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Trainer profile

P J Breen

183 runners in the lifetime window · 36 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 21 days ago
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
1–183
Wins / Runs
0.5%
Strike rate
n=183
10 (6%)
Placed
0.23
n=183 · 0.18 incl. margin
−170.00
£1 level stake
n=183 at SP · −92.9%
£21,694
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 1% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.23).

Deterministic profile computed from 183 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 0.9%
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 0.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.38 and −96.00 to a £1 stake over 109 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.00 across 79 runners (0% strike, −79.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 0.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−0.5
n=50 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −50.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−0.5
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−0.5
n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−0.5
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−0.5
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0.9%+0.4
n=109 · A/E 0.38 · £1 −96.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 0.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Heavy going 3.1% vs 0.5% · n=32
In Flat races 1.7% vs 0.5% · n=60 · A/E 0.63
With a new jockey booking 1% vs 0.5% · n=104 · A/E 0.47
In Hurdle races 0% vs 0.5% · n=79 · A/E 0.00
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 0.5% · n=72 · A/E 0.00
On Good going 0% vs 0.5% · n=63 · A/E 0.00
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 79 0 0% −79.00
Flat 60 1 1.7% −47.00
NH Flat 29 0 0% −29.00
Chase 15 0 0% −15.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 63 0 0% −63.00
Soft 43 0 0% −43.00
Heavy 32 1 3.1% −19.00
Good to Soft 25 0 0% −25.00
Standard (AW) 15 0 0% −15.00
Good to Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Tramore 23 0 0% −23.00
Cork 22 0 0% −22.00
Limerick 15 0 0% −15.00
Dundalk (AW) 14 0 0% −14.00
Killarney 12 0 0% −12.00
Gowran Park 12 1 8.3% +1.00
Tipperary 9 0 0% −9.00
Clonmel 9 0 0% −9.00
Listowel 9 0 0% −9.00
Thurles 8 0 0% −8.00
Punchestown 7 0 0% −7.00
Naas 7 0 0% −7.00
Wexford 7 0 0% −7.00
Galway 5 0 0% −5.00
Wexford 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 5 0 0% 0.00 −5.00
4th–6th fav 26 0 0% 0.00 −26.00
7th+ in betting 151 1 0.7% 0.41 −138.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Goodmancon (IRE) 17 0 2 8 Oct 26
Lord Lackendarra (IRE) 16 0 3 24 Jul 26
Rusty Rebel (IRE) 15 0 0 3 Mar 17
Apache Gold (IRE)from Patrick J Flynn · then John J Walsh 11 1 2 24 Nov 12
Bell's Cross (IRE) 9 0 0 10 Jul 15
Tamam Namoose (IRE)from P D Deegan · then Anthony Mullins 8 0 0 17 Aug 14
Miala Araya (IRE)then M A Cahill 7 0 2 5 Sep 22
Wildewood (IRE)from J P Murtagh 7 0 0 23 Nov 20
Annie Iraya (IRE)from Kieran Purcell 6 0 0 2 Jul 22
Golden Birch (IRE) 6 0 0 24 Mar 20
Game Of Dreams (IRE) 6 0 0 2 Nov 18
All 36 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 36 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from J P Murtagh (2) and Kieran Purcell (2); 22 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard, most often for M A Cahill (2); 28 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
000000400000
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
I. J. Power 22 0 0% −22.00
Ms S K Breen 20 0 0% −20.00
Mr P F Casey 14 0 0% −14.00
Patrick Mangan 6 0 0% −6.00
Killian Hennessy 6 0 0% −6.00
Patrick O'Donnell 5 1 20% +8.00
Ambrose McCurtin 5 0 0% −5.00
Killian Leonard 5 0 0% −5.00
J R Barry 5 0 0% −5.00
Mr P Breen 4 0 0% −4.00
Emmet McNamara 4 0 0% −4.00
Sean Flanagan 4 0 0% −4.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→
1
Archived wins
£21,694
Prize money
2012
Best season · 1 win
Apache Gold (IRE) — Follow Gowran Park On Facebook Apprentice Handicap (47-65) Gowran Park · Jul 2012
£4,830
Notable horses

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Diamond Boy (FR) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 12% of 2,279 runs since 2008 (285 horses).
Mount Nelson (GB) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 9.9% of 6,268 runs since 2008 (538 horses).
Arcano (IRE) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,647 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.8% from 147.
Masterofthehorse (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 6.5% of 587 runs since 2008 (61 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 2.4% from 166.
Golden Snake (USA) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 8% of 547 runs since 2008 (33 horses).
High Chaparral (IRE) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 10.3% of 8,730 runs since 2008 (682 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 419.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 183 · newest first

The latest 50 of 183 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 June 2012 to 8 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is P J Breen's strike rate?
P J Breen has won 1 of 183 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 0.5% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is P J Breen's Fair A/E?
0.23, from 183 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).