4:09 Clonmel
The 4:09 at Clonmel is a 19-runner Ravens Rock Novice Handicap Hurdle over 2m4f35y on good ground. A competitive field lines up with most runners holding fair or useful form on paper, though several arrive with questions to answer regarding trip, ground or first-time headgear. The KTB Fit ratings point to a tight contest at the top, headed by Pure Logic on 62, with the next four principals closely bunched between 55 and 58.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape lacks an obvious leader and points to a steadily-run, tactical affair in which being handy should pay. With the majority of the field, including all five principals, tending to be held up and produce their effort late, the race is likely to develop into a test of timing from off the pace. The key question will be whether those racing prominently can steal an advantage or if the closers will be able to weave their way through in the straight.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Pure Logic KTB Selection62/100
Pure Logic is a useful performer with a solid recent record that includes two wins and two places from his last five starts. He drops back to a trip he has won over from four attempts though his last run came over further. The yard has a modest 5% strike rate from 242 runs at Clonmel while the 7 lb claimer is making his first ride at the track. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he should be well suited to the steadily-run nature of this race. With an official rating of 100 and recent form figures of 6P3123, he arrives in good order and is the KTB Selection.
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2Centreofattention58/100
Centreofattention is a useful performer who has shown his best form with placed efforts on his last two starts. He steps up in trip for the first time today while wearing headgear for the first time, both of which pose fresh questions. The trainer has a solid 12% strike rate from 104 runs at Clonmel. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he should find a suitable pace to run at in this steadily-run affair. Rated 99 officially, his recent form reads 0-8P23 and he remains a key player if the new combination of trip and headgear works in his favour.
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3Land Of Punt58/100
Land Of Punt is a useful performer who has shown consistent form in recent starts, finishing in the frame on three of his last four outings. He steps up in trip today having never tried beyond 2m1f, which asks a fresh question of him. The trainer has an 11% strike rate from nine runs at Clonmel. Usually held up though with limited evidence, he will hope the tactical pace allows him to come from off the speed. With an official rating of 96 and recent form figures of 9533-6, he is capable of playing a part if the longer distance suits.
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4Il Silenzio57/100
Il Silenzio is a fair performer who arrives in decent nick after winning at Down Royal in May and finishing a solid third at Worcester last time. He drops back in trip to a distance he has never tried, which asks a fresh question, while this is also his first run at Clonmel. The trainer has a 10% strike rate here from 59 runs and the horse is only placed once from two starts on good ground. Usually held up and producing his effort late with high confidence, he should be suited by the steadily-run race. Rated 87 officially with form figures P1-413, he cannot be ruled out.
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5Colesberg55/100
Colesberg is a useful performer on the balance of his ratings and recent efforts, finishing a respectable third last time after two lesser runs. He has no strong record at this track and his trainer operates at a modest 6% strike rate here from 18 runs. This is only his seventh start and he steps up markedly in trip today, which remains an open question. Usually held up with medium confidence, he will look to come from off the pace in a race that should suit his style. Rated 95 officially with form figures 96-734, he is capable of a bold show if the new trip brings improvement.
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6Bobby Kirova50/100
Bobby Kirova is a useful performer who has run to a similar level on his last four starts without threatening to win. First time headgear is now tried as he steps up in trip for the first time and makes his Clonmel debut. The trainer has a modest 4% strike rate at the track from 84 runs. Usually held up with high confidence, he should get a suitable pace to aim at.
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7Friar Hogan49/100
Friar Hogan is a useful performer who has shown enough in recent starts to suggest he can be competitive here. He steps up in trip having already placed once at this distance without winning, while he has also placed on good ground from limited attempts. The trainer has a modest 6% strike rate at Clonmel from a large sample. Usually held up with high confidence, he is capable of a respectable effort.
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8Like An Ocean47/100
Like An Ocean is a useful sort who showed plenty of promise when winning on debut before adding a second success in a bumper. He steps up in trip today having looked a stayer in the making on his latest run. The trainer has a modest 0% strike rate from 23 runs at Clonmel. With limited evidence he is usually held up, and this longer trip could suit.
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9Depeche Mo46/100
Depeche Mo is a modest performer who has shown little spark in recent runs and finished well beaten on his only previous visit to Clonmel. The step up in trip is an unknown at this stage and he has failed to place in nine runs on good ground. The trainer has an 11% strike rate from 18 runs at the track while the jockey has limited experience here. Usually held up with high confidence.
