What is Tim Donworth's strike rate?

Tim Donworth has won 48 of 459 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.5% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Tim Donworth do best at?

Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 16 wins from 127 runners (12.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Tim Donworth?

Guillaume Trolley De Prevaux, with 117 runners since 2008 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (9.4%).

Is Tim Donworth in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Tim Donworth's Fair A/E?

1.01, from 459 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Tim Donworth

459 runners in the lifetime window · 131 individual horses

As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 2 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

48–459

Wins / Runs

10.5%

Strike rate

n=459

136 (30%)

Placed

1.01

Fair A/E

n=459 · 0.83 incl. margin

−130.70

£1 level stake

n=459 at SP · −28.5%

£1.38m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.01). New recruits from other yards win at 17% first time out (36 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 459 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 3 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Aug Fresh horses: 12.1% 20.9% when favourite Guillaume Trolley De Prevaux: 9.4% from 117 New recruits: 16.7% Sends off the favourite in 9% of races

The read

It is weakest at Saint-Cloud (3.3% over 61 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 16.7% (n=36, Fair A/E 1.94), but debutants struggle at 6.3% (n=95, Fair A/E 0.73). Guillaume Trolley De Prevaux rides 25% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.4%, A/E 1.00) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well on Good going (17.1%, n=41). The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 6.3% over 112 runners, 4.2pts below the baseline. 6 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qatar Prix de Place des Vosges at Longchamp (FR) (Oct 2025, £29,752). Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

12.1%+1.6

n=124 · A/E 1.31 · £1 −22.30

New recruits · first run for the yard

16.7%+6.2

n=36 · A/E 1.94 · £1 +22.60

Debutants · first career start

6.3%−4.2

n=95 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −38.30

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9.3%−1.2

n=54 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −15.20

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−10.5

n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00

When favourite

20.9%

n=43 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −16.80

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10.5%+0.0

n=76 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −21.80

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

6.7%−3.8

n=90 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −24.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Saint-Cloud 3.3% vs 10.5% · n=61

On last-time-out winners 17.4% vs 10.5% · n=46

On Good going 17.1% vs 10.5% · n=41

With new recruits 16.7% vs 10.5% · n=36

With Mme Ambre Molins 16.2% vs 10.5% · n=37

On Good to Soft going 6.3% vs 10.5% · n=112

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 163 22 13.5% −28.90

Good to Soft 112 7 6.3% −77.90

Soft 105 8 7.6% −37.50

Good 41 7 17.1% +6.60

Heavy 36 3 8.3% −4.00

Good to Firm 2 1 50% +11.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chantilly (FR) 127 16 12.6% −39.30

Deauville 126 14 11.1% −4.60

Longchamp (FR) 77 6 7.8% −16.80

Saint-Cloud 61 2 3.3% −54.45

Clairefontaine (FR) 9 1 11.1% −2.20

Toulouse (FR) 6 1 16.7% −2.50

Dieppe (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

La Teste De Buch (FR) 5 1 20% −2.25

Compiegne (FR) 4 1 25% +3.00

Vittel (FR) 4 1 25% −0.75

Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Salon-de-Provence (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Nantes (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Vichy (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 2 1 50% +0.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 93 6 6.5% −27.50

Class 3 9 0 0% −9.00

Class 4 7 3 42.9% +9.50

Class 2 5 1 20% −2.25

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 45 10 22.2% 0.81 −14.40

2nd–3rd fav 107 19 17.8% 1.08 −11.70

4th–6th fav 156 17 10.9% 1.35 +6.40

7th+ in betting 151 2 1.3% 0.38 −111.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Skylight Brochard (HOL) 31 3 13 4 Oct 26

Far Beyond (IRE) 13 1 2 19 May 26

Saxon Girl (FR) 13 2 6 5 Apr 26

Jusearth Fal (FR)then Mathieu Pitart 11 1 4 20 Sep 26

Dulini (GB)then Mme Armony Tinchon 11 2 5 3 Oct 25

Aleksine (FR)then Francois Monfort 11 0 3 4 May 25

Mon Ricin (FR)from F Monnier 9 3 6 3 Oct 26

Bejar (FR)from Brian Beaunez · then Kevin Plisson 9 1 2 3 May 26

Zambezi (FR) 8 0 5 14 Sep 26

Scorch (GER) 8 1 2 27 Mar 25

Kit De Cerisy (FR) 8 4 4 15 Dec 23

Trinquette (FR) 7 0 1 14 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 131 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 19 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Peter Chapple-Hyam (2); 41 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard; 46 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 5

Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

12131606181413871113

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderGuillaume Trolley De Prevaux

25% of all rides
9.4% SR · A/E 1.00

RiderRWSR£1

Guillaume Trolley De Prevaux 117 11 9.4% −49.40

Cristian Demuro 84 9 10.7% −30.80

Aurelien Lemaitre 77 9 11.7% −10.30

Mme Ambre Molins 37 6 16.2% +0.40

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.38m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 12 wins

