What is Warren Greatrex's strike rate?

Warren Greatrex has won 579 of 4,044 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 14.3% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Warren Greatrex do best at?

Stratford by strike rate: 33 wins from 137 runners (24.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Warren Greatrex?

Gavin Sheehan, with 934 runners since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 175 (18.7%).

Is Warren Greatrex in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 14 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Warren Greatrex's Fair A/E?

0.97, from 4,040 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Warren Greatrex

4,044 runners in the lifetime window · 495 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 5.3% of 342 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 5 Nov 2026.

Last runner yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

579–4,044

Wins / Runs

14.3%

Strike rate

n=4,044

1,444 (36%)

Placed

0.97

Fair A/E

n=4,040 · 0.83 incl. margin

−932.24

£1 level stake

n=4,043 at SP · −23.1%

£5.98m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 210 runners a season, winning with 14% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.97). Debutants are a strength: 17% on first career starts (322 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 4,044 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Aug 36.5% when favourite Gavin Sheehan: 18.7% from 934 Sends off the favourite in 16% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Stratford (24.1%, n=137), clear of the yard's 14.3% baseline. It is weakest at Ascot (5.7% over 87 runners) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 8% (n=261, Fair A/E 0.82). The market has consistently overbet new recruits from other stables on their first run: 12.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.85 and −77.48 to a £1 stake over 173 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Gavin Sheehan rides 23% of the entries and edges the yard's average (18.7% vs 14.3%, A/E 1.06) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Class 6 (25.6%, n=281). 21 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Ladbrokes World Hurdle at Cheltenham (Mar 2015, £170,850). The stable star of the record: La Bague Au Roi (FR) — 14 wins from 28 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

12.9%−1.4

n=979 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −212.21

New recruits · first run for the yard

12.7%−1.6

n=173 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −77.48

Debutants · first career start

17.1%+2.8

n=322 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −49.92

First-time headgear · true-first definition

11.8%−2.5

n=229 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −82.87

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

10.8%−3.5

n=130 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −35.05

When favourite

36.5%

n=649 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −91.28

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

12.8%−1.5

n=642 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −149.36

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8%−6.3

n=261 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −105.87

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With A P McCoy 34.1% vs 14.3% · n=41

On last-time-out winners 24.6% vs 14.3% · n=577

In Class 6 25.6% vs 14.3% · n=281

At Stratford 24.1% vs 14.3% · n=137

With Henry Brooke 3.8% vs 14.3% · n=53

At Ascot 5.7% vs 14.3% · n=87

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 2,097 269 12.8% −722.30

Chase 931 156 16.8% −140.20

NH Flat 568 108 19% +21.48

Flat 448 46 10.3% −91.22

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,271 194 15.3% −382.13

Soft 1,023 135 13.2% −126.55

Good to Soft 938 115 12.3% −324.66

Heavy 346 57 16.5% −103.61

Standard (AW) 238 38 16% +52.22

Good to Firm 220 37 16.8% −48.18

Firm 8 3 37.5% +0.67

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newbury 224 25 11.2% −66.86

Ffos Las 184 27 14.7% −46.26

Uttoxeter 170 27 15.9% −54.92

Cheltenham 164 13 7.9% −64.05

Fontwell 156 27 17.3% −15.51

Plumpton 156 22 14.1% −49.83

Chepstow 140 18 12.9% −55.67

Stratford 137 33 24.1% −9.13

Warwick 134 21 15.7% +0.08

Huntingdon 130 12 9.2% −86.14

Wincanton 119 15 12.6% −57.32

Wetherby 111 24 21.6% −12.51

Southwell 110 18 16.4% −19.13

Exeter 109 15 13.8% −22.01

Hereford 108 20 18.5% −10.73

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 1,800 262 14.6% −598.34

Class 5 803 122 15.2% −156.86

Class 3 596 73 12.2% −53.22

Class 1 294 23 7.8% −113.54

Class 6 281 72 25.6% +67.37

Class 2 258 27 10.5% −65.65

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 729 253 34.7% 1.00 −115.06

2nd–3rd fav 1,224 213 17.4% 0.97 −238.18

4th–6th fav 1,212 88 7.3% 0.90 −279.00

7th+ in betting 878 24 2.7% 0.81 −300.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 1,262 197 15.6% −327.11

