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Trainer profile

Sean McParlan

314 runners in the lifetime window · 68 individual horses
As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago 95% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
20–314
Wins / Runs
6.4%
Strike rate
n=314
54 (17%)
Placed
1.20
Fair A/E
n=314 · 0.96 incl. margin
−13.67
£1 level stake
n=314 at SP · −4.4%
£176k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
11.1%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.20). Debutants are a strength: 10% on first career starts (39 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 314 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 2 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Aug Mr N McParlan: 6.7% from 224 Claiming riders: 7.5%
The read

Debutants strike at 10.3% (n=39, Fair A/E 1.86), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.4% (n=118, Fair A/E 0.75). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 7.5% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.22 and +32.83 to a £1 stake over 228 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Mr N McParlan rides 71% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (6.7%, A/E 1.15) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (9.5%, n=95) and on Good going (9.4%, n=96). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 49 runners, 6.4pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.4%−3.0
n=118 · A/E 0.75 · £1 +66.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
3.7%−2.7
n=27 · A/E 0.85 · £1 +74.00
Debutants · first career start
10.3%+3.9
n=39 · A/E 1.86 · £1 −12.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
16.7%+10.3
n=12 · A/E 5.00 · £1 +100.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.4
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
When favourite
11.1%
n=9 · A/E 0.48 · £1 −5.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.5%+1.1
n=228 · A/E 1.22 · £1 +32.83
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.4
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 6.4% · n=49
With debutants 10.3% vs 6.4% · n=39
In Chase races 9.5% vs 6.4% · n=95
On Good to Soft going 2.6% vs 6.4% · n=38
On Good going 9.4% vs 6.4% · n=96
Off a 31-60-day break 8.8% vs 6.4% · n=57
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 165 8 4.8% +26.00
Chase 95 9 9.5% −11.17
NH Flat 38 3 7.9% −12.50
Flat 16 0 0% −16.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 116 6 5.2% +17.83
Good 96 9 9.4% +17.00
Heavy 45 4 8.9% −1.00
Good to Soft 38 1 2.6% −28.50
Good to Firm 11 0 0% −11.00
Standard (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Downpatrick 69 5 7.2% +10.50
Down Royal 48 4 8.3% −12.17
Fairyhouse 24 0 0% −24.00
Punchestown 21 1 4.8% −17.00
Perth 18 3 16.7% +94.50
Navan 14 0 0% −14.00
Wexford 13 1 7.7% −5.00
Thurles 10 1 10% −1.00
Kilbeggan 8 0 0% −8.00
Ayr 7 0 0% −7.00
Tipperary 7 1 14.3% +10.00
Dundalk (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Sligo 7 0 0% −7.00
Naas 6 1 16.7% −1.00
Galway 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 20 4 20% +103.50
Class 5 18 2 11.1% +0.50
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 11 1 9.1% 0.41 −7.50
2nd–3rd fav 35 9 25.7% 1.92 +10.83
4th–6th fav 67 5 7.5% 1.06 −15.00
7th+ in betting 201 5 2.5% 1.04 −2.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85% completed · 260 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 95 80% 2 0 16 1 0
Hurdle 165 87.9% 4 1 13 2 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Walkers Point (IRE)from David M O'Brien 27 2 4 2 May 22
Drummullagh Rocky (IRE)from G A Kingston 26 3 5 6 May 22
Deadheat (FR)from Augustin Adeline De Boisbrunet 18 2 6 2 Oct 26
Strong Euro (IRE) 16 0 2 8 Nov 12
Super Sling (GB)from Thomas Gibney 12 0 0 7 Aug 22
Drumlee Myth (IRE) 11 2 5 2 Oct 26
Le Malin (FR)from Francois Nicolle 11 1 3 15 Aug 26
Mr Bolt (IRE)from Michael O'Hare 10 0 3 14 Sep 20
Holycross Lito (IRE) 8 0 1 22 Mar 20
Golden Drumlee (IRE) 8 0 0 30 Jul 19
Tikkereasy (IRE) 8 0 0 26 Jul 18
Itshard To No (IRE)then Kerry Lee 8 1 3 9 Aug 15
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 68 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 24 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Michael O'Hare (4) and D T Hughes (3); 36 had their first archived run for this yard.

