What is Alison Thorpe's strike rate?

Alison Thorpe has won 104 of 1,074 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.7% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Alison Thorpe do best at?

Newton Abbot by strike rate: 15 wins from 82 runners (18.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Alison Thorpe?

Richard Johnson, with 149 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 31 (20.8%).

What is Alison Thorpe's Fair A/E?

0.94, from 1,072 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Alison Thorpe

1,074 runners in the lifetime window · 161 individual horses

As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 355 days ago 93% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

104–1,074

Wins / Runs

9.7%

Strike rate

n=1,074

317 (30%)

Placed

0.94

Fair A/E

n=1,072 · 0.80 incl. margin

−217.70

£1 level stake

n=1,074 at SP · −20.3%

£709k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

3.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,074 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 27 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Sep 32.1% when favourite Richard Johnson: 20.8% from 149 Sends off the favourite in 10% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Newton Abbot (18.3%, n=82), clear of the yard's 9.7% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.4% (n=174, Fair A/E 0.54). Richard Johnson rides 14% of the entries and beats the yard's average (20.8% vs 9.7%, A/E 1.33) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Heavy going (19.6%, n=56) and on Good to Firm going (16.5%, n=218). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 0% over 31 runners, 9.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 61-180-day break: Fair A/E 0.15 across 96 runners (1% strike, −90.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Dishdasha (IRE) — 9 wins from 56 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3.4%−6.3

n=174 · A/E 0.54 · £1 +2.67

New recruits · first run for the yard

4.5%−5.2

n=110 · A/E 0.58 · £1 +53.17

Debutants · first career start

8.8%−0.9

n=34 · A/E 1.61 · £1 +3.25

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.3%−5.4

n=47 · A/E 0.55 · £1 −36.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

10.8%+1.1

n=37 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +95.50

When favourite

32.1%

n=112 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −16.20

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9.2%−0.5

n=425 · A/E 1.06 · £1 +26.60

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−9.7

n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Richard Johnson 20.8% vs 9.7% · n=149

On Heavy going 19.6% vs 9.7% · n=56

Off a 61-180-day break 1% vs 9.7% · n=96

At Newton Abbot 18.3% vs 9.7% · n=82

On Good to Firm going 16.5% vs 9.7% · n=218

In Class 1 0% vs 9.7% · n=31

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 801 79 9.9% −192.22

Chase 157 19 12.1% +60.44

Flat 75 3 4% −63.67

NH Flat 41 3 7.3% −22.25

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 405 35 8.6% −64.74

Good to Firm 218 36 16.5% −13.37

Good to Soft 196 11 5.6% −112.08

Soft 151 9 6% −88.34

Heavy 56 11 19.6% +101.50

Standard (AW) 43 2 4.7% −35.67

Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ffos Las 103 6 5.8% +97.38

Newton Abbot 82 15 18.3% +13.57

Uttoxeter 73 6 8.2% −25.00

Hereford 63 5 7.9% +9.62

Worcester 62 6 9.7% −5.13

Fontwell 60 8 13.3% −23.13

Stratford 53 9 17% −1.75

Ludlow 47 5 10.6% −18.25

Exeter 40 2 5% −30.83

Chepstow 40 3 7.5% −23.75

Plumpton 36 3 8.3% −25.34

Taunton 31 2 6.5% −10.00

Bangor-on-Dee 30 4 13.3% −3.00

Market Rasen 28 4 14.3% +19.17

Southwell 24 2 8.3% −19.92

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 455 44 9.7% −61.54

Class 5 299 36 12% +6.01

Class 3 173 16 9.2% −76.25

Class 6 66 5 7.6% −38.92

Class 2 49 3 6.1% −15.00

Class 1 31 0 0% −31.00

Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 132 37 28% 0.98 −32.20

2nd–3rd fav 227 34 15% 0.94 −39.50

4th–6th fav 339 25 7.4% 0.99 −76.00

7th+ in betting 376 8 2.1% 0.68 −70.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

84.8% completed · 958 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 157 76.4% 9 1 27 0 0

Hurdle 801 86.4% 15 14 78 0 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Dishdasha (IRE)from Conor Dore 39 6 15 10 Oct 10

Pearl (IRE)from Ian Wood · then Ron Hodges 33 2 10 31 Jan 12

Ellerslie Tom (GB)from Peter Bowen 27 2 7 10 Jul 11

Rampant Ronnie (USA)from Paul D'Arcy · then Nikki Evans 25 4 12 21 May 12

Treaty Flyer (IRE)from Pat Murphy 23 8 12 30 Jun 10

Nortonthorpe Lad (IRE)from Michael Easterby 21 3 11 2 Mar 11

Jim Bobs Girl (IRE)from W Jenks 21 4 13 28 Nov 09

Special Cuvee (GB)from Andrew Haynes 19 0 3 2 Jun 11

Tabaran (FR)from Luke Dace 19 5 12 23 Jun 10

Final Flyer (IRE)then Nikki Evans 17 1 5 6 Oct 11

Diktalina (GB)from William Muir 17 2 6 17 Jul 11

Runaround Sue (IRE)from T F Lacy 16 3 6 21 Jun 09

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 161 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 48 arrived from another yard in our archive; 12 had their first archived run for this yard.

