S Smrczek
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 70 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 10% (60 runs, true-first definition).
In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 2.7% (n=75, Fair A/E 0.52). The market has consistently overbet debutants: 5.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.75 and −25.40 to a £1 stake over 165 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Mickael Barzalona rides 9% of the entries and beats the yard's average (15.3% vs 7.9%, A/E 1.52) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 2.7% over 75 runners, 5.2pts below the baseline. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Grand Handicap de Chantilly at Chantilly (FR) (Jun 2014, £27,417). Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Sep.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,348 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,348 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 May 2005 to 4 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is S Smrczek's strike rate?
- S Smrczek has won 105 of 1,328 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does S Smrczek do best at?
- Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 18 wins from 193 runners (9.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for S Smrczek?
- Mickael Barzalona, with 118 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (15.3%).
- Is S Smrczek in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is S Smrczek's Fair A/E?
- 1.03, from 1,302 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.