4:45 Newmarket
A 17-runner Flat class 1 contest over 1m2f0y at Newmarket (4:45), on Good To Firm going. KTB has scored every runner; the preview below reads the race off those numbers.
How the race shapes up
One clear front-runner with little to pressure it — likely an uncontested lead that can be hard for closers to peg back.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Snellen KTB Selection72/100
Useful performer who has shown consistent form this year without quite landing a big one. Three wins from seven starts on good to firm is a clear positive and he has also won over today's trip. First run at Newmarket for a trainer with a strong recent record here.
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2Felicitas62/100
Useful performer who has already won at this trip and shown strong form in good company. The wide draw in stall 14 adds a negative at this track and trip. Trainer and jockey both operate at an 11% strike rate here with near-par figures.
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3On Message61/100
Useful performer who arrives in solid form having won at this trip and shown his ability on good to firm ground. He makes his first appearance at Newmarket today while the trainer holds a 13% strike rate here from 555 runs and the jockey is operating at 10% from 279 rides. Stall 11 adds a question mark at this track.
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4Naga58/100
Useful performer who has won over this trip and on this ground. Has already scored at Newmarket from two runs here and the yard's 14 percent strike rate from 323 runs at the track adds further confidence. Recent form has been a bit in and out.
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5Touleen58/100
Smart performer who has been consistent at a high level this year without winning. Newmarket form is modest with two placed efforts from five starts here and the wide draw in stall 16 will not help. Steps up markedly in trip today which asks a fresh question of him while the yard's modest strike rate at the track is another negative.
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6Lizzana58/100
Useful performer who has shown consistent form this year with a win and three placings from five starts.
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7Francophone57/100
Francophone is a useful performer with a solid record at this track, including a win from three runs.
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8Legacy Link56/100
Smart performer who has won at this trip and showed strong form when second in a listed race earlier this season.
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9Della Pace53/100
Useful performer who has been consistent without winning lately, finishing in the frame on three of her last five starts.
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10Silver Lake53/100
Silver Lake is a useful performer with a strong recent record of four wins from his last five starts and a perfect three-from-three at today's trip.
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11Rose Ghaiyyath52/100
Useful performer who has shown mixed form this season with a best of third at this trip last time.
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12Song of The Clouds51/100
Useful performer with a solid recent record of two wins from three starts.
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13Pacific Mission50/100
Useful performer who has shown steady placed form without winning.
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14Noche Clasica49/100
Smart performer who has run to a good level on several occasions this year but has been rather hit and miss.
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15Previous48/100
Useful performer who has shown solid form with two wins from four starts and finished a creditable third when last seen here over a mile.
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16Patagonia Girl47/100
Fair performer who has won three times at this trip from nine attempts but has been in and out of form this year with a recent sequence of 758471.
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17Miss Wong42/100
Miss Wong is a fair performer who has shown some ability on this track when finishing second here on her only visit.
KTB verdict
KTB's top-rated runner is Snellen on a Fit Score of 72/100. On our numbers the main dangers are Felicitas and On Message.
KTB Selection Snellen
This is the narrative read of the 4:45 Newmarket. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Newmarket racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Newmarket results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Newmarket racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which runner does KTB rate highest in the 4:45 at Newmarket?
Snellen tops the KTB Fit ranking for this race on a score of 72/100.
How many runners are in this race?
17 runners are declared (non-runners excluded).
What is the going for the 4:45 at Newmarket?
The going is described as Good To Firm.
What distance is this race run over?
It is run over 1m2f0y.
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