What is P J Rothwell's strike rate?

P J Rothwell has won 344 of 7,192 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.8% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does P J Rothwell do best at?

Ballinrobe by strike rate: 29 wins from 291 runners (10%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for P J Rothwell?

James O'Sullivan, with 769 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 26 (3.4%).

Is P J Rothwell in form?

In the last 14 days: 16 runners, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 4.8% since 2008.

What is P J Rothwell's Fair A/E?

0.85, from 7,192 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

P J Rothwell

7,192 runners in the lifetime window · 755 individual horses

As at 10 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 20.7% of 799 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.2–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 10 Nov 2026.

Last runner 2 days ago 95% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

344–7,192

Wins / Runs

4.8%

Strike rate

n=7,192

1,284 (18%)

Placed

0.85

Fair A/E

n=7,192 · 0.67 incl. margin

−3,480.15

£1 level stake

n=7,192 at SP · −48.4%

£4.75m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 380 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.85). The yard is quiet just now — 0 winners in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 7,192 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 10 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 20.7% when favourite James O'Sullivan: 3.4% from 769 Claiming riders: 5.2% Sends off the favourite in 3% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ballinrobe (10%, n=291), clear of the yard's 4.8% baseline. Debutants struggle at 1.5% (n=550, Fair A/E 0.54). The market has consistently overbet new recruits from other stables on their first run: 2.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.56 and −107.75 to a £1 stake over 161 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 0 from 16 runners in the last 14 days (0%, 4.8pts below the 4.8% baseline). James O'Sullivan rides 11% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (3.4%, A/E 0.74). 9 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Paddy Power Handicap Chase at Leopardstown (Dec 2005, £108,600). The stable star of the record: Ricky Langford (IRE) — 7 wins from 71 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3.8%−1.0

n=1,337 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −613.77

New recruits · first run for the yard

2.5%−2.3

n=161 · A/E 0.56 · £1 −107.75

Debutants · first career start

1.5%−3.3

n=550 · A/E 0.54 · £1 −364.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

3.5%−1.3

n=373 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −233.25

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

5.8%+1.0

n=292 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −119.75

When favourite

20.7%

n=193 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −58.06

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.2%+0.4

n=4,433 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −1,905.02

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

3.1%−1.7

n=162 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −126.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Davy Russell 19.1% vs 4.8% · n=68

On last-time-out winners 11.6% vs 4.8% · n=345

At Ballinrobe 10% vs 4.8% · n=291

With Paul Townend 9.7% vs 4.8% · n=103

With debutants 1.5% vs 4.8% · n=550

With Eoin McCarthy 9.8% vs 4.8% · n=61

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 4,747 218 4.6% −2,414.34

Chase 1,738 107 6.2% −628.23

Flat 359 9 2.5% −224.33

NH Flat 348 10 2.9% −213.25

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 2,659 120 4.5% −1,312.88

Good 1,686 93 5.5% −609.26

Heavy 1,619 77 4.8% −874.58

Good to Soft 810 37 4.6% −417.81

Good to Firm 249 11 4.4% −143.62

Standard (AW) 132 3 2.3% −106.33

Firm 37 3 8.1% −15.67

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 515 20 3.9% −220.26

Downpatrick 492 28 5.7% −254.37

Limerick 461 18 3.9% −249.87

Fairyhouse 419 15 3.6% −282.67

Thurles 415 17 4.1% −290.00

Tramore 386 24 6.2% −163.25

Clonmel 378 19 5% −144.00

Cork 372 16 4.3% −198.65

Wexford 344 20 5.8% −148.37

Navan 321 11 3.4% −173.00

Kilbeggan 311 17 5.5% −80.50

Ballinrobe 291 29 10% −43.15

Gowran Park 278 11 4% −156.12

Naas 271 11 4.1% −112.50

Down Royal 239 13 5.4% −48.67

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 134 5 3.7% −98.50

Class 3 31 2 6.5% +8.00

Class 4 22 1 4.5% −15.50

Class 5 14 1 7.1% −12.33

Class 2 13 0 0% −13.00

Class 6 8 0 0% −8.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 265 57 21.5% 1.00 −55.60