2m1f – 2m4f 1,148 161 14% −278.99

2m5f – 3m 996 146 14.7% −212.86

Over 3m 292 42 14.4% −77.27

6f – 7f 135 13 9.6% −12.47

1m2f – 1m4f 108 12 11.1% +34.46

1m – 1m1f 72 6 8.3% −31.05

Under 6f 31 2 6.5% −26.95

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2009 51 9 17.6% −9.99

2010 135 11 8.1% −44.71

2011 127 20 15.7% −28.76

2012 116 13 11.2% −28.37

2013 183 36 19.7% +13.09

2014 237 59 24.9% −10.29

2015 293 46 15.7% −92.62

2016 278 53 19.1% −66.87

2017 321 55 17.1% −65.37

2018 343 54 15.7% −85.32

2019 283 32 11.3% −63.35

2020 216 17 7.9% −109.52

2021 226 19 8.4% −70.97

2022 196 15 7.7% −117.58

2023 187 23 12.3% +58.42

2024 256 39 15.2% −4.05

2025 339 49 14.5% −160.95

2026 257 29 11.3% −45.03

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,998 262 13.1% −444.54

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 1,333 197 14.8% −130.06

5-7 runners 959 185 19.3% −258.89

11-13 runners 944 108 11.4% −243.19

14-16 runners 462 48 10.4% −128.21

17+ runners 209 8 3.8% −112.00

2-4 runners 136 32 23.5% −59.89

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

84.6% completed · 3,028 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 931 76.7% 41 23 150 3 0

Hurdle 2,097 88.1% 40 25 180 1 4

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Oscar Prairie (IRE)from P O'Rourke 44 6 14 8 Dec 15

Bailarico (IRE)from Eugene M O'Sullivan 41 10 14 31 Aug 21

Jet Of Dreams (IRE) 33 7 16 1 Nov 26

Jaramillo (GB)from Roger Varian 33 4 11 13 Oct 26

Bob Mahler (IRE) 33 4 17 21 Dec 21

Bill Baxter (IRE) 31 7 12 2 May 26

Keeper Hill (IRE)from Ronald O'Leary 31 7 13 15 Jan 22

Dolatulo (FR)from L Postic · then Ben Pauling 30 5 16 16 Apr 16

La Bague Au Roi (FR) 28 14 15 28 Nov 20

Boite (IRE)from Peter Chapple-Hyam 27 4 11 11 May 19

Paint The Clouds (GB)from Alan Swinbank 27 13 20 17 Mar 17

Line Of Descent (IRE)from Simon & Ed Crisford 26 3 11 23 May 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 495 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 15 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 19 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Henrietta C Knight (2); 41 had their first archived run for this yard.

16 have since run for another yard; 44 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 14

Only 14 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

121512141816161610131714

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderGavin Sheehan

23% of all rides
18.7% SR · A/E 1.06

RiderRWSR£1

Gavin Sheehan 934 175 18.7% −126.97

James Bowen 396 67 16.9% −66.63

Harry Bannister 265 35 13.2% −76.34

Richard Johnson 258 43 16.7% −84.99

Edward Greatrex 199 27 13.6% −1.29

Noel Fehily 187 31 16.6% −51.96

Wayne Hutchinson 135 17 12.6% −24.17

A P Heskin 111 11 9.9% −25.95

Caoilin Quinn 108 9 8.3% −34.29

Thomas Greatrex 89 8 9% −18.50

Sean Bowen 82 18 22% +102.97

Andrew Tinkler 70 6 8.6% −37.30

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→

579

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.98m

Prize money

2014

Best season · 59 wins

Cole Harden (IRE) — Ladbrokes World Hurdle (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2015 · Grade 1

