6:55 Roscommon
A 19-runner maiden over 1m4f17y at Roscommon on good ground looks set to be dominated by a lone leader given the shape of the race. The KTB Fit ratings point to a competitive but unexposed field with Almazann heading the numbers on the back of consistent placed form. Most of the principals are lightly raced 3-year-olds stepping up in trip or making their first appearances, while the trainer and jockey combinations at this track add further layers to the puzzle.
How the race shapes up
With a high-confidence lone-leader pace shape, one horse is expected to bowl along uncontested from the front while the remainder settle in behind. The majority of the field, including the top five in the KTB Fit order, are held-up types who will be looking to produce their effort late. This setup poses the key question of whether any closer can bridge the gap to an uncontested leader on this tight track, particularly from wider draws.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Almazann KTB Selection57/100
Almazann has been placed in two of three starts and showed fair form when second over this trip last time out. Already placed over course and distance, that experience is a positive from a wide draw in stall 17. The D K Weld and Chris Hayes combination both have established records at Roscommon, though neither figure stands out from the data. Usually held up and producing its effort late, the 3-year-old should be coming home strongly if the uncontested leader sets a steady pace. The KTB Fit score of 57 marks this one out as the selection in a maiden where experience counts for plenty.
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2Nugentstown Sue53/100
Nugentstown Sue has only seven career runs and showed little when finishing last on her latest effort. The trip looks a fresh question having failed to make an impact on her sole attempt at it. Trainer Hugh Paul Finegan has a solid 10% strike rate from ten runs at Roscommon while jockey Nicola Burns is still seeking her first winner from 14 rides here. Usually held up and producing its effort late, the 7-year-old will need to find considerable improvement to feature. The KTB Fit score of 53 reflects limited appeal on what is known so far.
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3I Hope You Dance52/100
I Hope You Dance is a fair performer who has shown consistent placed form this year, finishing second on both starts at this trip. Drawn in stall one, that should help on this tight track and the Henry De Bromhead yard have a solid record here. The trip clearly suits but the going remains an unknown with so few runs on the board. Usually held up with high confidence in that run-style, the 3-year-old will be looking to come from off the pace in a race likely to be run with an uncontested leader. The KTB Fit score of 52 keeps this one firmly in the mix among the principals.
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4Metallic51/100
Metallic showed little on his sole start to date when finishing eighth. The Joseph Patrick O'Brien yard has a solid 20% strike rate at Roscommon from a big sample. Trip and ground both remain unknown with only one run on the board. Usually held up though with limited evidence and low confidence in that assessment, the 3-year-old has plenty to prove. The KTB Fit score of 51 reflects the yard's local record offsetting a modest debut.
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5Gentle Soda51/100
Gentle Soda has only one run in the book and finished a remote 12th on this track. The E McNamara yard posts a modest 8% strike-rate here from a big sample. Stepping up markedly in trip today asks a fresh question of a horse with very little known form. Usually held up though with limited evidence and low confidence in that read, the 3-year-old is hard to assess with any confidence. The KTB Fit score of 51 is consistent with the yard's local figures.
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6Plug In Hybrid48/100
Plug In Hybrid is a lightly raced 3-year-old with just one run to his name, a modest sixth on debut over 1m1f. He steps up markedly in trip today which asks a fresh question of him. Trainer Noel Meade has an 18% strike rate at Roscommon from 561 runs while Colin Keane posts 17% from 296 rides here, though the small sample on this horse means any assessment must be treated with caution.
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7Nothingbutadream48/100
Nothingbutadream has shown little in three starts to date and looks modest on the bare form. The trip has not brought any improvement so far. Trainer has only four runs at the track so the small sample prevents any firm read while the jockey has a solid 13 percent strike rate here.
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8Nemorino47/100
Nemorino is a debutant so the form picture is blank. The Henry De Bromhead yard has a solid 18% strike rate at Roscommon while Robbie Colgan is operating at a modest 4% here. Pedigree and sales information will decide whether this one is worth a second look on debut.
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9Shambata46/100
Shambata has shown little in two starts so far, finishing well beaten on both occasions. The trainer holds a solid 14% strike rate at Roscommon from 124 runs while the jockey is operating at 15% from 134 rides here. Stepping up markedly in trip today asks a fresh question of a horse with very limited data overall.
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10Cosmetic45/100
Cosmetic is a fair 3-year-old who has shown consistent placed form at this trip, finishing second twice in three attempts. The yard has a solid 13% strike rate at Roscommon from a big sample, though the jockey is operating at a more modest 8%. With only six career runs the going remains an unknown and the wide draw in stall 9 adds a question mark.
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11Miss Romagna45/100
Miss Romagna is a modest performer who has shown consistent form in four starts, finishing placed on her only attempt at this trip. She has the benefit of a yard that operates at a solid 13% strike rate here and a jockey with an 11% record at the track. Going suitability remains unknown on this lightly-raced filly.
