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Trainer profile

Brian Gubby

166 runners in the lifetime window · 11 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Dec 2015 99% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
20–166
Wins / Runs
12%
Strike rate
n=166
45 (27%)
Placed
1.14
Fair A/E
n=164 · 1.01 incl. margin
+60.50
£1 level stake
n=166 at SP · +36.4%
£145k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.1%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.14). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 16% off breaks of two months or more (37 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 166 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 16.2% Claiming riders: 12.2%
The read

It is weakest at Lingfield (AW) (8.7% over 46 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 16.2% (n=37, Fair A/E 1.86). The yard also read well in Class 4 (19.4%, n=31). The market has also underrated the yard over 6f – 7f: Fair A/E 1.26 across 107 runners (14% strike, +17.00 to a £1 stake). The record read poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 6.5% over 31 runners, 5.5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Class 5: Fair A/E 0.84 across 61 runners (8.2% strike, −25.75 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. The stable star of the record was Kinglami (GB) — 5 wins from 38 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
16.2%+4.2
n=37 · A/E 1.86 · £1 +15.25
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−12.0
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−12.0
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
20%+8.0
n=5 · A/E 1.53 · £1 −0.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
28.6%+16.6
n=7 · A/E 3.06 · £1 +67.50
When favourite
20%
n=20 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −4.75
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
12.2%+0.2
n=49 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −17.25
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−12.0
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 4 19.4% vs 12% · n=31
Over 1m – 1m1f 6.5% vs 12% · n=31
In Class 5 8.2% vs 12% · n=61
At Lingfield (AW) 8.7% vs 12% · n=46
In Class 6 14.6% vs 12% · n=41
Over 6f – 7f 14% vs 12% · n=107
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 165 20 12.1% +61.50
Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 103 12 11.7% +42.25
Good to Firm 24 2 8.3% −0.50
Good 16 3 18.8% +18.00
Good to Soft 15 1 6.7% −4.00
Soft 6 1 16.7% −2.25
Heavy 2 1 50% +7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW) 52 7 13.5% +62.50
Lingfield (AW) 46 4 8.7% −18.75
Windsor 21 4 19% +2.25
Goodwood 13 3 23.1% +38.00
Ascot 6 0 0% −6.00
Lingfield 5 1 20% +2.00
Chelmsford (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00
Newbury 3 0 0% −3.00
Salisbury 3 0 0% −3.00
Sandown 2 0 0% −2.00
Newmarket 2 0 0% −2.00
Ayr 2 0 0% −2.00
Bath 2 0 0% −2.00
York 1 0 0% −1.00
Epsom Downs 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 61 5 8.2% −25.75
Class 6 41 6 14.6% +9.50
Class 4 31 6 19.4% +66.25
Class 3 16 2 12.5% +8.50
Class 2 12 1 8.3% +7.00
Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 22 5 22.7% 0.91 −3.00
2nd–3rd fav 36 7 19.4% 1.30 +5.00
4th–6th fav 50 4 8% 0.82 −7.50
7th+ in betting 58 4 6.9% 1.85 +66.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Kinglami (GB)then John O'Shea 38 5 16 30 Nov 15
Al Aqabah (IRE) 32 4 6 19 Jan 14
Son of The Cat (USA) 25 4 10 8 Oct 11
Dawson Creek (IRE)then Luke Dace 22 1 7 12 Jun 10
Pal Of The Cat (GB)then Michael Attwater 16 2 2 10 Dec 15
Diamonds A Dancing (GB)from Rebecca Curtis · then John O'Shea 12 3 3 29 Oct 15
Evenstorm (USA) 8 0 0 11 Feb 09
Jebel Ali (IRE) 7 1 1 12 May 09
Richardlionheart (USA)then Michael Madgwick 3 0 0 29 Jun 09
Aurens (IRE)from Michael Attwater · then Gary Moore 2 0 0 20 Apr 12
Luscious Lips (GB)from Richard Hannon Snr 1 0 0 7 Dec 08
All 11 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 11 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive; 8 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard, most often for John O'Shea (2); 5 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
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A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Adam Beschizza 22 4 18.2% +0.00
Franny Norton 15 5 33.3% +38.00
Neil Callan 13 1 7.7% +4.00
Chris Catlin 9 1 11.1% +58.00
Oisin Murphy 8 1 12.5% −2.00
Greg Fairley 7 0 0% −7.00
Silvestre De Sousa 7 1 14.3% +0.50
Richard Hughes 6 1 16.7% −3.75
Michael Hills 5 1 20% +6.00
David Probert 4 0 0% −4.00
Darryll Holland 4 1 25% +3.00
James Doyle 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
24
Archived wins
£174k
Prize money
2014
Best season · 5 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Son of The Cat (USA) — bluesquare.com Stewards' Sprint Handicap Goodwood · Jul 2011 · Class 2
£18,675
Pal Of The Cat (GB) — Telegraph Handicap Goodwood · Aug 2013 · Class 3
£9,338
Jebel Ali (IRE) — Arena Leisure PLC Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Mar 2006 · Class 4
£6,477
Notable horses
Kinglami (GB) Al Aqabah (IRE) Son of The Cat (USA) Dawson Creek (IRE) Diamonds A Dancing (GB) Jebel Ali (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Kingsalsa (USA) 13.2% · 5–38
Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,989 runs since 2008 (284 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.7% from 110.
Redback (GB) 12.5% · 4–32
Progeny have won 7.6% of 2,888 runs since 2008 (249 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.9% from 181.
Tale Of The Cat (USA) 16% · 4–25
Progeny have won 10.5% of 774 runs since 2008 (55 horses).
Titus Livius (FR) 4.5% · 1–22
Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,080 runs since 2008 (132 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.5% from 157.
Choisir (AUS) 12.5% · 2–16
Progeny have won 10.7% of 5,779 runs since 2008 (392 horses).
Delta Dancer (GB) 25% · 3–12
Progeny have won 10% of 140 runs since 2008 (8 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 252 · newest first