£170,850

One Track Mind (IRE) — Ladbrokes Champion Stayers Hurdle (Grade 1) Punchestown · Apr 2016 · Grade 1

£118,000

Bill Baxter (IRE) — Randox Supports Race Against Dementia Topham Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) (National Course) Aintree · Apr 2023 · Class 1

£84,195

Notable horses

La Bague Au Roi (FR) Paint The Clouds (GB) Bailarico (IRE) Village Master (IRE) The Nipper (IRE) Jet Of Dreams (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Westerner (GB) 16.3% · 28–172

Progeny have won 12.2% of 11,857 runs since 2009 (945 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.

Milan (GB) 17.8% · 19–107

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,871 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Yeats (IRE) 11.3% · 12–106

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,839 runs since 2013 (707 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.

Mahler (GB) 14.9% · 15–101

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,877 runs since 2014 (787 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Presenting (GB) 16% · 16–100

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Oscar (IRE) 15.3% · 13–85

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,044 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,044 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 October 2009 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Dark Alley (GB)J: Edward Greatrex Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 6th 12/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Miracleoftheandes (IRE)J: Edward Greatrex Try Unibet's New Racing Bet Builder Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 7 ran 3rd 6/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Dandy G Boy (IRE)J: Edward Greatrex Unibet's New VAR Goal Guarantee Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 11th 15/2

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Peter The Wolf (GB)J: Edward Greatrex All Weather Championship Is Back Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 3/1J

02 Nov 26 Southwell Magellan D'irlande (FR)J: Sean Bowen Southwell Racecourse Conference And Events Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 2 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 8/1

01 Nov 26 Huntingdon Jet Of Dreams (IRE)J: Richard Upton CopyBet Pay First Past The Post Macer Gifford Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran 7th 6/1

31 Oct 26 Ascot Saint Argente (IRE)J: Sam Twiston-Davies Ascot Colts And Fillies' Club Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 15.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 1st 2/1F

30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Knight Crossing (IRE)J: Sam Twiston-Davies Support The Royal British Legion Poppy Appeal Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (Herring Queen Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 10th 16/1

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Forever Penywern (GB)J: Edward Greatrex Try Unibet's New Racing Bet Builder Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 2nd 9/2

26 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Noble Grace (IRE)J: Edward Greatrex Bet @racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 3rd 11/1

26 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Open To Offers (IRE)J: Edward Greatrex Try Unibet's Superboosts Handicap StakesClass 6 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 10th 33/1

26 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Gilet (IRE)J: Edward Greatrex Try Unibet's New Racing Bet Builder Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 5th 7/1

26 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Liam Mera Kai (FR)J: Edward Greatrex Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 12f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 5th 15/8F

23 Oct 26 Cheltenham Governors Rock (IRE)J: James Bowen Oddschecker Novices' Hurdle Race(grade 2) (registered As The Sharp Novices' Hurdle Race) (gbb Race)Class 1 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 22/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Army Bugler (IRE)J: Edward Greatrex Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 25/1

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Starakova (GB)J: Edward Greatrex bettingsites.co.uk New Betting Sites Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 16/1

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Yankee Dude (IRE)J: Edward Greatrex bettingsites.co.uk Find Your New Bookmaker Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 11/2

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) In The City (GB)J: Edward Greatrex Cavani Champion Style Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 11/2

13 Oct 26 Southwell Golden Garden (USA)J: James Bowen Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 11 ran PU 28/1

13 Oct 26 Hereford Jaramillo (GB)J: Richard Upton Betting.Bet Free Bets Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 1st 7/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 7 runs (won 3) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 4 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 5 runs (won 1) · to 4 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Warren Greatrex's strike rate?: Warren Greatrex has won 579 of 4,044 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 14.3% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Warren Greatrex do best at?: Stratford by strike rate: 33 wins from 137 runners (24.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Warren Greatrex?: Gavin Sheehan, with 934 runners since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 175 (18.7%).
Is Warren Greatrex in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 14 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Warren Greatrex's Fair A/E?: 0.97, from 4,040 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.