What is W J Burke's strike rate?

W J Burke has won 88 of 1,722 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.1% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does W J Burke do best at?

Naas by strike rate: 4 wins from 37 runners (10.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for W J Burke?

Jonathan Burke, with 174 runners since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (3.4%).

Is W J Burke in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is W J Burke's Fair A/E?

0.84, from 1,722 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

W J Burke

1,722 runners in the lifetime window · 250 individual horses

As at 11 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 2 days ago 96% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

88–1,722

Wins / Runs

5.1%

Strike rate

n=1,722

308 (18%)

Placed

0.84

Fair A/E

n=1,722 · 0.65 incl. margin

−935.25

£1 level stake

n=1,722 at SP · −54.3%

£1.50m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

4.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.84). In Group and Graded company the record reads 13% (77 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,722 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 11 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Jan 21.1% when favourite Jonathan Burke: 3.4% from 174 Group/Graded: 13% Sends off the favourite in 3% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Naas (10.8%, n=37), clear of the yard's 5.1% baseline. In Group and Graded company the record reads well at 13% (n=77, Fair A/E 1.49), but new recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 0% (n=38, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4% strike, Fair A/E 0.70 and −255.41 to a £1 stake over 350 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Jonathan Burke rides 10% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (3.4%, A/E 0.55). The yard also reads well in Class 1 (12.3%, n=73). 13 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the William Hill Galway Plate at Galway (Aug 2007, £134,000). The stable star of the record: Thyne Again (IRE) — 7 wins from 18 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Jan.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4%−1.1

n=350 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −255.41

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−5.1

n=38 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −38.00

Debutants · first career start

3.2%−1.9

n=188 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −87.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

2%−3.1

n=99 · A/E 0.43 · £1 −84.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

2.9%−2.2

n=69 · A/E 0.44 · £1 −48.00

When favourite

21.1%

n=57 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −16.13

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

3.9%−1.2

n=543 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −323.25

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

13%+7.9

n=77 · A/E 1.49 · £1 +19.99

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Davy Russell 21.3% vs 5.1% · n=61

With Robbie Power 17.4% vs 5.1% · n=46

On last-time-out winners 12.9% vs 5.1% · n=85

In Group / Graded races 13% vs 5.1% · n=77

In Class 1 12.3% vs 5.1% · n=73

At Naas 10.8% vs 5.1% · n=37

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,052 49 4.7% −640.00

Chase 469 29 6.2% −232.25

NH Flat 131 8 6.1% −27.00

Flat 70 2 2.9% −36.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 597 36 6% −277.51

Heavy 449 28 6.2% −204.53

Good 421 17 4% −238.42

Good to Soft 156 5 3.2% −129.17

Good to Firm 74 2 2.7% −60.62

Standard (AW) 18 0 0% −18.00

Firm 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Cork 216 11 5.1% −108.67

Clonmel 197 9 4.6% −115.12

Limerick 152 9 5.9% −62.09

Punchestown 143 5 3.5% −107.50

Thurles 141 7 5% −87.75

Tramore 120 11 9.2% −28.59

Gowran Park 88 5 5.7% −19.50

Fairyhouse 74 5 6.8% −26.90

Killarney 73 2 2.7% −58.50

Tipperary 73 2 2.7% −57.50

Wexford 67 3 4.5% −49.00

Listowel 52 1 1.9% −46.50

Galway 46 3 6.5% −6.50

Naas 37 4 10.8% −21.13

Kilbeggan 36 0 0% −36.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 73 9 12.3% +15.99

Class 4 3 2 66.7% +10.38

Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 78 16 20.5% 0.85 −16.80

2nd–3rd fav 221 33 14.9% 1.06 −31.45

4th–6th fav 484 26 5.4% 0.86 −190.00

7th+ in betting 939 13 1.4% 0.52 −697.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 753 38 5% −385.67

1m5f – 2m 574 26 4.5% −347.01

2m5f – 3m 321 23 7.2% −145.57

Over 3m 43 1 2.3% −26.00

6f – 7f 12 0 0% −12.00

1m2f – 1m4f 9 0 0% −9.00

1m – 1m1f 9 0 0% −9.00

Under 6f 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 131 12 9.2% −55.01

2009 160 11 6.9% −83.87

2010 141 4 2.8% −113.75

2011 107 4 3.7% −69.62

2012 82 4 4.9% −24.75

2013 68 2 2.9% −51.00

2014 64 1 1.6% −56.00

2015 82 4 4.9% −55.75

2016 83 4 4.8% −20.50

2017 75 3 4% −52.00

2018 86 3 3.5% −72.50

2019 76 7 9.2% +7.00

2020 71 12 16.9% +39.57

2021 132 6 4.5% −84.00

2022 77 3 3.9% −40.00

2023 114 4 3.5% −74.40

2024 79 2 2.5% −65.00

2025 53 0 0% −53.00

2026 41 2 4.9% −10.67

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 511 36 7% −151.75

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 534 17 3.2% −397.74

17+ runners 484 16 3.3% −326.25

11-13 runners 333 22 6.6% −108.18

8-10 runners 236 23 9.7% −27.38

5-7 runners 122 9 7.4% −67.03

2-4 runners 13 1 7.7% −8.67

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

83.8% completed · 1,521 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 469 73.1% 34 14 73 4 1

Hurdle 1,052 88.5% 37 10 66 3 5

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Ordinary Man (IRE) 61 4 9 5 Feb 17