2nd–3rd fav 813 101 12.4% 0.93 −227.05

4th–6th fav 1,555 96 6.2% 0.87 −490.50

7th+ in betting 4,559 90 2% 0.72 −2,707.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 2,861 144 5% −1,238.20

1m5f – 2m 2,624 118 4.5% −1,349.86

2m5f – 3m 1,279 65 5.1% −664.76

Over 3m 165 10 6.1% −50.00

1m2f – 1m4f 103 1 1% −101.33

1m – 1m1f 100 5 5% −31.00

6f – 7f 51 0 0% −51.00

Under 6f 9 1 11.1% +6.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 501 31 6.2% −273.59

2009 559 28 5% −318.89

2010 433 19 4.4% −256.42

2011 313 8 2.6% −245.88

2012 387 17 4.4% −181.65

2013 366 19 5.2% −136.50

2014 316 7 2.2% −244.00

2015 226 5 2.2% −180.75

2016 218 3 1.4% −201.12

2017 204 6 2.9% −100.00

2018 222 7 3.2% −157.00

2019 258 7 2.7% −164.50

2020 239 5 2.1% −158.00

2021 352 26 7.4% +37.91

2022 432 12 2.8% −241.00

2023 497 42 8.5% −32.75

2024 525 33 6.3% −220.72

2025 619 41 6.6% −227.79

2026 525 28 5.3% −177.50

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 4,373 263 6% −1,447.02

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 2,452 115 4.7% −1,172.74

17+ runners 1,672 41 2.5% −1,135.16

11-13 runners 1,627 74 4.5% −850.91

8-10 runners 1,062 76 7.2% −309.64

5-7 runners 365 36 9.9% −5.95

2-4 runners 14 2 14.3% −5.75

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

83.3% completed · 6,485 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 1,738 75.2% 84 58 280 5 4

Hurdle 4,747 86.3% 86 54 478 16 17

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Ricky Langford (IRE) 71 7 20 6 Jun 25

Paddy O Dee (GB) 59 7 13 15 Apr 15

Union Park (FR) 55 5 13 28 Apr 26

Shanklys Dawn (IRE) 54 4 8 9 Oct 20

Runyon Rattler (IRE) 51 3 15 31 May 21

Mark Me Up (GB) 51 3 13 20 Mar 16

Game And Glory (IRE) 50 2 15 22 May 26

Baltinglass Hill (IRE)from M C Grassick 46 3 9 18 Sep 26

Warm In Gorey (IRE) 45 2 17 23 Sep 26

Fiveaftermidnight (IRE) 45 4 12 3 Mar 24

Paco Jack (IRE)from Joseph Crowley · then Jake Thomas Coulson 44 1 6 5 Feb 14

Galon De Vauzelle (FR) 43 4 14 6 Apr 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 755 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 25 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive; 52 had their first archived run for this yard.

24 have since run for another yard, most often for Joanne Foster (6) and Gordon Elliott (2); 36 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

0 from 16 0% · −4.8pts vs baseline

Last 14 days0%

Lifetime base4.8%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

644655576353

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJames O'Sullivan

11% of all rides
3.4% SR · A/E 0.74

RiderRWSR£1

James O'Sullivan 769 26 3.4% −454.22

Andrew Ring 593 19 3.2% −367.12

Shane Jackson 567 26 4.6% −308.00

Mr T Power Roche 555 44 7.9% −82.54

Simon Torrens 399 20 5% −136.00

Declan Bates 394 18 4.6% −243.43

Brian O'Connell 254 5 2% −175.00

P J O'Hanlon 243 19 7.8% −25.50

Adam Short 197 9 4.6% −74.00

Miss P Elvin 154 9 5.8% −37.67

Dylan Robinson 146 2 1.4% −134.00

Darragh O'Keeffe 114 10 8.8% −44.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

404

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.66m

Prize money

2023

Best season · 42 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Black Apalachi (IRE) — Paddy Power Handicap Chase (0-145) Leopardstown · Dec 2005 · Grade B

£108,600

Divine Rhapsody (IRE) — Goffs Land Rover Bumper Punchestown · Apr 2010

£59,000

Jamies Choice (IRE) — Alchemy Properties Handicap Chase Cork · Oct 2008 · Grade B

£39,060

Notable horses

Ricky Langford (IRE) Paddy O Dee (GB) Union Park (FR) Beneficial Spirit (IRE) El Champo (IRE) That's About Right (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Beneficial (GB) 5.1% · 10–197

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,046 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Doyen (IRE) 7.1% · 11–156

Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,386 runs since 2009 (606 horses).

