Martelli (IRE)J: Danny Mullins Newtown Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 4th 150/1
07 Apr 22 Limerick Martelli (IRE)J: Ian Power Molly's Late Bar Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 16 ran 10th 300/1
13 Mar 22 Limerick Martelli (IRE)J: Phillip Enright BetVictor Hurdle16f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 7th 200/1
26 Oct 21 Curragh Conamore (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Paddy Power 'From The Horse's Mouth Podcast' Maiden9f · Yielding To Soft · 23 ran 16th 250/1
02 Sep 21 Clonmel Conamore (IRE)J: Danny Sheehy Clonmel Racecourse Supporters Club Fillies Maiden9.5f · Good · 9 ran 8th 300/1
11 Aug 21 Gowran Park Conamore (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Irish EBF Supporting Irish Champions Weekend Fillies Maiden9.5f · Good · 14 ran 12th 200/1
19 Sep 20 Gowran Park Conamore (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan 2021 Golf Membership From 600 Euros Fillies Maiden9.5f · Good · 14 ran 13th 80/1
20 Nov 19 Dundalk (AW) Cavelli (IRE)J: Dean Curran Irishinjuredjockeys.com Apprentice Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)8f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 11/1
01 Oct 19 Cork Cavelli (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Buy Online And Save On Admission Tickets Handicap (45-65)12f · Yielding To Soft · 18 ran 7th 11/1
17 Sep 19 Galway Cavelli (IRE)J: Dean Curran Galway Apprentice Handicap (45-70)12f · Soft · 18 ran 2nd 22/1
17 Jul 19 Killarney Cavelli (IRE)J: Colm O'Donoghue Dorothy Henggeler Memorial Handicap (45-65)11f · Good · 14 ran 5th 20/1
07 Jul 19 Limerick Cavelli (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Stagefright Play Live On 13th July Handicap (45-70)8f · Good · 16 ran 7th 40/1
01 Jan 19 Fairyhouse Cavelli (IRE)J: Danny Mullins Big Picture Communications Mares Novice Hurdle18f · Good · 5 ran 5th 100/1
05 Sep 18 Gowran Park Cavelli (IRE)J: Killian Leonard Kilkenny Apprentice Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)8f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 10th 25/1
18 Aug 18 Tramore Cavelli (IRE)J: W J Lee Strand Inn Handicap (45-65)12f · Good · 13 ran 13th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Noel Henley's strike rate?
Noel Henley has won 3 of 130 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.3% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Noel Henley's Fair A/E?
0.60, from 130 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 8 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).