What is Seamus Spillane's strike rate?

Seamus Spillane has won 17 of 270 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Seamus Spillane do best at?

Cork by strike rate: 5 wins from 41 runners (12.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Seamus Spillane?

Mr D M Spillane, with 71 runners since 2008 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (2.8%).

What is Seamus Spillane's Fair A/E?

0.97, from 269 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Seamus Spillane

270 runners in the lifetime window · 39 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jun 2022 97% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

17–270

Wins / Runs

6.3%

Strike rate

n=270

60 (22%)

Placed

0.97

Fair A/E

n=269 · 0.80 incl. margin

−86.34

£1 level stake

n=270 at SP · −32.0%

£279k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 6% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.97).

Deterministic profile computed from 270 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr Mr D M Spillane: 2.8% from 71 Claiming riders: 6.5%

The read

The record is strongest at Cork (12.2%, n=41), clear of the yard's 6.3% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.2% (n=63, Fair A/E 0.64). Mr D M Spillane rides 26% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (2.8% vs 6.3%, A/E 0.51). The yard also reads well in Chase races (10.3%, n=78) and off a 8-14-day break (10.6%, n=47). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 30 runners, 6.3pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Holden Plant Rentals Shamrock Handicap Chase at Gowran Park (Mar 2018, £29,500). The stable star of the record: Goulane Chosen (IRE) — 6 wins from 31 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3.2%−3.1

n=63 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −33.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

8.3%+2.0

n=12 · A/E 3.58 · £1 +5.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−6.3

n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5%−1.3

n=20 · A/E 1.61 · £1 −3.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

10%+3.7

n=10 · A/E 2.96 · £1 −2.00

When favourite

9.1%

n=11 · A/E 0.39 · £1 −9.17

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.5%+0.2

n=201 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −88.34

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

4.5%−1.8

n=22 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −12.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With B J Foley 12.8% vs 6.3% · n=39

At Cork 12.2% vs 6.3% · n=41

Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 6.3% · n=30

In Chase races 10.3% vs 6.3% · n=78

Off a 8-14-day break 10.6% vs 6.3% · n=47

On Good going 10.2% vs 6.3% · n=49

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 165 9 5.5% −51.67

Chase 78 8 10.3% −7.67

NH Flat 19 0 0% −19.00

Flat 8 0 0% −8.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Heavy 96 8 8.3% −21.50

Soft 92 3 3.3% −41.67

Good 49 5 10.2% −3.17

Good to Soft 22 1 4.5% −9.00

Good to Firm 9 0 0% −9.00

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Limerick 47 2 4.3% −26.00

Cork 41 5 12.2% +10.83

Clonmel 24 2 8.3% −1.50

Fairyhouse 22 3 13.6% +21.00

Tramore 19 1 5.3% −6.00

Thurles 18 0 0% −18.00

Punchestown 18 1 5.6% −12.00

Wexford 13 0 0% −13.00

Kilbeggan 10 1 10% +2.00

Gowran Park 10 1 10% +0.00

Tipperary 9 0 0% −9.00

Killarney 8 0 0% −8.00

Listowel 5 0 0% −5.00

Leopardstown 4 0 0% −4.00

Navan 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 21 1 4.8% −11.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 13 1 7.7% 0.35 −11.17

2nd–3rd fav 37 6 16.2% 0.99 −2.17

4th–6th fav 59 4 6.8% 0.96 −15.00

7th+ in betting 161 6 3.7% 1.34 −58.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81.5% completed · 243 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 78 76.9% 7 4 7 0 0

Hurdle 165 83.6% 3 4 20 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Goulane Chosen (IRE)from David J McGrath 31 6 14 28 May 22

Goulane Davina (IRE) 29 2 12 27 Apr 18

Ballea Fox (GB)from Robert Tyner · then Aidan Anthony Howard 27 3 5 13 Mar 22

Goulane Jessie (IRE) 24 2 7 2 Jun 21

Orah Hall (IRE) 22 0 3 16 Feb 17

Irregularheartbeat (IRE)then Terence O'Brien 18 2 4 12 May 22

Wrong Direction (IRE)then Declan Queally 12 1 6 14 Jun 21

Dr Doocey (IRE)from John M Burke 11 1 1 18 Mar 12

Boola Belle (IRE) 9 0 0 8 Jun 22

Attoe (IRE)then Neil Mechie 8 0 1 21 Aug 21

Lanespark (IRE)from E J O'Grady 8 0 1 22 Jun 15

Second Eclipse (IRE) 6 0 0 28 Nov 08

All 39 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 39 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ronald Curran (2); 27 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for Michael Winters (2) and Terence O'Brien (2); 28 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

38121546400043

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderMr D M Spillane

26% of all rides
2.8% SR · A/E 0.51

RiderRWSR£1

Mr D M Spillane 71 2 2.8% −49.00

B J Foley 39 5 12.8% +8.50

Donal McInerney 37 3 8.1% −6.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£279k

Prize money

2021

Best season · 7 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Goulane Chosen (IRE) — Holden Plant Rentals Shamrock Handicap Chase (Grade B) Gowran Park · Mar 2018 · Grade B

£29,500

Goulane Chosen (IRE) — Buy Twilight Racing Tickets Online Handicap Chase Limerick · Mar 2019

£15,375

Goulane Chosen (IRE) — Breeders' Cup Starts Tomorrow On At The Races Rated Chase Clonmel · Nov 2017

£10,164

Notable horses

Goulane Chosen (IRE) Ballea Fox (GB) Goulane Davina (IRE) Goulane Jessie (IRE) Irregularheartbeat (IRE) Wrong Direction (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Well Chosen (GB) 10.9% · 11–101

Progeny have won 12.7% of 1,926 runs since 2008 (156 horses).

