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Trainer profile

Thomas J Farrell

144 runners in the lifetime window · 23 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Dec 2017
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
7–144
Wins / Runs
4.9%
Strike rate
n=144
17 (12%)
Placed
1.18
Fair A/E
n=144 · 0.91 incl. margin
−67.50
£1 level stake
n=144 at SP · −46.9%
£59,628
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 20 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.18). With a claiming rider up the record reads 7% (77 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 144 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 5.3% Claiming riders: 6.5%
The read

The yard also read well in Hurdle races (8.8%, n=57). The market has consistently overbet the yard in Flat races: Fair A/E 0.77 across 56 runners (3.6% strike, −28.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.3%+0.4
n=38 · A/E 1.58 · £1 −14.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.9
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.9
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.9
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.9
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.5%+1.6
n=77 · A/E 1.58 · £1 −18.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Hurdle races 8.8% vs 4.9% · n=57
Off a 15-30-day break 7.3% vs 4.9% · n=41
On Soft going 2.6% vs 4.9% · n=38
With claiming riders up 6.5% vs 4.9% · n=77 · A/E 1.58
In Flat races 3.6% vs 4.9% · n=56 · A/E 0.77
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 57 5 8.8% −8.00
Flat 56 2 3.6% −28.50
NH Flat 17 0 0% −17.00
Chase 14 0 0% −14.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 48 2 4.2% −24.00
Soft 38 1 2.6% −30.00
Good to Firm 20 3 15% +18.00
Heavy 17 0 0% −17.00
Standard (AW) 15 1 6.7% −8.50
Good to Soft 5 0 0% −5.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 19 0 0% −19.00
Dundalk (AW) 15 1 6.7% −8.50
Down Royal 12 3 25% +20.00
Downpatrick 8 0 0% −8.00
Leopardstown 8 0 0% −8.00
Cork 8 0 0% −8.00
Fairyhouse 7 0 0% −7.00
Tipperary 6 1 16.7% +15.00
Curragh 6 0 0% −6.00
Killarney 5 1 20% +4.00
Wexford 5 0 0% −5.00
Limerick 5 0 0% −5.00
Wexford 5 0 0% −5.00
Clonmel 4 0 0% −4.00
Naas 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
2nd–3rd fav 11 3 27.3% 2.59 +11.50
4th–6th fav 25 2 8% 1.39 −7.00
7th+ in betting 105 2 1.9% 0.75 −69.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Carpet Elegance (IRE)from James J Hartnett 37 3 6 12 Nov 16
Seeking Truth (IRE)from D K Weld · then Michael G Cleary 23 1 5 26 Dec 17
Pace And Passion (IRE)from Mark Hayden 17 3 6 14 Jun 16
Katie Lu (IRE) 10 0 0 14 Jul 15
Bye Awhile (IRE) 9 0 0 11 Aug 17
Wandering Aengus (GB)from Denis W Cullen · then Patrick Joseph Hayes 6 0 0 22 Jul 16
Kodiac Moment (IRE)from Brian Meehan 5 0 0 8 Nov 17
Counter Ridge (SAF)from Marco Botti 5 0 0 10 Apr 16
Max Fine (IRE) 5 0 0 17 Nov 13
Captain Commander (IRE)then Patrick Joseph Hayes 4 0 0 29 Dec 17
Thanks For Smoking (IRE)then Michael Cunningham 4 0 0 10 Jun 11
Grey Is The Dawn (IRE)from Kevin Prendergast 3 0 0 5 Nov 17
All 23 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 23 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive; 12 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard, most often for Patrick Joseph Hayes (2); 16 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0000107550590
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Ian McCarthy 11 1 9.1% +4.00
Derek McCormack 11 1 9.1% +10.00
Chris Hayes 9 0 0% −9.00
Robbie Colgan 7 0 0% −7.00
Tom Madden 7 1 14.3% −0.50
Ryan Treacy 6 1 16.7% +2.00
Miss P Elvin 6 0 0% −6.00
Colin Keane 5 0 0% −5.00
Mark Enright 5 0 0% −5.00
Shane Foley 4 0 0% −4.00
Fran Berry 4 0 0% −4.00
Shane Shortall 4 0 0% −4.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
7
Archived wins
£59,628
Prize money
2015
Best season · 3 wins
Pace And Passion (IRE) — Allianz Handicap Hurdle (80-102) Down Royal · Oct 2015
£9,315
Pace And Passion (IRE) — Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95) Killarney · Aug 2015
£7,245
Pace And Passion (IRE) — Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95) Bellewstown · Jul 2015
£7,245
Notable horses
Carpet Elegance (IRE) Pace And Passion (IRE) Seeking Truth (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Definite Article (GB) 7.9% · 3–38
Progeny have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since 2008 (527 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.1% from 138. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 211.
Acclamation (GB) 4.3% · 1–23
Progeny have won 10% of 19,711 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.
Fruits Of Love (USA) 17.6% · 3–17
Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,777 runs since 2008 (221 horses). Strongest on Good going: 11.8% from 944. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.4% from 182. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 4% from 150.
Milan (GB) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,876 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Atraf (GB) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 6.9% of 1,220 runs since 2008 (86 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 11% from 317. Weakest on Good to Firm going: 3.9% from 204. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 10.4% from 135. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.1% from 293.
Tobougg (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 8.5% of 6,096 runs since 2008 (464 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 144 · newest first

