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Trainer profile

Stephanie Cassidy

78 runners in the lifetime window · 14 individual horses
As at 9 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 6 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
2–78
Wins / Runs
2.6%
Strike rate
n=78
10 (13%)
Placed
0.57
n=78 · 0.47 incl. margin
−26.00
£1 level stake
n=78 at SP · −33.3%
£24,736
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 5.6%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.6
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.6
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.6
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.6
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.6%+3.0
n=36 · A/E 1.65 · £1 +16.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With a new jockey booking 6.1% vs 2.6% · n=33
With claiming riders up 5.6% vs 2.6% · n=36
On Standard (AW) going 3.2% vs 2.6% · n=62 · A/E 0.73
In Class 6 2.8% vs 2.6% · n=72 · A/E 0.59
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 70.4% of the archive so far (as at 9 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 62 2 3.2% −10.00
Good to Firm 9 0 0% −9.00
Good to Soft 2 0 0% −2.00
Good 2 0 0% −2.00
Soft 2 0 0% −2.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW) 34 1 2.9% +7.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 13 1 7.7% −2.00
Southwell (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Yarmouth 4 0 0% −4.00
Lingfield 4 0 0% −4.00
Brighton 3 0 0% −3.00
Leicester 2 0 0% −2.00
Bath 1 0 0% −1.00
Windsor 1 0 0% −1.00
Newmarket 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 72 2 2.8% −20.00
Class 5 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
4th–6th fav 20 1 5% 0.73 −9.00
7th+ in betting 54 1 1.9% 0.68 −13.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Laurentia (IRE)from John E Long 19 0 5 31 Jan 26
So Chic (IRE)from John E Long 16 2 3 3 Nov 26
Pure Theory (GB)from Eve Johnson Houghton 12 0 1 10 Sep 26
Pink Socks (IRE)from Ian Williams 8 0 0 15 Oct 26
Molly Valentine (IRE)from Clare Hobson 5 0 1 26 Oct 26
Alfa Moonstone (GB)from Craig Lidster 5 0 0 2 Aug 25
Mary Rose (GB)from Brett Johnson 3 0 0 25 Feb 26
Arlo's Sunshine (GB)from John E Long 3 0 0 14 Jan 26
Minshaar (GB)from Richard Fahey 2 0 0 28 Jul 26
Dancing Terror (GB)from Amanda Perrett 1 0 0 4 Aug 26
Timeless Spirit (GB)from Paul Attwater 1 0 0 13 Oct 25
Kitty Bennet (GB)from John E Long 1 0 0 15 Aug 25
All 14 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 14 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John E Long (5).

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0090000140000
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Liam Wright 16 1 6.3% +25.00
Ryan Kavanagh 8 0 0% −8.00
Tyler Heard 8 0 0% −8.00
Jack Doughty 6 1 16.7% +5.00
William Carson 6 0 0% −6.00
Mr Jake Holman 4 0 0% −4.00
Oliver Carmichael 4 0 0% −4.00
Rhys Clutterbuck 3 0 0% −3.00
Hollie Doyle 3 0 0% −3.00
Gina Mangan 3 0 0% −3.00
Callum Shepherd 2 0 0% −2.00
Georgia Dobie 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→
2
Archived wins
£24,736
Prize money
2025
Best season · 2 wins
So Chic (IRE) — Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap (AWT) (Div 1) Lingfield (AW) · Aug 2025 · Class 6
£4,711
So Chic (IRE) — Boost Your Acca With BetMGM Classified Stakes (Div 3) Wolverhampton (AW) · Mar 2025 · Class 6
£3,140
Notable horses

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Iffraaj (GB) 0% · 0–19
Progeny have won 10.5% of 13,995 runs since 2010 (1,093 horses).
Exceed And Excel (AUS) 12.5% · 2–16
Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,039 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.
Ulysses (IRE) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 10.5% of 2,999 runs since 2021 (295 horses).
Vadamos (FR) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,120 runs since 2020 (224 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.6% from 160.
Havana Grey (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 13.2% of 4,611 runs since 2022 (420 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.2% from 105. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 9.9% from 424.
Tamayuz (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 10.4% of 5,189 runs since 2012 (401 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 78 · newest first

The latest 50 of 78 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 October 2024 to 3 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
28 Jul 26 Yarmouth Minshaar (GB)J: Liam Wright Get Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 9th 40/1
08 Jul 26 Yarmouth Pure Theory (GB)J: Liam Wright Haven HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 5th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 13 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 13 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Stephanie Cassidy's strike rate?
Stephanie Cassidy has won 2 of 78 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.6% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Stephanie Cassidy do best at?
Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 1 wins from 34 runners (2.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Stephanie Cassidy in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Stephanie Cassidy's Fair A/E?
0.57, from 78 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 9 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).