Multiplex (GB) 11.1% · 3–27

Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,181 runs since 2011 (291 horses).

Saddlers' Hall (IRE) 0% · 0–22

Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,861 runs since 2008 (460 horses).

Dr Massini (IRE) 5.3% · 1–19

Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,942 runs since 2008 (406 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14% from 421.

Stowaway (GB) 11.1% · 2–18

Progeny have won 11.3% of 7,190 runs since 2008 (561 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 124.

Le Fou (IRE) 0% · 0–9

Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,418 runs since 2010 (137 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 12.1% from 239.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 279 · newest first

The latest 50 of 279 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 11 June 2005 to 8 June 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

08 Jun 22 Wexford Boola Belle (IRE)J: Kieran Callaghan Three Rocks Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 10 ran PU 28/1

28 May 22 Punchestown Goulane Chosen (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Ladbrokes Committed To Safer Gambling Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 10 ran 7th 22/1

26 May 22 Limerick Boola Belle (IRE)J: Danny Mullins SP Or Better Guaranteed With Tote Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)19f · Good · 15 ran 9th 50/1

12 May 22 Clonmel Irregularheartbeat (IRE)J: Denis O'Regan Talbot Hotel Clonmel Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16.5f · Good · 14 ran 5th 16/1

02 May 22 Down Royal Boola Belle (IRE)J: Conor McNamara Club Lemon Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16.5f · Good To Yielding · 19 ran PU 66/1

10 Apr 22 Tramore Irregularheartbeat (IRE)J: Denis O'Regan Lismore Handicap Chase (0-109)15f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 4th 7/2F

03 Apr 22 Fairyhouse Irregularheartbeat (IRE)J: Denis O'Regan Avoid The Easter Queues By Booking Online Mares Handicap Hurdle (80-116)16f · Yielding · 12 ran 1st 28/1

13 Mar 22 Limerick Ballea Fox (GB)J: Gavin Brouder Croom Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)22f · Soft To Heavy · 16 ran 6th 33/1

06 Mar 22 Wexford Goulane Chosen (IRE)J: Richard Deegan Micheal O'Murchadha Memorial Handicap Hurdle16f · Heavy · 7 ran 3rd 7/1

05 Mar 22 Navan Irregularheartbeat (IRE)J: Denis O'Regan NavanRacecourse.ie Mares Handicap Chase20f · Yielding · 10 ran 9th 20/1

27 Feb 22 Naas Goulane Chosen (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Naas Racecourse Handicap Hurdle15.5f · Soft · 21 ran 4th 50/1

31 Jan 22 Punchestown Ballea Fox (GB)J: Shane Fitzgerald Punchestown Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1)24f · Yielding · 21 ran 8th 25/1

23 Jan 22 Thurles Goulane Chosen (IRE)J: Denis O'Regan Horse & Jockey Handicap Hurdle15.5f · Yielding · 15 ran 4th 22/1

01 Jan 22 Tramore Ballea Fox (GB)J: Mike O'Connor Tom Carroll Memorial Handicap Chase (0-102)22f · Soft To Heavy · 15 ran PU 33/1

02 Dec 21 Clonmel Irregularheartbeat (IRE)J: Denis O'Regan Next Meeting Thursday January 6th Novice Handicap Chase18f · Yielding To Soft · 10 ran 7th 20/1

02 Dec 21 Clonmel Boola Belle (IRE)J: Shane Fenelon Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95)19f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 14th 200/1

16 Nov 21 Limerick Boola Belle (IRE)J: Jack Foley Patrickswell Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95)24f · Yielding To Soft · 14 ran 9th 80/1

14 Nov 21 Cork Irregularheartbeat (IRE)J: Denis O'Regan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Beginners Chase16.5f · Soft · 7 ran 4th 100/1

28 Oct 21 Clonmel Irregularheartbeat (IRE)J: Denis O'Regan Clonmel Oil Chase Day November 11th Mares Chase18.5f · Heavy · 6 ran 5th 12/1

28 Oct 21 Clonmel Ballea Fox (GB)J: Mr Finian Maguire Powerstown Demesne (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 11th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Seamus Spillane's strike rate?: Seamus Spillane has won 17 of 270 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Seamus Spillane do best at?: Cork by strike rate: 5 wins from 41 runners (12.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Seamus Spillane?: Mr D M Spillane, with 71 runners since 2008 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (2.8%).
What is Seamus Spillane's Fair A/E?: 0.97, from 269 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.