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Trainer profile

Patrick Eugene Turley

114 runners in the lifetime window · 33 individual horses
As at 26 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 171 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
5–114
Wins / Runs
4.4%
Strike rate
n=114
27 (24%)
Placed
0.57
Fair A/E
n=113 · 0.46 incl. margin
−90.54
£1 level stake
n=114 at SP · −79.4%
£70,669
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.57).

Deterministic profile computed from 114 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 26 Oct 2026
The read

The yard also reads well on Soft going (8.5%, n=47). The record reads poorly over 2m1f – 2m4f — 0% over 40 runners, 4.4pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.5%+0.1
n=22 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −18.25
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.4
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.4
n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.4
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.4
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
22.2%
n=9 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −4.79
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.3%−0.1
n=46 · A/E 0.44 · £1 −41.79
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.4
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 0% vs 4.4% · n=40
On Good going 0% vs 4.4% · n=38
On Soft going 8.5% vs 4.4% · n=47
Off a 15-30-day break 0% vs 4.4% · n=31
In Hurdle races 7% vs 4.4% · n=43
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 43 3 7% −30.29
Flat 31 1 3.2% −24.00
NH Flat 21 0 0% −21.00
Chase 19 1 5.3% −15.25

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 47 4 8.5% −30.54
Good 38 0 0% −38.00
Good to Soft 11 0 0% −11.00
Heavy 10 0 0% −10.00
Standard (AW) 8 1 12.5% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Downpatrick 17 0 0% −17.00
Navan 11 0 0% −11.00
Down Royal 11 1 9.1% −8.62
Fairyhouse 10 1 10% −1.50
Dundalk (AW) 8 1 12.5% −1.00
Punchestown 7 0 0% −7.00
Gowran Park 6 0 0% −6.00
Cork 5 0 0% −5.00
Naas 5 0 0% −5.00
Bellewstown 5 0 0% −5.00
Clonmel 4 0 0% −4.00
Galway 4 0 0% −4.00
Sligo 4 0 0% −4.00
Thurles 3 1 33.3% +0.75
Sedgefield 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 5 1 20% −3.17
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 10 2 20% 0.82 −5.79
2nd–3rd fav 21 2 9.5% 0.65 −8.75
4th–6th fav 34 1 2.9% 0.41 −27.00
7th+ in betting 49 0 0% 0.00 −49.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85.5% completed · 62 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 19 78.9% 0 1 3 0 0
Hurdle 43 88.4% 0 0 5 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Mig Des Taillons (FR)from R A Curran 12 3 5 7 Nov 21
Dento Des Obeaux (FR)from W P Mullins 10 1 4 12 Nov 24
Dunum (IRE)then Miss Natalia Lupini 9 0 4 18 Oct 21
Stockdale (IRE)from B R Hamilton 8 0 3 15 Jul 24
Son Of Tully (IRE) 7 0 0 8 Dec 22
Mrs Paisley (IRE)then Gordon Elliott 6 0 1 21 Dec 22
Gonfalonier (FR)then Nicky Richards 6 0 0 12 Apr 22
Auntie Ida (IRE) 5 0 0 8 May 26
Final Payments (IRE) 5 0 0 14 Jan 23
Tareeshar (IRE)from B R Hamilton 5 0 1 20 Mar 22
Medal Of Glory (IRE)then George Boughey 4 0 0 24 Nov 21
Next Train's Gone (GB)from James Eustace 4 0 0 8 Nov 20
All 33 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 33 horses listed, 10 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from B R Hamilton (2); 23 had their first archived run for this yard.

16 have since run for another yard; 17 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0010000013014013
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMr D G Lavery
32% of all rides
5.6% SR · A/E 0.64
RiderRWSR£1
Mr D G Lavery 36 2 5.6% −29.87
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→
5
Archived wins
£70,669
Prize money
2020
Best season · 3 wins
That's Just Dandy (IRE) — BetVictor Maiden Dundalk (AW) · Oct 2021
£7,080
Mig Des Taillons (FR) — Killahora Farms Handicap Hurdle (80-116) Fairyhouse · Oct 2020
£6,490
Dento Des Obeaux (FR) — Racing Again March 18th Maiden Hunters Chase Thurles · Mar 2023
£5,900
Notable horses
Mig Des Taillons (FR) Dento Des Obeaux (FR) That's Just Dandy (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Montmartre (FR) 25% · 3–12
Progeny have won 11.6% of 2,390 runs since 2008 (303 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.5% from 179. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.9% from 598. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 2.9% from 138.
Balko (FR) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 12.7% of 2,651 runs since 2008 (296 horses).
Ivawood (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 8.9% of 1,409 runs since 2008 (122 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.9% from 118. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.9% from 180. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 168.
Court Cave (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,936 runs since 2008 (551 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 935.
Sageburg (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 10% of 3,475 runs since 2008 (414 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.4% from 389. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 2.4% from 293. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.2% from 355.
Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,832 runs since 2008 (679 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 26 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 114 · newest first