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12Four Ball45/100
Four Ball showed only modest form when sixth on debut over this trip and is now fitted with first-time headgear to try and spark improvement. The yard has a 6% strike rate from 53 runs at Roscommon while Luke McAteer is operating at 6% from 71 rides here, both well below average. With just one run on the board and a small sample on this ground the colt remains hard to assess with any confidence.
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13Purple Bandit44/100
Purple Bandit is a first-time starter from a yard that operates at a solid 13% strike rate at Roscommon. The colt is fitted with headgear on debut, which often signals intent but adds an unknown on race day. With no racecourse form and low data confidence the assessment rests mainly on pedigree and the proven record of trainer and jockey at the track.
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14Michinaga43/100
Michinaga is a lightly raced colt with just two runs behind him and a 9th and 6th to show for them. He has already tried this trip without success and finished sixth on his only visit to Roscommon. Trainer has only two runs at the track so far, too small a sample to judge.
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15Shemiyka43/100
Shemiyka is a modest performer who has shown some ability on her last two starts, finishing third and fourth in competitive races. She steps up in trip today having already placed once at this distance, which looks a fair ask on her pedigree and ratings profile. Trainer has a solid 15% strike-rate at Roscommon from 46 runs while the jockey's 3% record from 38 rides is far more modest.
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16Coolnagrattan43/100
Coolnagrattan is lightly raced with just three career runs and a recent 30 sequence that offers little to go on. Has been placed over this trip and finished a respectable third here on his only visit to Roscommon. Trainer has too few runners at the track to judge while the jockey's modest 4% strike rate from a large sample is another negative.
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17Kigalienne42/100
Kigalienne is a newcomer from a yard that operates at a steady 13% strike rate at this track. The jockey has yet to score from 38 rides here. With no racecourse form to go on the assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background.
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18Mawhibah42/100
Mawhibah is a modest performer who has shown steady progress in three starts, finishing a clear second over this trip last time. The yard has a solid 20% strike rate at Roscommon from a big sample but the jockey is operating at only 5% here. Trip looks suitable though the going remains an unknown with so few runs behind her.
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19Daily Wonder39/100
Daily Wonder is a debutant with no racecourse experience to go on. The trainer has a modest 4% strike rate from 204 runs at Roscommon and the 7lb claimer has had too few rides at the track to form any reliable view. Pedigree and sales background will have to carry the assessment here given the low data confidence.
KTB verdict
Almazann stands out at the head of the KTB Fit ratings thanks to consistent placed form, including a second over course and distance last time. The 3-year-old's experience from a wide draw, allied to the Weld/Hayes record at the track, makes this the selection in a race where an uncontested leader could prove hard to peg back. Main dangers include I Hope You Dance, who has solid placed efforts at the trip and the benefit of stall one, and the Joseph Patrick O'Brien-trained Metallic who represents a yard in strong local form despite limited racecourse evidence.
KTB Selection Almazann
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 31 Aug. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Almazann | 15/8 | BetTom |
| Nugentstown Sue | 100/1 | BetTom |
| I Hope You Dance | 11/2 | Bet365 |
| Metallic | 18/1 | Bet365 |
| Gentle Soda | 66/1 | BetTom |
| Plug In Hybrid | 11/1 | Bet365 |
| Nothingbutadream | 100/1 | BetTom |
| Nemorino | 33/1 | BetTom |
| Shambata | 20/1 | William Hill |
| Cosmetic | 3/1 | Bet365 |
| Miss Romagna | 11/1 | BetMGM |
| Four Ball | 40/1 | Bet365 |
| Purple Bandit | 12/1 | Bet365 |
| Michinaga | 80/1 | BresBet |
| Shemiyka | 20/1 | BetMGM |
| Coolnagrattan | 50/1 | BetTom |
| Kigalienne | 20/1 | Bet365 |
| Mawhibah | 9/1 | BresBet |
| Daily Wonder | 66/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 6:55 Roscommon. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Roscommon racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Roscommon results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Why is Almazann the KTB Selection?
Placed twice in three starts and showed fair form when second over this trip last time. Has already been placed over course and distance which is a plus from a wide draw.
How does the pace shape influence the race?
Lone leader with high confidence means one clear front-runner with little to pressure it, likely an uncontested lead that can be hard for closers to peg back.
What is the main unknown for I Hope You Dance?
The going remains an unknown with so few runs on the board.
Which horses are stepping up markedly in trip?
Plug In Hybrid, Gentle Soda and Shambata are all stepping up markedly in trip today.
What does the trainer and jockey data say about Roscommon for the top two in the market?
D K Weld and Chris Hayes both have established records at Roscommon though neither figure stands out.
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