Rebel Early (IRE) 45 4 11 18 May 24

Rebel Turn (IRE) 41 2 4 29 Oct 20

My Murphy (IRE) 38 6 11 26 Apr 18

Island Master (IRE) 34 3 9 3 Aug 21

Trees Valley (IRE) 30 3 8 14 Sep 22

Coolbane West (IRE) 29 2 7 19 Jul 18

Shedding (IRE) 24 1 6 29 Oct 20

Cloudy Fountain (IRE)from David Harry Kelly 21 1 4 19 Mar 26

Light Parade (IRE) 21 1 6 28 Dec 23

Sumos Novios (IRE) 21 6 12 28 Dec 19

Indian Music (IRE) 20 1 4 31 Oct 19

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 250 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive; 55 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard; 47 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 2

Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

8410324353658

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJonathan Burke

10% of all rides
3.4% SR · A/E 0.55

RiderRWSR£1

Jonathan Burke 174 6 3.4% −90.00

Darragh O'Keeffe 150 11 7.3% −44.17

J R Barry 113 9 8% −53.37

Davy Russell 61 13 21.3% +21.99

Mr R O Harding 57 1 1.8% −48.00

Phillip Enright 52 2 3.8% −31.00

Donagh Meyler 51 4 7.8% −31.67

Kevin Coleman 50 2 4% −26.50

Davy Condon 47 0 0% −47.00

Robbie Power 46 8 17.4% +19.50

Paul Townend 36 2 5.6% −22.25

Sean Flanagan 34 0 0% −34.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

127

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.19m

Prize money

2005

Best season · 15 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Sir Frederick (IRE) — William Hill Galway Plate (Handicap Chase) Galway · Aug 2007 · Grade A

£134,000

Oscar Rebel (IRE) — Bewleys Hotels I.S.F. EBF (Mares) Hurdle (Grade 3) Punchestown · Apr 2008 · Grade 3

£65,100

Thyne Again (IRE) — Baileys Arkle Perpetual Challenge Cup Novice Chase (Grade 2) Leopardstown · Jan 2008 · Grade 1

£65,000

Notable horses

Thyne Again (IRE) My Murphy (IRE) Sir Frederick (IRE) Sumos Novios (IRE) Ordinary Man (IRE) Rebel Early (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Saddlers' Hall (IRE) 7% · 6–86

Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,861 runs since 2008 (460 horses).

Mahler (GB) 7.4% · 6–81

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,892 runs since 2014 (790 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Presenting (GB) 8.6% · 6–70

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Flemensfirth (USA) 10.1% · 7–69

Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,295 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Westerner (GB) 6.3% · 4–63

Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,872 runs since 2009 (946 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.

Mountain High (IRE) 8.1% · 5–62

Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,246 runs since 2011 (184 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 11 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,193 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,193 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 9 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

09 Nov 26 Punchestown (IRE) Burleigh Beach (IRE)J: Josh Williamson Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Academy Hurdle18.5f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran PU 125/1

05 Nov 26 Clonmel (IRE) Bruise Hill (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Prior Park Service Station Clonmel Handicap Steeplechase17f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 13th 17/2

25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Burleigh Beach (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Irish Stallion Farms EBF Academy Hurdle18f · Soft · 8 ran PU 22/1

17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Caoimhe (IRE)J: Simon Torrens #Thisisracing Maiden Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran PU 10/1

28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Bruise Hill (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Railway Bar Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran F 6/1

24 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Its A Vibe (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction & Median Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 14 ran 4th 200/1

28 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Bruise Hill (IRE)J: Kevin Healy Treo Eile Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20.5f · Good · 14 ran 2nd 13/2

24 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Lastofthenatives (IRE)J: Eoghan Finegan Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle18.5f · Good · 15 ran 11th 200/1

20 Aug 26 Killarney (IRE) Happy Me (IRE)J: Michael Kenneally Thorn Plant Hire Beginners Steeplechase23.5f · Good · 6 ran PU 66/1

13 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Happy Me (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan O'Neill's Bar Beginners Steeplechase22f · Good · 9 ran 8th 20/1

03 Aug 26 Cork (IRE) Lastofthenatives (IRE)J: Eoghan Finegan Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle18f · Good · 18 ran 11th 200/1

03 Aug 26 Cork (IRE) Absolutley Fab (IRE)J: John Shinnick www.mourneabbeyoil.ie Mares Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 18 ran 16th 250/1

01 Aug 26 Galway (IRE) Jetoile (IRE)J: Michael Kenneally BOYLE Sports Galway Tribes Handicap Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 19th 66/1

28 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) Bruise Hill (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan COLM QUINN BMW Novice Hurdle (Listed)Class 1 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran 8th 300/1

16 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Happy Me (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan INCO Broking Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good · 9 ran 5th 7/1

14 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Jetoile (IRE)J: Mr J C Barry Thorn Plant Hire (Q.R.) Maiden14f · Good · 12 ran 11th 50/1

10 Jul 26 Cork Bruise Hill (IRE)J: Kevin Healy Kelkab Ltd. Handicap Hurdle (0-100)17f · Good · 23 ran 6th 33/1

10 Jul 26 Cork Lastofthenatives (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan DNG John Ryan Auctioneer Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 20 ran 10th 300/1

10 Jul 26 Cork Absolutley Fab (IRE)J: John Shinnick Ashgrove Renewables Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 14 ran 12th 125/1

07 Jul 26 Tramore Jetoile (IRE)J: Colin Keane Waterford Castle And Resort Style Evening August 15th Maiden12f · Good · 10 ran 6th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is W J Burke's strike rate?: W J Burke has won 88 of 1,722 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.1% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does W J Burke do best at?: Naas by strike rate: 4 wins from 37 runners (10.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for W J Burke?: Jonathan Burke, with 174 runners since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (3.4%).
Is W J Burke in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is W J Burke's Fair A/E?: 0.84, from 1,722 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.