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10Ballyredinkingston46/100
Ballyredinkingston is a fair handicapper who has been consistent enough around here without ever looking like winning. Three placed efforts from five runs at Clonmel read okay but he has failed to land a blow on his last three starts and the first-time headgear is now reached for. He drops back in trip today which asks a fresh question. Usually held up with high confidence.
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11South Of Killerig46/100
South Of Killerig is a useful performer on the balance of his ratings and race history. He steps up in trip today having shown little in three runs on good ground and arrives on the back of modest recent form. The trainer's 8% strike-rate at Clonmel from a big sample is fair but offers no particular edge here. Usually held up with high confidence.
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12G N Jefferson46/100
G N Jefferson is a fair performer who has shown only modest form in four starts since a promising third on debut. He drops back in trip to a distance he has never tried, which asks a fresh question of him. The trainer has a 7% strike rate from 112 runs at Clonmel. Usually races handily, on or close to the lead, he could be advantaged if the race is steadily-run.
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13Codger's Rock46/100
Codger's Rock is a useful performer on the balance of his ratings and race history but arrives in modest recent form having been beaten 26 lengths or more in three of his last four starts. The yard's poor 2% strike rate from 48 runs at Clonmel is a clear negative while the horse himself has shown little on good ground and is now fitted with headgear for the first time as he steps up in trip. This is his first run at the track. Usually held up with high confidence.
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14Portetta44/100
Portetta is a fair performer who has been largely out of form this year with a string of poor runs. The trainer's modest 5% strike-rate at Clonmel from a big sample suggests this yard rarely fires here, while the 7lb claimer has no established record at the track. Placed once from five starts on good ground and twice tried over this trip without success. Usually held up with high confidence.
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15Sum Story43/100
Sum Story has shown little in three starts this year and his recent form of 55-000 suggests he is struggling to make an impact. He is officially a fair horse on his best efforts yet has failed to build on that so far. The trip looks to ask a fresh question while the trainer's modest 5% strike rate at Clonmel adds no encouragement.
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16Boomerang Breeze43/100
Boomerang Breeze has shown little in three runs to date and arrives off the back of two heavy defeats. A fair standard on paper, he drops back in trip having failed to make an impact at this distance on his only previous attempt. The yard's modest 6% strike rate at Clonmel offers no obvious encouragement. Usually held up with medium confidence.
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17Jolly Potter40/100
Jolly Potter is a fair performer who has struggled badly since an early promise, finishing well beaten on all three starts this year. The drop back in trip is an unknown and first-time headgear is now fitted in hope of a revival. The trainer has a 0% strike rate from 21 runs at Clonmel. Usually held up with medium confidence.
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18Nunya38/100
Nunya is a fair performer on the balance of his ratings and race history. He has been well held in all four starts to date and steps up markedly in trip today which asks a fresh question. The trainer has a 0% strike rate from 12 runs at Clonmel. Usually held up with high confidence.
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19Doyen Og33/100
Doyen Og is a modest performer who has shown little spark this year and arrives on the back of a poor fourth at Tramore. The step up to 2m4f poses a fresh question and he remains winless at the trip from four previous attempts. The trainer is 0-23 at Clonmel while the 5 lb claimer has yet to trouble the judge here either. Usually held up with high confidence.
KTB verdict
Pure Logic stands out as the KTB Selection. He possesses a solid recent record featuring two wins and two places from his last five starts and returns to a trip he has won over. Although the yard's record at Clonmel is modest, his ability and the tactical pace that should suit his held-up style give him the strongest profile. The main dangers are Centreofattention, who has shown placed form lately and represents a trainer in decent form here, and Land Of Punt, whose consistent efforts bring him into the equation if the longer trip proves within his range. Il Silenzio and Colesberg add further depth in what looks a competitive renewal.
KTB Selection Pure Logic
This is the narrative read of the 4:09 Clonmel. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Clonmel racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Clonmel results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is stepping up in trip for the first time while also wearing first-time headgear?
Centreofattention steps up in trip for the first time today while wearing headgear for the first time.
How many placed efforts has Land Of Punt recorded from his last four outings?
Land Of Punt has finished in the frame on three of his last four outings.
What is the trainer's strike rate at Clonmel for the yard of Pure Logic?
The yard has a 5% strike rate at Clonmel from 242 runs.
Which horse is the only prominent runner among the principals and field?
G N Jefferson is the only one listed as usually racing handily, on or close to the lead.
How many wins has Pure Logic recorded from four attempts at today's trip?
Pure Logic has won over the trip from four attempts.
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