The latest 50 of 144 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 May 2009 to 29 December 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
29 Dec 17 Leopardstown Captain Commander (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Pigsback.com Maiden Hurdle20f · Soft · 10 ran 10th 100/1
26 Dec 17 Leopardstown Seeking Truth (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Thorntons Recycling Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 14 ran 11th 100/1
29 Nov 17 Punchestown Seeking Truth (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Betdaq Trading Tools Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft To Heavy · 22 ran 18th 100/1
08 Nov 17 Dundalk (AW) Kodiac Moment (IRE)J: N G McCullagh Crowne Plaza Race & Stay Handicap (45-70)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 66/1
05 Nov 17 Naas Grey Is The Dawn (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Jumps Racing Returns To Naas November 11th Maiden12f · Soft · 14 ran 11th 100/1
24 Oct 17 Fairyhouse Grey Is The Dawn (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Christmas Parties At Fairyhouse December 16th Handicap (45-65) (Div 1)12f · Heavy · 17 ran 15th 33/1
12 Oct 17 Thurles Captain Commander (IRE)J: Mr Derek O'Connor Go Racing At Thurles Racecourse Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 9th 66/1
11 Oct 17 Gowran Park Kodiac Moment (IRE)J: N G McCullagh www.gowranpark.ie Handicap (45-70)8f · Heavy · 15 ran 13th 33/1
07 Oct 17 Limerick Kodiac Moment (IRE)J: Tom Madden Irish Racing Calendar 2018 Race7f · Heavy · 14 ran 13th 66/1
06 Oct 17 Dundalk (AW) Seeking Truth (IRE)J: Sean Corby Dundalk Stadium - Light Up Your Night Apprentice Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)8f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 25/1
25 Sep 17 Roscommon Captain Commander (IRE)J: Miss P Elvin Thanks For Supporting Roscommon Racecourse Flat Race16f · Heavy · 6 ran 3rd 50/1
26 Aug 17 Killarney Captain Commander (IRE)J: Mr Finian Maguire Ml Lynch Civil Engineering Flat Race17f · Good · 10 ran 8th 20/1
23 Aug 17 Killarney Grey Is The Dawn (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse Diarmuid Cronin Electrical Apprentice Handicap (45-65)8f · Soft · 15 ran 14th 50/1
11 Aug 17 Tipperary Bye Awhile (IRE)J: Miss P Elvin Toomey's Applegreen Filling Station (Ladies) Handicap12.5f · Yielding · 10 ran 10th 40/1
12 Jul 17 Dundalk (AW) Seeking Truth (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Ladbrokes App Handicap (45-65)8f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 7/1
07 Jul 17 Bellewstown Bye Awhile (IRE)J: Miss P Elvin Thatch Bar & Katies Kitchen (Q.R.) Race12f · Good · 12 ran 8th 66/1
01 Jun 17 Fairyhouse Kodiac Moment (IRE)J: Tom Madden Follow Us On Social Media Handicap (45-65)7f · Good · 17 ran 13th 33/1
23 May 17 Gowran Park Bye Awhile (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Gowran Park Claiming Race8f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 11th 16/1
06 May 17 Cork Bye Awhile (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Mallow Maiden10f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 3rd 100/1
11 Apr 17 Tipperary Kodiac Moment (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Fillies Maiden7.5f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Thomas J Farrell's strike rate?
Thomas J Farrell has won 7 of 144 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Thomas J Farrell's Fair A/E?
1.18, from 144 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).