What is Stephen Ryan's strike rate?

Stephen Ryan has won 25 of 506 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.9% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Stephen Ryan do best at?

Punchestown by strike rate: 3 wins from 35 runners (8.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Stephen Ryan's Fair A/E?

0.88, from 506 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Stephen Ryan

506 runners in the lifetime window · 53 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 151 days ago 99% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

25–506

Wins / Runs

4.9%

Strike rate

n=506

100 (20%)

Placed

0.88

Fair A/E

n=506 · 0.67 incl. margin

−232.67

£1 level stake

n=506 at SP · −46.0%

£391k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.88).

Deterministic profile computed from 506 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Apr–May

The read

The record is strongest at Punchestown (8.6%, n=35), clear of the yard's 4.9% baseline. It is weakest at Thurles (0% over 56 runners) — the widest gap in the record. The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 4.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.83 and −111.92 to a £1 stake over 231 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The yard also reads well on Good going (8.1%, n=135). The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 1.9% over 108 runners, 3pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Dawn Milk Handicap Steeplechase at Listowel (Sep 2008, £39,060). The stable star of the record: Keys Pride (IRE) — 8 wins from 29 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.5%−0.4

n=132 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −65.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−4.9

n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00

Debutants · first career start

2.6%−2.3

n=38 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −4.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

3.6%−1.3

n=28 · A/E 0.86 · £1 +6.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−4.9

n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00

When favourite

14.3%

n=14 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −8.00

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

4.3%−0.6

n=231 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −111.92

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

14.3%+9.4

n=7 · A/E 1.57 · £1 +2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Thurles 0% vs 4.9% · n=56

At Clonmel 0% vs 4.9% · n=33

On Good going 8.1% vs 4.9% · n=135

On Heavy going 1.9% vs 4.9% · n=108

With Shane Shortall 8.8% vs 4.9% · n=34

At Punchestown 8.6% vs 4.9% · n=35

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 365 14 3.8% −186.50

Chase 104 7 6.7% −58.00

NH Flat 32 2 6.3% +8.00

Flat 5 2 40% +3.83

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 167 6 3.6% −111.00

Good 135 11 8.1% +2.25

Heavy 108 2 1.9% −92.25

Good to Soft 49 3 6.1% −4.67

Good to Firm 40 3 7.5% −20.00

Firm 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Limerick 61 4 6.6% −14.67

Thurles 56 0 0% −56.00

Cork 45 3 6.7% −26.50

Punchestown 35 3 8.6% −7.25

Clonmel 33 0 0% −33.00

Ballinrobe 31 2 6.5% +9.00

Tipperary 28 1 3.6% −18.00

Gowran Park 28 1 3.6% −2.00

Navan 28 1 3.6% −7.00

Roscommon 20 1 5% −10.00

Fairyhouse 20 0 0% −20.00

Kilbeggan 18 1 5.6% −13.50

Killarney 18 0 0% −18.00

Listowel 14 2 14.3% +2.00

Naas 13 1 7.7% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 7 1 14.3% +2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 17 2 11.8% 0.55 −11.00

2nd–3rd fav 62 9 14.5% 1.06 −15.67

4th–6th fav 113 8 7.1% 1.01 −20.00

7th+ in betting 314 6 1.9% 0.70 −186.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81.7% completed · 469 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 104 74% 2 6 17 1 1

Hurdle 365 83.8% 6 4 45 3 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Rolling Rocket (IRE) 32 3 7 25 Nov 17

Aeval (IRE) 27 1 8 3 Jun 10

Sea Stallion (IRE) 26 1 6 23 Jan 13

Liclash (IRE)from Eamonn O'Connell 25 2 2 31 Dec 20

Casimir Road (IRE)from M C Grassick 22 0 4 18 May 17

Lizzies Way (IRE) 20 0 2 10 Jul 18

Sineads Fancy (IRE)from Leonard Paul Flynn · then S Ryan 18 1 3 28 May 26

Red Pearl (IRE) 18 2 5 20 Sep 20

Keys Pride (IRE) 17 5 10 5 Apr 10

In A Nice Way (IRE) 15 0 2 2 Jul 24

Pipers Meadow (IRE) 14 1 5 21 Nov 24

Messie (IRE) 14 1 8 6 Aug 19

All 53 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 53 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive; 44 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard, most often for S Ryan (3); 45 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

003782856726

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderTrevor Ryan

8% of all rides
4.7% SR · A/E 0.75

RiderRWSR£1

Trevor Ryan 43 2 4.7% −25.67

Shane Shortall 34 3 8.8% −0.50

Robbie Moran 33 2 6.1% −2.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£501k

Prize money

2015

Best season · 5 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Keys Pride (IRE) — Dawn Milk Handicap Steeplechase Listowel · Sep 2008

£39,060

Keys Pride (IRE) — Kinsale Handicap Chase (Grade B) Cork · Oct 2009 · Grade B

£26,040

Keys Pride (IRE) — Dawn Milk Handicap Chase Listowel · Sep 2009

£22,785

Notable horses

Keys Pride (IRE) Rolling Rocket (IRE) Bordante (IRE) Liclash (IRE) Red Pearl (IRE) Castle Hope (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Bob Back (USA) 12.8% · 6–47

Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,724 runs since 2008 (338 horses).

