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Trainer profile

A Oliver

3,497 runners in the lifetime window · 553 individual horses
As at 30 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Non-runners: 8.8% of 272 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 30 Oct 2026.
Won yesterday Last runner yesterday 96% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
311–3,497
Wins / Runs
8.9%
Strike rate
n=3,497
866 (25%)
Placed
1.13
Fair A/E
n=3,492 · 0.90 incl. margin
−564.99
£1 level stake
n=3,497 at SP · −16.2%
£4.73m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
8.6%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 180 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.13).

Deterministic profile computed from 3,497 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 30 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Feb 28.9% when favourite Chris Hayes: 8% from 767 Sends off the favourite in 7% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Downpatrick (25.8%, n=31) and Sligo (16.3%, n=86) — all clear of the yard's 8.9% baseline. It is weakest at Bellewstown (0% over 35 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 2.2% (n=45, Fair A/E 0.41). The market has consistently overbet a horse in first-time headgear: 4.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.61 and −124.67 to a £1 stake over 233 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Chris Hayes rides 22% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8%, A/E 0.96). 9 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. 'Nasrullah' Handicap at Navan (Jul 2015, £60,000). The stable star of the record: Jazz Girl (IRE) — 8 wins from 39 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.1%−1.8
n=436 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −129.02
New recruits · first run for the yard
2.2%−6.7
n=45 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −4.00
Debutants · first career start
4.8%−4.1
n=497 · A/E 1.25 · £1 −21.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
4.3%−4.6
n=233 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −124.67
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
9.3%+0.4
n=75 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −19.00
When favourite
28.9%
n=235 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −33.23
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8%−0.9
n=536 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −147.88
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
5.8%−3.1
n=156 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −73.17

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Downpatrick 25.8% vs 8.9% · n=31
With C&D winners 18.6% vs 8.9% · n=194
On last-time-out winners 16.7% vs 8.9% · n=257
With W J Lee 14.5% vs 8.9% · n=421
At Sligo 16.3% vs 8.9% · n=86
At Bellewstown 0% vs 8.9% · n=35
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 3,347 298 8.9% −531.49
Hurdle 99 9 9.1% −17.50
NH Flat 48 4 8.3% −13.00
Chase 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 910 67 7.4% −264.80
Good 798 68 8.5% +50.22
Standard (AW) 779 94 12.1% −100.48
Good to Firm 416 37 8.9% −82.73
Heavy 299 22 7.4% −32.62
Good to Soft 283 23 8.1% −122.58
Firm 12 0 0% −12.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 769 94 12.2% −90.48
Curragh 505 24 4.8% −68.12
Leopardstown 321 19 5.9% −166.09
Navan 315 24 7.6% +46.08
Gowran Park 203 13 6.4% −97.87
Naas 200 21 10.5% +62.07
Down Royal 179 17 9.5% −75.76
Fairyhouse 151 15 9.9% −22.56
Roscommon 124 12 9.7% −74.25
Galway 122 9 7.4% −29.50
Cork 101 9 8.9% −24.60
Sligo 86 14 16.3% +27.22
Limerick 70 5 7.1% −40.00
Tipperary 53 4 7.5% −1.50
Killarney 53 7 13.2% +10.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 157 9 5.7% −74.17
Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 5 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 290 82 28.3% 1.14 −21.53
2nd–3rd fav 555 112 20.2% 1.40 +63.54
4th–6th fav 1,014 69 6.8% 0.97 −253.00
7th+ in betting 1,638 48 2.9% 0.93 −354.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
The Highway Rat (IRE) 42 7 18 15 Oct 26
Jazz Girl (IRE) 39 8 13 27 Jun 14
Above The Law (IRE) 27 5 6 19 Sep 14
Elusive Award (USA)then T J O'Mara 27 2 10 30 Oct 11
I'll Be Your Clown (IRE)then Dan Skelton 25 3 7 17 Aug 16
Shipyard (USA)then Michael Appleby 25 2 12 26 Jun 15
Apercu (IRE) 24 5 10 11 Oct 26
Semblance Of Order (IRE) 24 3 8 1 May 25
Pin Your Hopes (IRE) 22 2 9 16 Oct 21
Anam Chara (IRE) 22 3 11 10 Dec 10
Time And Money (IRE) 21 3 7 8 Oct 21
Panama Hat (GB) 20 7 12 26 Jul 17
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 553 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 12 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive; 57 had their first archived run for this yard.