Mon Ricin (FR) — Qatar Prix de Place des Vosges (Handicap) (3yo+) (Grande Course: 2nd Post) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2025

£29,752

Ocean Vision (IRE) — Prix de la Vallee d'Auge () (2yo) (Straight Course) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2022 · Listed

£25,210

Ocean Vision (IRE) — Prix de Pontarme () (3yo) (New Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · May 2023 · Listed

£24,336

Notable horses

Kit De Cerisy (FR) Skylight Brochard (HOL) Mon Ricin (FR) Ocean Vision (IRE) Saxon Girl (FR) Dulini (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Mehmas (IRE) 9.8% · 5–51

Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,198 runs since 2020 (751 horses).

Zarak (FR) 5.6% · 1–18

Progeny have won 15.3% of 2,015 runs since 2021 (329 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 18.4% from 277. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 10.8% from 369. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 20.5% from 254. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.9% from 203.

Starspangledbanner (AUS) 11.8% · 2–17

Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,201 runs since 2014 (664 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.6% from 1,195.

Zelzal (FR) 11.8% · 2–17

Progeny have won 9.4% of 1,713 runs since 2021 (240 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.4% from 104.

Kodiac (GB) 18.8% · 3–16

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,589 runs since 2010 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Saxon Warrior (JPN) 14.3% · 2–14

Progeny have won 11.5% of 2,927 runs since 2022 (366 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.9% from 948. Weakest on Heavy going: 5.6% from 142.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 459 · newest first

The latest 50 of 459 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 October 2021 to 1 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

01 Nov 26 Nancy (FR) Indian Belle (FR)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix Monastir10f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 5th 9/4F

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Australips (FR)J: Guillaume Trolley De Prevaux Prix Du Plateau De La Madrie9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 12/1

28 Oct 26 Amiens (FR) Diciamo (IRE)J: Glen Meury Prix Des Socioprofessionnels (Prix Du Macaron)8f · Heavy · 11 ran 5th 5/1

26 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Bleach (GB)J: Cristian Demuro Criterium De VitesseClass 1 · 5.5f · Heavy · 13 ran 13th 25/1

22 Oct 26 Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) Bruja (GB)J: Samy Le Quilleuc Prix Vision D'etat6f · Very Soft · 13 ran 8th 12/1

20 Oct 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Texas Sun (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Px Merci A La Boutique Gourmande Expl. Des Resto De Cf (Px Filiberto)9f · Heavy · 15 ran 15th 8/1

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Bubble Gum (FR)J: Marvin Grandin Prix Casimir Delamarre9f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 7th 12/1

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Raffaelle (IRE)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix De La Chapelle9f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 11/1

16 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Knuckle (FR)J: Guillaume Trolley De Prevaux Prix De La Ville De RamonvilleClass 4 · 10f · Soft · 10 ran 1st 5/2F

16 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Daytripper (FR)J: Guillaume Trolley De Prevaux Prix Des Briques Du Capitole8f · Soft · 12 ran 5th 15/2

15 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Australips (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix Du Chene De La Basse Pommeraie9f · Standard · 16 ran 6th 18/1

14 Oct 26 Nantes (FR) Trinquette (FR)J: Hugo Lebouc Grand Prix Anjou Bretagne - Fonds Europeen De L'elevage8f · Heavy · 8 ran 6th 9/1

13 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Aventino (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Prix Du Passage Feydeau8f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 2nd 9/2

05 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Indian Belle (FR)J: Guillaume Trolley De Prevaux Prix D'allonnes9.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 7/1

04 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Skylight Brochard (HOL)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Qatar Grand Handicap des Flyers Presente par RMCClass 1 · 7f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 14th 4/1

03 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Mon Ricin (FR)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Qatar Prix De La Place Des VosgesClass 1 · 12.5f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 12th 33/1

28 Sep 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Peintresse (IRE)J: Guillaume Trolley De Prevaux Grand Criterium De BordeauxClass 1 · 8f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 4th 6/4

27 Sep 26 Amiens (FR) Deseo (IRE)J: Mme Coralie Pacaut Prix De Longpre8f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 6/4

24 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Sono Io (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Prix De Choisy Au Bac8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 12th 7/1

20 Sep 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Jusearth Fal (FR)J: Glen Meury Prix De L'afasec (Prix De La Grotte Aux Cristaux)7f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 5/4F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tim Donworth's strike rate?: Tim Donworth has won 48 of 459 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.5% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tim Donworth do best at?: Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 16 wins from 127 runners (12.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Tim Donworth?: Guillaume Trolley De Prevaux, with 117 runners since 2008 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (9.4%).
Is Tim Donworth in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Tim Donworth's Fair A/E?: 1.01, from 459 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.