15 have since run for another yard, most often for Noel C. Kelly (2); 45 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0075701010013412
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMr N McParlan
71% of all rides
6.7% SR · A/E 1.15
RiderRWSR£1
Mr N McParlan 224 15 6.7% +18.33
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
22
Archived wins
£189k
Prize money
2020
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Pink Suitcase (IRE) — INH Stallion Owners EBF Maiden Hurdle Naas · Mar 2008
£11,056
Drummullagh Rocky (IRE) — Remembering The McDowell Family's 'Caughoo' Ulster & Aintree Grand National Winner Handicap Chase Downpatrick · Aug 2021
£8,850
Deadheat (FR) — Ladbrokes Get Your Daily Odds Boost Handicap Chase Punchestown · Oct 2020
£8,555
Notable horses
Drummullagh Rocky (IRE) Big Zoomo (IRE) Walkers Point (IRE) Deadheat (FR) Drumlee Myth (IRE) Cabra Lady (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Golan (IRE) 7.4% · 2–27
Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,151 runs since 2008 (288 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 258.
Pasternak (GB) 11.5% · 3–26
Progeny have won 8.5% of 895 runs since 2008 (74 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.4% from 158.
Buck's Boum (FR) 8% · 2–25
Progeny have won 11% of 1,380 runs since 2015 (178 horses).
Watar (IRE) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 7.9% of 560 runs since 2017 (59 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 11% from 181. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.7% from 169.
Euro Bus (IRE) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 9.9% of 151 runs since 2008 (27 horses).
Beneficial (GB) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,045 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 338 · newest first

The latest 50 of 338 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 February 2005 to 31 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
31 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Cantgetaway (IRE)J: Caragh Monaghan SIS, Proud Sponsors Of Irish Racing (Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Good · 14 ran 8th 100/1
13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Cantgetaway (IRE)J: Mr N. McParlan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race16f · Good · 14 ran 11th 40/1
02 Oct 26 Hexham Deadheat (FR)J: Mr N. McParlan Lee "Bazza" Jenkinson Memorial Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 13/2
02 Oct 26 Hexham Drumlee Myth (IRE)J: Mr N. McParlan Martin Bowler Memorial Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 1st 5/2
28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Thornleigh Frank (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan Castlecoote Handicap Hurdle24f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 4th 7/1
21 Aug 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Deadheat (FR)J: Mr N McParlan New Forest Estate & Golf Club Handicap Steeplechase26f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 3rd 40/1
21 Aug 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Anns Getaway (IRE)J: Mr N McParlan Curragh To Curragh Charity Cycle On 29th August Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 13 ran 10th 250/1
15 Aug 26 Perth Le Malin (FR)J: Mr N McParlan Brooks Macdonald Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 7 ran 4th 11/2
15 Aug 26 Perth Drumlee Myth (IRE)J: Mr N McParlan Malcolm Group Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 24f · Good · 11 ran 6th 11/4F
09 Aug 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Leitzel (GB)J: Alan O'Sullivan Lily O'Hare Memorial Handicap Hurdle18f · Good · 9 ran 5th 10/1
08 Aug 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Anns Getaway (IRE)J: Mr N McParlan Well Of Moate Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 11 ran 10th 150/1
20 Jul 26 Cartmel Le Malin (FR)J: Mr N McParlan RF Miller & Co Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 25.5f · Good · 3 ran 3rd 7/2
20 Jul 26 Cartmel Drumlee Myth (IRE)J: Mr N McParlan Molson Coors Handicap Hurdle Race (Div I)Class 5 · 22f · Good · 9 ran 1st 14/1
03 Jul 26 Wexford Deadheat (FR)J: Mr N McParlan Save The Date 7th August Ladies Day Handicap Chase (0-100)19.5f · Good · 13 ran 10th 50/1
03 Jul 26 Wexford Lakota Blue (FR)J: Mr N McParlan Clearwater Construction Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)17f · Good · 13 ran 9th 20/1
22 May 26 Downpatrick Scary Askari (GB)J: Shane Fitzgerald Frank And Brian Fitzsimons Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100)22f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 3rd 11/4F
04 May 26 Down Royal Leitzel (GB)J: E Walsh Club Lemon Handicap Hurdle (0-100)17.5f · Good · 20 ran 13th 50/1
17 Mar 26 Down Royal Leitzel (GB)J: Mr N McParlan Bluegrass Respire Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)20.5f · Yielding · 18 ran 15th 66/1
31 Dec 25 Punchestown Hello Yes (IRE)J: Brian Barry Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16.5f · Yielding · 18 ran 14th 50/1
31 Dec 25 Punchestown Scary Askari (GB)J: Caragh Monaghan Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16.5f · Yielding · 18 ran 13th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 31 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0, 1 did not run) · to 31 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Sean McParlan's strike rate?
Sean McParlan has won 20 of 314 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Sean McParlan do best at?
Down Royal by strike rate: 4 wins from 48 runners (8.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Sean McParlan?
Mr N McParlan, with 224 runners since 2008 — 71% of the total. That pairing has won 15 (6.7%).
Is Sean McParlan in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Sean McParlan's Fair A/E?
1.20, from 314 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 2 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).