What is Tracey Collins's strike rate?

Tracey Collins has won 135 of 1,728 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Tracey Collins do best at?

Tipperary by strike rate: 7 wins from 53 runners (13.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Tracey Collins?

P Shanahan, with 369 runners since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 37 (10%).

Is Tracey Collins in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Tracey Collins's Fair A/E?

1.00, from 1,727 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Tracey Collins

1,728 runners in the lifetime window · 232 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 5 days ago 96% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

135–1,728

Wins / Runs

7.8%

Strike rate

n=1,728

430 (25%)

Placed

1.00

Fair A/E

n=1,727 · 0.78 incl. margin

−746.24

£1 level stake

n=1,728 at SP · −43.2%

£2.32m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,728 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Apr 27.4% when favourite P Shanahan: 10% from 369 Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Sligo (30%, n=30), clear of the yard's 7.8% baseline. Debutants struggle at 2.3% (n=173, Fair A/E 0.63). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 7% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −141.92 to a £1 stake over 298 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. P Shanahan rides 21% of the entries and edges the yard's average (10% vs 7.8%, A/E 1.39) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 12 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Ladbrokes All-weather Mile Championships Conditions Stakes at Lingfield (AW) (Mar 2016, £93,375). The stable star of the record: Captain Joy (IRE) — 10 wins from 42 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.2%−1.6

n=386 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −139.95

New recruits · first run for the yard

5.3%−2.5

n=38 · A/E 0.99 · £1 +9.00

Debutants · first career start

2.3%−5.5

n=173 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −100.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

3.8%−4.0

n=80 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −61.25

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

3.8%−4.0

n=26 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −21.00

When favourite

27.4%

n=135 · A/E 1.20 · £1 −9.40

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7%−0.8

n=298 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −141.92

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.3%+0.5

n=121 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −34.87

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Sligo 30% vs 7.8% · n=30

On last-time-out winners 19.7% vs 7.8% · n=132

With C&D winners 14.8% vs 7.8% · n=169

With Pat Smullen 14.1% vs 7.8% · n=170

With Chris Hayes 0% vs 7.8% · n=49

With debutants 2.3% vs 7.8% · n=173

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,653 131 7.9% −688.24

Hurdle 64 4 6.3% −47.00

Chase 6 0 0% −6.00

NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 440 54 12.3% −108.19

Soft 418 26 6.2% −238.18

Good 320 24 7.5% −88.00

Good to Firm 235 12 5.1% −114.25

Heavy 169 11 6.5% −117.62

Good to Soft 133 7 5.3% −74.50

Firm 13 1 7.7% −5.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 429 51 11.9% −115.06

Curragh 305 11 3.6% −199.37

Leopardstown 130 4 3.1% −89.00

Naas 124 3 2.4% −87.00

Cork 82 6 7.3% −37.75

Navan 81 4 4.9% −46.38

Gowran Park 60 1 1.7% −34.00

Tipperary 53 7 13.2% +32.00

Fairyhouse 52 4 7.7% −31.55

Down Royal 47 5 10.6% −25.25

Limerick 42 2 4.8% −34.25

Roscommon 42 4 9.5% −12.25

Listowel 40 1 2.5% −34.00

Bellewstown 37 4 10.8% −13.25

Galway 37 2 5.4% −28.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 122 10 8.2% −35.87

Class 2 11 2 18.2% +4.25

Class 5 1 1 100% +1.62

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 163 43 26.4% 1.20 −9.65

2nd–3rd fav 300 44 14.7% 1.07 −72.09

4th–6th fav 448 35 7.8% 1.10 −96.50

7th+ in betting 817 13 1.6% 0.48 −568.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 753 62 8.2% −243.47

1m – 1m1f 455 31 6.8% −231.22

1m2f – 1m4f 221 12 5.4% −142.75

Under 6f 174 23 13.2% −43.80

1m5f – 2m 100 6 6% −64.50

2m1f – 2m4f 20 1 5% −15.50

2m5f – 3m 5 0 0% −5.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 208 16 7.7% −73.25

2009 172 16 9.3% −100.79

2010 177 15 8.5% −12.63

2011 170 15 8.8% −68.00

2012 78 8 10.3% −11.17

2013 104 9 8.7% −30.75

2014 115 9 7.8% −45.13

2015 84 10 11.9% −28.17

2016 111 8 7.2% −55.20

2017 118 4 3.4% −98.88

2018 73 5 6.8% −40.77

2019 81 6 7.4% −20.50

2020 82 5 6.1% −59.25

2021 66 3 4.5% −45.00

2022 36 2 5.6% −24.50

2025 24 2 8.3% −11.75

2026 29 2 6.9% −20.50

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 937 73 7.8% −401.76

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 614 41 6.7% −289.25

11-13 runners 390 28 7.2% −159.30

17+ runners 339 12 3.5% −202.67

8-10 runners 275 29 10.5% −108.03

5-7 runners 97 21 21.6% +11.96

2-4 runners 13 4 30.8% +1.05

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Captain Joy (IRE) 42 10 20 11 Jan 19

Indian Landing (IRE) 41 6 15 10 Nov 17

Beat The Ballot (IRE) 39 4 15 7 Aug 16

Pencil Hill (IRE) 38 3 6 18 Apr 15

Noirvento (IRE) 36 5 13 28 Jan 22

So Sensible (IRE) 30 2 8 3 Jun 18

Chiclet (IRE) 29 6 13 29 Jul 17

Jettymarc (IRE) 28 4 8 18 Nov 10

Arctic (IRE) 27 4 8 28 Jun 14

Landsdowne (IRE) 27 1 9 9 Jun 14

Loch Long (IRE) 27 3 8 16 Oct 11

All Body And Soul (GB)then Henry De Bromhead 25 3 5 7 Feb 20

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 232 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from C Collins (2); 51 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for Henry De Bromhead (2) and John Patrick Shanahan (2); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 1

Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

16131210679944813

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderP Shanahan

21% of all rides
10% SR · A/E 1.39

RiderRWSR£1

P Shanahan 369 37 10% −50.92

R. P. Whelan 271 26 9.6% −118.80

Michael Hussey 266 16 6% −131.25

Pat Smullen 170 24 14.1% −32.02

R. P. Cleary 62 1 1.6% −58.75

Chris Hayes 49 0 0% −49.00

Gavin Ryan 41 1 2.4% −30.00

N G McCullagh 39 3 7.7% −7.00

Megan Carberry 33 1 3% −22.00

Alan Crowe 32 2 6.3% −21.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→

143

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.62m

Prize money

2009

Best season · 16 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Captain Joy (IRE) — Ladbrokes All-weather Mile Championships Conditions Stakes Lingfield (AW) · Mar 2016 · Class 2

£93,375

Arctic (IRE) — Go And Go Round Tower Stakes (Group 3) Curragh · Aug 2009 · Group 3

£48,825

Girouette (IRE) — Patrick P. O'Leary Memorial Phoenix Sprint Stakes (Group 3) Curragh · Aug 2009 · Group 3

£43,600

Notable horses

Captain Joy (IRE) Indian Landing (IRE) Chiclet (IRE) Pencil Hill (IRE) Noirvento (IRE) Majestic Queen (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Big Bad Bob (IRE) 6.8% · 7–103

Progeny have won 8.8% of 4,568 runs since 2009 (314 horses).

Captain Rio (GB) 13.3% · 10–75

Progeny have won 9.5% of 6,912 runs since 2008 (423 horses).

Dandy Man (IRE) 12.2% · 9–74

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,980 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Barathea (IRE) 10.3% · 7–68

Progeny have won 8.5% of 4,143 runs since 2008 (315 horses).

Galileo (IRE) 10.5% · 6–57

Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,201 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.4% from 890.

Dark Angel (IRE) 22.7% · 10–44

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,941 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,869 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,869 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 March 2007 to 1 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Buddy Batt (IRE)J: R. P. Cleary Mongey Communications Sprint Handicap5f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 7th 8/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Nthea Spirit (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan Leopardstown Golf, Padel And Range Maiden9f · Good · 15 ran 14th 300/1

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Buddy Batt (IRE)J: Danny O'Leary October Racing With 1xBet.ie Apprentice Handicap5f · Soft · 17 ran 2nd 15/2

28 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Limestone Red (IRE)J: R. P. Whelan Pravha Handicap (Div I)11f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 7th 9/2

26 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Buddy Batt (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Kwiff Supercharged Joe McGrath Handicap5f · Yielding · 20 ran 10th 33/1

17 Sep 26 Naas (IRE) Kilcullen (IRE)J: R. P. Whelan Goffs Two Million Series Maiden5f · Yielding · 8 ran 3rd 100/1

04 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Limestone Red (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Grant Thornton Handicap (Div I)13f · Good · 13 ran 5th 9/1

02 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Buddy Batt (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Navan Racecourse Handicap5f · Good · 16 ran 4th 40/1

23 Aug 26 Naas (IRE) Kilcullen (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden6f · Good · 15 ran 12th 200/1

15 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Limestone Red (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Strand Inn Dunmore East Handicap12f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 3rd 10/1

15 Aug 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Misava (IRE)J: Ronan Whelan BAR 1 Casino 'Slot Games & Live Casino' Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 80/1

15 Aug 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Forbidden (IRE)J: Ronan Whelan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 200/1

15 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Limestone Red (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan Start Your Free Month Trial At racingtv.com Handicap11.5f · Good · 15 ran 2nd 22/1

30 Jun 26 Roscommon Misava (IRE)J: Ronan Whelan Jimmy Murray Agri Services Handicap (0-60)7.5f · Good · 15 ran 12th 40/1

28 Jun 26 Curragh Buddy Batt (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Dubai Duty Free Rockingham Handicap (Premier Handicap)5f · Good · 16 ran 16th 33/1

27 Jun 26 Curragh Forbidden (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse Jo Browne Luxury Skincare Irish European Breeders Fund Maiden6f · Good To Firm · 20 ran 20th 150/1

24 Jun 26 Naas Nthea Spirit (IRE)J: Ronan Whelan Fox Dunlavin (C & G) Maiden8f · Good · 15 ran 15th 100/1

18 Jun 26 Leopardstown Limestone Red (IRE)J: Ronan Whelan 1878 At 3Arena Handicap (0-60) (Div 1)9f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 8th 7/1

03 Jun 26 Curragh Forbidden (IRE)J: Rory Cleary TRI Equestrian Maiden6.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 16th 100/1

26 May 26 Dundalk (AW) Buddy Batt (IRE)J: Ronan Whelan Put The Fun In Fundraising At Dundalk Handicap5f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 7/2J

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tracey Collins's strike rate?: Tracey Collins has won 135 of 1,728 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tracey Collins do best at?: Tipperary by strike rate: 7 wins from 53 runners (13.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Tracey Collins?: P Shanahan, with 369 runners since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 37 (10%).
Is Tracey Collins in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Tracey Collins's Fair A/E?: 1.00, from 1,727 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.