Sageburg (IRE) 4.2% · 6–144

Progeny have won 10% of 3,489 runs since 2012 (416 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.4% from 389. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 2.7% from 295. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.2% from 355.

Getaway (GER) 5.6% · 7–124

Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,017 runs since 2016 (1,033 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Flemensfirth (USA) 9.2% · 11–119

Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,293 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Mahler (GB) 5% · 6–119

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,892 runs since 2014 (790 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 10 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 8,104 · newest first

The latest 50 of 8,104 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 8 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

08 Nov 26 Naas (IRE) Rockymountainbleu (IRE)J: Tiernan Power Roche Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Brown Lad Handicap Hurdle (Listed)Class 1 · 20f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran PU 14/1

08 Nov 26 Naas (IRE) No Loose Ends (IRE)J: Tiernan Power Roche Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 7th 500/1

08 Nov 26 Naas (IRE) Ataboymiley (IRE)J: Tiernan Power Roche Cavan Developments Supporting St Marys GAA Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 10th 300/1

07 Nov 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Final Decision (GB)J: Mr R Sugrue Pat Carroll's Pub Kilkenny Mares Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 11th 80/1

07 Nov 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Jolly D'olivate (FR)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Pat Carroll's Pub Kilkenny Mares Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 5th 12/1

07 Nov 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Avandra (IRE)J: Shane O'Callaghan Pat Carroll's Pub Kilkenny Mares Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 11th 20/1

07 Nov 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Backinbusiness (IRE)J: Mr R Sugrue Proficient Engineering Irish EBF Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 5th 18/1

07 Nov 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Storm Bresie (GB)J: Tiernan Power Roche PRL Group Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 5th 125/1

05 Nov 26 Clonmel (IRE) Following Orders (IRE)J: Mr R Sugrue Prior Park Service Station Clonmel Handicap Steeplechase17f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 11th 33/1

05 Nov 26 Clonmel (IRE) Young Doran (IRE)J: Mr R Sugrue Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle19.5f · Good · 12 ran 10th 11/1

04 Nov 26 Wexford (IRE) Pat's Prodigies (IRE)J: Mr R Sugrue Start Your Free Trial On Racing Tv Now Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 12th 125/1

04 Nov 26 Wexford (IRE) Kentucky Beach (FR)J: Mr R Sugrue Botanica International Rated Novice Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 8 ran 6th 10/1

04 Nov 26 Wexford (IRE) Gregwell (IRE)J: Tiernan Power Roche Racing Tv Free Trial For A Month Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 5th 66/1

03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) To The Wire (IRE)J: Mr R Sugrue William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 11th 12/1

03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Leading Endeavour (IRE)J: Mr R Sugrue William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 7th 12/1

03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Mistyburn (IRE)J: Mr R Sugrue Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Steeplechase24.5f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 3rd 7/2

26 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Elbow Lane (IRE)J: Dylan Robinson COLM QUINN BMW Handicap Hurdle24f · Heavy · 19 ran PU 25/1

26 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) No Loose Ends (IRE)J: Dylan Robinson Corrib Oil Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Soft To Heavy · 20 ran 15th 66/1

26 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Anunnaki (IRE)J: Mr R Sugrue Corrib Oil Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Soft To Heavy · 20 ran 6th 28/1

26 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) For My Lady (IRE)J: Mr R Sugrue Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction & Median Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Soft To Heavy · 10 ran F 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 8 runs (won 0, 3 did not run) · to 4 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is P J Rothwell's strike rate?: P J Rothwell has won 344 of 7,192 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.8% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does P J Rothwell do best at?: Ballinrobe by strike rate: 29 wins from 291 runners (10%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for P J Rothwell?: James O'Sullivan, with 769 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 26 (3.4%).
Is P J Rothwell in form?: In the last 14 days: 16 runners, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 4.8% since 2008.
What is P J Rothwell's Fair A/E?: 0.85, from 7,192 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.