Turtle Island (IRE) 7.7% · 3–39

Progeny have won 7.5% of 3,325 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 10.7% from 215.

Mahler (GB) 7.1% · 2–28

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,853 runs since 2008 (785 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Anshan (GB) 3.7% · 1–27

Progeny have won 9.6% of 4,216 runs since 2008 (387 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 520.

Ask (GB) 12% · 3–25

Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,215 runs since 2008 (283 horses).

Diamond Green (FR) 8% · 2–25

Progeny have won 7.4% of 2,572 runs since 2008 (261 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 11.9% from 286.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 627 · newest first

The latest 50 of 627 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 30 May 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 May 26 Listowel Ballinvasas Best (IRE)J: Liam Quinlan Join The Listowel Races Supporters Club Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 17 ran 14th 125/1

28 May 26 Limerick Sineads Fancy (IRE)J: Philip Donovan Frankie Dunworth Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)22f · Soft · 13 ran 9th 9/1

14 May 26 Clonmel Our Girl Ellie (IRE)J: Cian Quirke Watch Danny's Diary At ToteRacing Mares Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 11th 7/1

14 May 26 Clonmel Sineads Fancy (IRE)J: Philip Donovan Bet With Tote.ie On Racing & Sports Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)19.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 7th 22/1

08 Nov 25 Gowran Park Sineads Fancy (IRE)J: Josh Younge Pat Carroll's Pub Kilkenny Mares Handicap Hurdle (0-100)20f · Heavy · 19 ran PU 28/1

30 Oct 25 Thurles Our Girl Ellie (IRE)J: Liam Quinlan Ballagh Mares Handicap Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 6th 12/1

18 Oct 25 Limerick Call Tadgh (IRE)J: Liam Quinlan Limerick Show Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 14th 300/1

16 Oct 25 Thurles Sineads Fancy (IRE)J: Josh Younge Premier County Mares Handicap Hurdle (0-100)22.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 3rd 28/1

05 Oct 25 Killarney Sineads Fancy (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (0-100)23f · Yielding · 12 ran 10th 25/1

05 Oct 25 Killarney Our Girl Ellie (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle17f · Yielding · 10 ran 3rd 3/1

12 Sep 25 Ballinrobe Our Girl Ellie (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle18f · Soft · 14 ran 6th 11/1

08 Sep 25 Galway Sineads Fancy (IRE)J: J J Slevin Galway Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)22.5f · Good To Yielding · 19 ran 14th 18/1

10 Aug 25 Downpatrick Sineads Fancy (IRE)J: Eoin Staples Randox Handicap Hurdle (0-100)22f · Good · 12 ran 8th 7/1

22 Jul 25 Ballinrobe Sineads Fancy (IRE)J: Liam Quinlan Sweeney Oil Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)22f · Good · 15 ran 7th 12/1

22 Jul 25 Ballinrobe Our Girl Ellie (IRE)J: Liam Quinlan O'Hare's Bar Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Good · 13 ran 5th 4/1

10 Jun 25 Sligo Sineads Fancy (IRE)J: Liam Quinlan Crawford Tiles And More Handicap Hurdle (0-100)17.5f · Good · 16 ran 6th 25/1

10 Jun 25 Sligo Our Girl Ellie (IRE)J: Trevor Ryan Stephen Mullins & Sons Mares Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Good · 15 ran 2nd 9/2

31 Dec 24 Punchestown Clash Gold (IRE)J: Mr R W Barron Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race18.5f · Soft · 16 ran 8th 25/1

21 Nov 24 Thurles Pipers Meadow (IRE)J: Michael Ryan Casey ThurlesRaces.ie Handicap Hurdle (80-109)20f · Good · 9 ran 4th 8/1

19 Nov 24 Limerick Our Girl Ellie (IRE)J: Liam Quinlan Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 14 ran 6th 200/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Stephen Ryan's strike rate?: Stephen Ryan has won 25 of 506 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.9% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Stephen Ryan do best at?: Punchestown by strike rate: 3 wins from 35 runners (8.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Stephen Ryan's Fair A/E?: 0.88, from 506 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.