Simon Whitaker
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.78).
The record is strongest at Catterick (11.9%, n=84), clear of the yard's 5.6% baseline. It is weakest at Southwell (AW) (0% over 37 runners) — the widest gap in the record. The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 4.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.64 and −87.34 to a £1 stake over 115 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Phil Dennis rides 27% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.7%, A/E 0.72). The record reads poorly in Class 4 — 0% over 45 runners, 5.6pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Billy Roberts (IRE) — 5 wins from 33 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Aug.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2021→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 576 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 576 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 April 2021 to 29 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Simon Whitaker's strike rate?
- Simon Whitaker has won 32 of 576 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.6% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Simon Whitaker do best at?
- Catterick by strike rate: 10 wins from 84 runners (11.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Simon Whitaker?
- Phil Dennis, with 158 runners since 2008 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (5.7%).
- Is Simon Whitaker in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 11 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Simon Whitaker's Fair A/E?
- 0.78, from 574 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.