The latest 50 of 252 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 23 March 2005 to 10 December 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
10 Dec 15 Chelmsford City (AW) Pal Of The Cat (GB)J: Franny Norton Play Scoop6soccer At Betfred HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 20/1
30 Nov 15 Kempton (AW) Kinglami (GB)J: Martin Harley betdaq.com 50 In Free Bets HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 20/1
19 Nov 15 Lingfield (AW) Kinglami (GB)J: Franny Norton unibet.co.uk Daily Enhanced Place Terms HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 14/1
29 Oct 15 Lingfield (AW) Diamonds A Dancing (GB)J: Daniel Cremin Download The Ladbrokes App Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 7/1
20 Oct 15 Windsor Pal Of The Cat (GB)J: William Twiston-Davies Windsor Handicap (Div 1)Class 4 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 12th 16/1
19 Oct 15 Windsor Diamonds A Dancing (GB)J: Joe Fanning Daily Unibet Early Prices From 9am HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 10th 12/1
30 Sep 15 Kempton (AW) Diamonds A Dancing (GB)J: Franny Norton English Teacher Training At isehove.com HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 4th 7/1
18 Sep 15 Ayr Kinglami (GB)J: Daniel Cremin William Hill Ayr Bronze Cup HandicapClass 2 · 6f · Good · 25 ran 23rd 20/1
01 Sep 15 Epsom Downs Kinglami (GB)J: Oisin Murphy Terry Mills & John Akehurst HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Soft · 5 ran 2nd 11/4
29 Jul 15 Goodwood Kinglami (GB)J: Richard Kingscote Nat West Stakes (Handicap)Class 3 · 7f · Good · 18 ran 3rd 14/1
08 Jul 15 Kempton (AW) Diamonds A Dancing (GB)J: Daniel Cremin 32Red On The App Store Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 11/1
06 Jun 15 Lingfield Kinglami (GB)J: Cam Hardie Highway HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 5th 5/2F
25 May 15 Windsor Kinglami (GB)J: Richard Kingscote Cash Out On The Betdaq+ App HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 1st 7/2
04 May 15 Windsor Kinglami (GB)J: Franny Norton totepool Racing's Biggest Supporter Handicap (Div 2)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 2nd 7/2
13 Nov 14 Kempton (AW) Diamonds A Dancing (GB)J: William Twiston-Davies BetVictor.com Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 9/4F
17 Oct 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Diamonds A Dancing (GB)J: Franny Norton Raise Your Profile With Ultratek HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 5/2
13 Oct 14 Windsor Kinglami (GB)J: Franny Norton Ladbrokes HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Heavy · 15 ran 1st 8/1
08 Oct 14 Kempton (AW) Diamonds A Dancing (GB)J: Franny Norton BetBright.com HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 1st 7/2
01 Oct 14 Kempton (AW) Diamonds A Dancing (GB)J: Franny Norton Barn Dance Christmas Parties On 01932 753518 Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 16/1
06 Sep 14 Kempton (AW) Kinglami (GB)J: Silvestre De Sousa Try A totetrifecta Handicap (Div 1)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 7/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Brian Gubby's strike rate?
Brian Gubby has won 20 of 166 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Brian Gubby do best at?
Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 52 runners (13.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Brian Gubby's Fair A/E?
1.14, from 164 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).