Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.34).
Deterministic profile computed from 522 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 9 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance24.3% when favouriteChris Hayes: 8.2% from 85Claiming riders: 9.7%Sends off the favourite in 7% of races
The read
The record is strongest at Leopardstown (15.3%, n=72), clear of the yard's 9.4% baseline. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=52, Fair A/E 0.00). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 8.6% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.41 and +64.50 to a £1 stake over 116 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Chris Hayes rides 16% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.2%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the QuinnBet Emerald Mile Handicap at Curragh (May 2024, £59,000). The stable star of the record: Stronger Than Me (IRE) — 7 wins from 41 runs for the yard.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
8.6%−0.8
n=116 · A/E 1.41 · £1 +64.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−9.4
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−9.4
n=52 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −52.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
5%−4.4
n=20 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −15.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
7.7%−1.7
n=13 · A/E 1.20 · £1 +4.00
When favourite
24.3%
n=37 · A/E 1.20 · £1 +0.95
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
9.7%+0.3
n=155 · A/E 1.61 · £1 −12.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
6.9%−2.5
n=29 · A/E 1.29 · £1 +85.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners21.3% vs 9.4% · n=47
With debutants0% vs 9.4% · n=52
At Leopardstown15.3% vs 9.4% · n=72
With a new jockey booking5.1% vs 9.4% · n=277
With W J Lee15.2% vs 9.4% · n=33
With Neve Bennett14.3% vs 9.4% · n=35
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 99.5% of the archive so far (as at 9 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat504489.5%−2.97
NH Flat1815.6%−14.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Soft126129.5%−12.25
Good12597.2%−76.34
Good to Firm8289.8%−0.25
Standard (AW)75912%+13.12
Heavy56610.7%+71.75
Good to Soft5559.1%−10.00
Firm300%−3.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Curragh170137.6%+35.50
Dundalk (AW)74912.2%+14.12
Leopardstown721115.3%+3.00
Naas5658.9%−5.75
Navan3126.5%−8.00
Fairyhouse24520.8%+9.83
Gowran Park2400%−24.00
Cork19210.5%−1.67
Punchestown700%−7.00
Tipperary600%−6.00
Limerick600%−6.00
Roscommon500%−5.00
Listowel5120%+3.00
Killarney300%−3.00
Ascot300%−3.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 12926.9%+85.00
Class 2100%−1.00
Class 5100%−1.00
Class 6100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite46919.6%1.02−8.05
2nd–3rd fav741723%1.67+14.08
4th–6th fav128129.4%1.28−10.00
7th+ in betting274114%1.35−13.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
6f – 7f1942110.8%−26.09
1m – 1m1f161127.5%+42.50
1m2f – 1m4f1161210.3%−15.38
Under 6f2627.7%+0.00
1m5f – 2m2229.1%−15.00
2m1f – 2m4f300%−3.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20082400%−24.00
200935411.4%+17.00
20103638.3%+3.00
20114149.8%−4.75
201239615.4%−6.25
201340615%+8.00
201438513.2%+7.00
201516318.8%+94.12
20162514%−18.50
201736513.9%−11.92
20184324.7%−24.50
20191500%−15.00
20202000%−20.00
20213239.4%−19.17
20223438.8%+10.50
202314214.3%+6.50
202416212.5%−1.00
20251500%−15.00
2026300%−3.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps3023812.6%+38.95
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
14-16 runners149117.4%−16.00
17+ runners144117.6%−32.50
11-13 runners122108.2%+41.08
8-10 runners78911.5%−33.50
5-7 runners27829.6%+25.95
2-4 runners200%−2.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 64 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 60 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Sir Mark Prescott Bt (3) and D K Weld (2); 52 had their first archived run for this yard.
12 have since run for another yard, most often for Samuel Farrell (2); 48 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
2002513511811411200
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
53
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£911k
Prize money
2013
Best season · 6 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
State Actor (IRE) — QuinnBet Emerald Mile Handicap (Premier Handicap) Curragh · May 2024
£59,000
Sharisse (IRE) — Ladbrokes.com European Breeders Fund Summer Fillies Handicap Curragh · Jun 2010
£50,700
Ramone (IRE) — Lodge Park Stud European Breeders Fund Park Express Stakes (Fillies' Group 3) Curragh · Mar 2015 · Group 3
Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,553 runs since 2008 (286 horses).
Invincible Spirit (IRE)20.7% · 6–29
Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,871 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.
Fath (USA)3.8% · 1–26
Progeny have won 8.9% of 2,349 runs since 2008 (98 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.3% from 112. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.2% from 167.
Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,296 runs since 2016 (312 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.4% from 868. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.8% from 725.
Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE)13% · 3–23
Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,568 runs since 2008 (872 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 579 · newest first
The latest 50 of 579 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 25 April 2005 to 8 July 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is W T Farrell's strike rate?
W T Farrell has won 49 of 522 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.4% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does W T Farrell do best at?
Leopardstown by strike rate: 11 wins from 72 runners (15.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for W T Farrell?
Chris Hayes, with 85 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (8.2%).
What is W T Farrell's Fair A/E?
1.34, from 522 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
W T Farrell·SR 9.4%·A/E 1.34
1Tap Share in the toolbar2Scroll down the sheet3Tap Add to Home Screen, then Add
1Open your browser's menu (the three dots)2Tap Add to Home screen or Install app
KTB
Cookies on Kickthebookies
We use essential cookies to run the site and remember your betslip. No advertising or tracking cookies, ever. By continuing to use this site, you agree. Cookie policy