30 have since run for another yard, most often for Barry John Murphy (2) and John & Rhys Flint (2); 30 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

5119101410161211932

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRichard Johnson

14% of all rides
20.8% SR · A/E 1.33

RiderRWSR£1

Richard Johnson 149 31 20.8% +36.25

Oliver Dayman 123 16 13% +5.60

Johnny Farrelly 93 7 7.5% −35.91

Charlie Poste 81 7 8.6% −50.13

Daryl Jacob 70 7 10% −29.58

Mr P J Tolman 43 2 4.7% −7.00

Christian Williams 37 3 8.1% +7.62

Seamus Durack 30 2 6.7% +3.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

159

Archived wins

£1.09m

Prize money

2009

Best season · 32 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Treaty Flyer (IRE) — Blue Square Prelude Handicap Hurdle Market Rasen · Sep 2009 · Class 2

£25,048

Rushneeyriver (IRE) — Totepool Summer Festival Handicap Hurdle Newton Abbot · Aug 2006 · Class 2

£24,892

Treaty Flyer (IRE) — rippleffect.com Handicap Hurdle Bangor-on-Dee · Sep 2009 · Class 2

£13,010

Notable horses

Dishdasha (IRE) Treaty Flyer (IRE) Il Penseroso (IRE) Tabaran (FR) Maidstone Monument (IRE) Rampant Ronnie (USA)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Diktat (GB) 4.3% · 2–46

Progeny have won 8.2% of 4,931 runs since 2008 (337 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.4% from 431. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.1% from 156.

King's Best (USA) 9.3% · 4–43

Progeny have won 9.9% of 7,763 runs since 2008 (574 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.8% from 249.

Desert Prince (IRE) 15.4% · 6–39

Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,734 runs since 2008 (178 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.6% from 425.

Beneficial (GB) 11.4% · 4–35

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,044 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Daylami (IRE) 6.1% · 2–33

Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,508 runs since 2008 (253 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 109.

Exit To Nowhere (USA) 3.3% · 1–30

Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,787 runs since 2008 (290 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 155.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 27 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,480 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,480 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 6 November 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

06 Nov 25 Sedgefield Yanka Blue (IRE)J: Derek Fox Canine Premier Flex Plus Joint Supplement Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 12/1

03 Nov 25 Hereford I Am Spider Man (IRE)J: Jack Tudor Join The 2026 Hereford Racing Club Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 25.5f · Good · 7 ran 7th 125/1

28 Oct 25 Ffos Las Clondaw Fame (IRE)J: James Bowen Country Land And Business Association Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 13 ran 5th 9/2

28 Oct 25 Ffos Las Peace Motivator (GB)J: Callum Pritchard DragonBet Supporting British Racing Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 4 · 20f · Soft · 12 ran PU 400/1

23 Oct 25 Fontwell Yanka Blue (IRE)J: Ben Jones BetGoodwin Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 16/1

20 Oct 25 Bath Bobby Dassler (IRE)J: Elizabeth Gale CB Protection Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Heavy · 10 ran 1st 3/1

16 Oct 25 Ffos Las Chillhi (IRE)J: Callum Pritchard Bear Hotel Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Good · 6 ran 5th 12/1

16 Oct 25 Ffos Las Silent Revolution (IRE)J: James Bowen Faucets Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 7th 33/1

16 Oct 25 Ffos Las Peace Motivator (GB)J: Callum Pritchard Sigma 3 Kitchens & Bedrooms Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran F 80/1

16 Oct 25 Ffos Las Clondaw Fame (IRE)J: James Bowen Sigma 3 Kitchens & Bedrooms Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 14/1

11 Oct 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Chillhi (IRE)J: Dougie Costello Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 HandicapClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 6 ran 6th 22/1

11 Oct 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Bobby Dassler (IRE)J: Dougie Costello Stay At The Wolverhampton Holiday Inn HandicapClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 16/1

30 Sep 25 Bath Bobby Dassler (IRE)J: Dougie Costello BetWright Bangers N'Cash HandicapClass 6 · 13f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 11th 11/1

29 Sep 25 Newton Abbot Peace Motivator (GB)J: Ellis Collier Le Dorney Villas Cornwall Walking Holidays Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 12 ran UR 150/1

29 Sep 25 Newton Abbot Silent Revolution (IRE)J: Lewis Saunders Le Dorney Villas Cornwall Golf Holidays Conditional Jockeys' Selling Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 9 ran PU 28/1

29 Sep 25 Newton Abbot Byzantine Empire (GB)J: Ellis Collier Le Dorney Villas Cornwall Golf Holidays Conditional Jockeys' Selling Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 9 ran PU 20/1

23 Sep 25 Warwick Jack's Jury (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Molson Coors Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 26f · Good · 7 ran 6th 11/4F

23 Sep 25 Warwick Peace Motivator (GB)J: Robert Dunne PricedUp Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran UR 33/1

23 Sep 25 Warwick Byzantine Empire (GB)J: Shane Fenelon PricedUp The Jumps' Conditional Jockeys' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 9th 15/2

14 Sep 25 Bath Bobby Dassler (IRE)J: Elizabeth Gale BetWright Bet The Wright Way Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 3rd 5/4F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Alison Thorpe's strike rate?: Alison Thorpe has won 104 of 1,074 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.7% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Alison Thorpe do best at?: Newton Abbot by strike rate: 15 wins from 82 runners (18.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Alison Thorpe?: Richard Johnson, with 149 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 31 (20.8%).
What is Alison Thorpe's Fair A/E?: 0.94, from 1,072 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.