24 have since run for another yard, most often for Dan Skelton (3) and Patrick Martin (2); 36 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady
2 from 21 9.5% · +0.6pts vs baseline
Last 14 days9.5%
Lifetime base8.9%
Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1216769109899810
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderChris Hayes
22% of all rides
8% SR · A/E 0.96
RiderRWSR£1
Chris Hayes 767 61 8% −251.82
W J Lee 421 61 14.5% +141.02
G. F. Carroll 323 27 8.4% −83.13
Conor Hoban 184 17 9.2% −5.57
R. P. Whelan 176 15 8.5% −66.70
Shane Foley 138 11 8% −85.77
Ben Coen 135 8 5.9% −83.00
Fran Berry 77 9 11.7% +34.00
Ben Curtis 76 11 14.5% −6.50
Leigh Roche 71 4 5.6% −19.00
Declan McDonogh 71 7 9.9% −6.55
W. M. Lordan 63 4 6.3% +19.33
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
326
Archived wins
9
Pattern / graded wins
£4.95m
Prize money
2012
Best season · 30 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
I'll Be Your Clown (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. 'Nasrullah' Handicap (Premier Handicap) Navan · Jul 2015
£60,000
First Cornerstone (IRE) — Galileo European Breeders Fund Futurity Stakes (Group 2) Curragh · Aug 2012 · Group 2
£57,150
Punch Your Weight (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Irish Cambridgeshire (Premier Handicap) Curragh · Aug 2012
£57,000
Notable horses
Jazz Girl (IRE) The Highway Rat (IRE) Panama Hat (GB) Above The Law (IRE) Apercu (IRE) Flowers Of Spring (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Lawman (FR) 10.4% · 7–67
Progeny have won 8.9% of 9,424 runs since 2008 (730 horses).
Dandy Man (IRE) 11.9% · 7–59
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,955 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE) 7.3% · 4–55
Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,566 runs since 2008 (872 horses).
Iffraaj (GB) 9.4% · 5–53
Progeny have won 10.5% of 13,977 runs since 2008 (1,092 horses).
Pivotal (GB) 17.3% · 9–52
Progeny have won 13.6% of 12,788 runs since 2008 (1,019 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.4% from 108.
Oasis Dream (GB) 8.7% · 4–46
Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,024 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 483. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 790.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 30 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,826 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,826 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 23 January 2005 to 29 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Celestial Siren (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll Premiere Weekend Two-Day Ticket Just €35 Maiden7f · Yielding · 11 ran 1st 5/1
29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Cash Me (IRE)J: Andrew Slattery Punchestown Premiere Weekend Sat 21 & Sun 22 November Handicap8f · Yielding · 14 ran 3rd 40/1
28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Enchanted Lady (GB)J: G. F. Carroll Happy Halloween Handicap12f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 100/30
28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Copper Craft (IRE)J: Robert Whearty Happy Halloween Handicap12f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 5/1
28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Westminster Waltz (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll Irish Stallion Farms EBF Auction Maiden6f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 28/1
28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Pocket Jacks (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div I)7f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 6/1
28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Shadowbelle (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Irishinjuredjockeys.com Fillies Maiden7f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 25/1
28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) King Of Eze (GB)J: Nathan Crosse Dundalk Stadium Optional Claiming Race8f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 12/1
23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Steel Cut (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll Des Byrne Memorial Maiden10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 10/1
23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Heriot's Hope (GB)J: W. J. Lee Des Byrne Memorial Maiden10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 25/1
23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Gonna Be Golden (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Braham Electrical Handicap6f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 11/2
23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Big Jake (IRE)J: Sadhbh Tormey Halloween Mid-Term Racing Next Week Apprentice Handicap7f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 11/1
21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Celestial Siren (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll Kilberry Fillies Maiden7f · Yielding · 13 ran 5th 6/1
21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Oracle Of Delphi (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Kilberry Fillies Maiden7f · Yielding · 13 ran 3rd 66/1
20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Killyclogher Rose (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Always Gambling Responsibly With 1xBet.ie Handicap8f · Yielding · 23 ran 10th 40/1
19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) No More Hiding (GB)J: Nathan Crosse Racing Again November 7th Handicap12f · Soft · 14 ran 2nd 12/1
19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Dandymaria (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll Dine At Gowran Park Handicap7f · Yielding · 13 ran 10th 25/1
19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Pocket Jacks (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Dine At Gowran Park Handicap7f · Yielding · 13 ran 6th 9/1
18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Youcansaythatagain (IRE)J: Andrew Slattery Bahrain Turf Club October Handicap11.5f · Good · 15 ran 6th 22/1
18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Faro Island (GB)J: W. M. Lordan Christmas Festival Tickets On Sale Now Handicap10f · Good · 15 ran 13th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 11 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 0, 2 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 3 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 1, 1 did not run) · to 29 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is A Oliver's strike rate?
A Oliver has won 311 of 3,497 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.9% (as at 30 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does A Oliver do best at?
Sligo by strike rate: 14 wins from 86 runners (16.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for A Oliver?
Chris Hayes, with 767 runners since 2008 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 61 (8%).
Is A Oliver in form?
In the last 14 days: 21 runners, 2 winners, a strike rate of 9.5%. That is in line with the baseline of 8.9% since 2008.
What is A Oliver's Fair A/E?
1.13, from 3,492 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 30 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).