The latest 50 of 114 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 25 July 2020 to 8 May 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
08 May 26 Downpatrick Auntie Ida (IRE)J: Anna McGuinness Angie Orr Still Celebrating Her 70th Birthday Mares Handicap Hurdle18f · Good · 12 ran PU 10/1
11 Apr 26 Bellewstown Girl Is On Fire (GB)J: Robert Whearty BOYLE Sports Handicap (0-60)5f · Soft · 15 ran 15th 33/1
21 Mar 26 Navan Auntie Ida (IRE)J: Mr D G Lavery Mongey Communications Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 23 ran 16th 125/1
15 Feb 26 Punchestown Auntie Ida (IRE)J: Mr D G Lavery EVAD Technology Group Maiden Hurdle19.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 9th 150/1
26 Jan 26 Punchestown Auntie Ida (IRE)J: Mr D G Lavery Matchbook 50:50 Graduation Series Mares Maiden Hurdle19f · Heavy · 16 ran 10th 40/1
31 Dec 25 Punchestown Auntie Ida (IRE)J: Mr D G Lavery Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race18.5f · Yielding · 13 ran 4th 16/1
23 May 25 Downpatrick Yewtree Hill (IRE)J: Mr S R Hamilton Dennison JCB Maiden Hunters Chase23.5f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 10/1
23 May 25 Downpatrick Western Wishes (IRE)J: Mr D J Hanlon Dennison JCB Maiden Hunters Chase23.5f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 14/1
10 May 25 Cork Double Order (IRE)J: Miss T Quail Irish Stallion Farms EBF 4-y-o Fillies Flat Race16.5f · Good · 15 ran 9th 10/1
05 May 25 Down Royal Miracles Do Happen (GB)J: Mr D G Lavery Energise (Pro/Am) Flat Race17.5f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 15/2
12 Nov 24 Fairyhouse Blue Eyed Girl (GB)J: Mr D G Lavery Fairyhouse Point-To-Point Flat Race16f · Good · 7 ran 6th 40/1
12 Nov 24 Fairyhouse Dento Des Obeaux (FR)J: Mr D J Hanlon INHSC Supporting Point-To-Points Hunters Chase24.5f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 6/1
15 Jul 24 Downpatrick Stockdale (IRE)J: Alex Harvey Margaret & Shaun Harte Welcome Sidharth & Rashmi Singh From The Marwari Horse Society Handicap Hurdle (80-95)22f · Good · 14 ran 11th 3/1F
15 Jun 24 Downpatrick Stockdale (IRE)J: Alex Harvey Remembering Caughoo Opportunity Beginners Chase23.5f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 11/4F
24 May 24 Downpatrick Myleno (FR)J: Mr D J Hanlon Dennison Rentals Point-To-Point Flat Race18f · Good · 11 ran PU 8/1
24 May 24 Downpatrick Stockdale (IRE)J: Tom Harney DennPart Beginners Chase19.5f · Good · 11 ran UR 9/2
11 May 24 Cork Blue Eyed Girl (GB)J: Mr D G Lavery Irish Stallion Farms EBF 4-y-o Fillies Flat Race16.5f · Good · 17 ran 10th 12/1
26 Apr 24 Downpatrick Stockdale (IRE)J: Tom Harney Toals Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle (80-102)23f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 6/1
14 Apr 24 Down Royal Stockdale (IRE)J: Tom Harney Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-102)20f · Yielding · 15 ran 4th 11/2
17 Mar 24 Down Royal Stockdale (IRE)J: Mr D G Lavery Powered By Bluegrass Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)20f · Soft · 14 ran 5th 10/3F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Patrick Eugene Turley's strike rate?
Patrick Eugene Turley has won 5 of 114 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.4% (as at 26 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Patrick Eugene Turley's Fair A/E?
0.57, from 113 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 26 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).