What is Colin Tizzard's strike rate?

Colin Tizzard has won 686 of 5,376 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Colin Tizzard do best at?

Uttoxeter by strike rate: 22 wins from 129 runners (17.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Colin Tizzard?

Joe Tizzard, with 1,246 runners since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 133 (10.7%).

What is Colin Tizzard's Fair A/E?

1.01, from 5,371 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Colin Tizzard

5,376 runners in the lifetime window · 409 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Apr 2022 99% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

686–5,376

Wins / Runs

12.8%

Strike rate

n=5,376

1,696 (32%)

Placed

1.01

Fair A/E

n=5,371 · 0.87 incl. margin

−1,223.91

£1 level stake

n=5,376 at SP · −22.8%

£14.4m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

15.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 280 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 13% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.01). New recruits from other yards win at 20% first time out (102 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 5,376 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 34.8% when favourite Joe Tizzard: 10.7% from 1,246 New recruits: 19.6% Sends off the favourite in 11% of races

The read

It is weakest at Worcester (5.2% over 97 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 19.6% (n=102, Fair A/E 1.72), but a horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 8.1% (n=135, Fair A/E 0.74). Joe Tizzard rides 23% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (10.7% vs 12.8%, A/E 0.91). The record reads poorly in NH Flat races — 6.7% over 418 runners, 6.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Class 6: Fair A/E 0.69 across 204 runners (7.4% strike, −92.25 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 93 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Timico Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2018, £369,822). The stable star of the record: Cue Card (GB) — 16 wins from 41 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

12.5%−0.3

n=1,140 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −185.37

New recruits · first run for the yard

19.6%+6.8

n=102 · A/E 1.72 · £1 +73.70

Debutants · first career start

9.5%−3.3

n=275 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −128.05

First-time headgear · true-first definition

14.1%+1.3

n=227 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −51.46

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8.1%−4.7

n=135 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −67.83

When favourite

34.8%

n=612 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −58.45

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

11.8%−1.0

n=790 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −171.37

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

13.8%+1.0

n=667 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −7.23

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 19% vs 12.8% · n=683

In NH Flat races 6.7% vs 12.8% · n=418

At Worcester 5.2% vs 12.8% · n=97

With new recruits 19.6% vs 12.8% · n=102

In Class 6 7.4% vs 12.8% · n=204

With C&D winners 17.2% vs 12.8% · n=540

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Chase 2,692 383 14.2% −375.71

Hurdle 2,226 272 12.2% −633.49

NH Flat 418 28 6.7% −184.66

Flat 40 3 7.5% −30.05

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,598 192 12% −224.79

Soft 1,473 180 12.2% −434.43

Good to Soft 1,304 164 12.6% −331.28

Heavy 650 101 15.5% −161.02

Good to Firm 314 45 14.3% −69.72

Standard (AW) 24 3 12.5% +7.95

Firm 13 1 7.7% −10.62

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wincanton 697 96 13.8% −100.70

Exeter 481 66 13.7% −184.27

Cheltenham 473 42 8.9% −117.09

Chepstow 443 53 12% −158.62

Newton Abbot 410 57 13.9% −65.51

Taunton 354 41 11.6% −111.01

Newbury 290 36 12.4% −78.82

Fontwell 285 46 16.1% −75.68

Plumpton 193 31 16.1% −38.64

Kempton 175 25 14.3% +9.74

Ascot 163 18 11% −46.75

Aintree 152 19 12.5% +58.32

Sandown 147 17 11.6% −60.95

Uttoxeter 129 22 17.1% +44.71

Warwick 117 12 10.3% −18.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 1,909 261 13.7% −485.72

Class 3 1,247 167 13.4% −333.29

Class 1 791 105 13.3% +70.87

Class 5 639 75 11.7% −159.27

Class 2 581 63 10.8% −219.25

Class 6 204 15 7.4% −92.25

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 739 237 32.1% 1.04 −95.20

2nd–3rd fav 1,487 262 17.6% 1.01 −241.21

4th–6th fav 1,748 137 7.8% 0.96 −485.00

7th+ in betting 1,402 50 3.6% 0.98 −402.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 1,669 230 13.8% −435.01

2m5f – 3m 1,640 188 11.5% −413.91

1m5f – 2m 1,312 169 12.9% −264.21

Over 3m 714 98 13.7% −73.78

1m2f – 1m4f 22 0 0% −22.00

1m – 1m1f 13 0 0% −13.00

6f – 7f 6 1 16.7% −2.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 240 21 8.8% −61.67

2009 253 26 10.3% −37.74

2010 285 36 12.6% −58.65

2011 328 50 15.2% +1.82

2012 303 38 12.5% −66.00

2013 333 37 11.1% −103.70

2014 272 25 9.2% −93.81

2015 295 43 14.6% −52.77

2016 396 68 17.2% +20.01

2017 474 64 13.5% −135.73

2018 606 88 14.5% −72.55

2019 544 69 12.7% −200.16

2020 385 46 11.9% −134.97

2021 459 44 9.6% −171.08

2022 203 31 15.3% −56.91

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 3,290 397 12.1% −637.58

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 1,574 174 11.1% −380.93

5-7 runners 1,286 225 17.5% −308.60

11-13 runners 1,159 116 10% −341.66

14-16 runners 735 65 8.8% −240.47

17+ runners 375 21 5.6% −3.25

2-4 runners 247 85 34.4% +51.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

83.1% completed · 4,918 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 2,692 77.8% 124 47 417 4 6

Hurdle 2,226 89.6% 38 18 169 2 4

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Theatrical Star (GB) 55 6 19 27 May 18

Quite By Chance (GB)then S J Sampson 53 5 22 5 Mar 20

Third Intention (IRE)from K J Condon 51 7 18 6 Jan 18

Theatre Guide (IRE) 50 7 21 2 Jan 21

West Approach (GB)then Joe Tizzard 49 6 16 13 Apr 22

Golden Chieftain (IRE) 43 9 15 16 Apr 16

Hey Big Spender (IRE) 43 10 17 11 Mar 15

Classic Clover (GB) 43 6 11 21 Apr 11

Wizards Bridge (GB)then Callum Bickers-Price 42 8 15 3 Apr 19

Ultragold (FR)from G Chaignon 41 6 12 8 Sep 20

Gentleman Jon (GB)from Jo Hughes 41 6 11 28 Aug 19

Cue Card (GB) 41 16 26 15 Mar 18

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 409 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 26 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 13 arrived from another yard in our archive; 47 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for Joe Tizzard (8); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

11151112121571613131710

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJoe Tizzard

23% of all rides
10.7% SR · A/E 0.91

RiderRWSR£1

Joe Tizzard 1,246 133 10.7% −394.42

Brendan Powell 781 102 13.1% −78.18

Harry Cobden 630 103 16.3% +45.42

Robbie Power 369 62 16.8% −83.35

Tom Scudamore 330 48 14.5% −81.58

Tom O'Brien 271 31 11.4% −99.13

Jonjo O'Neill Jr 188 23 12.2% −34.10

Aidan Coleman 168 22 13.1% −23.90

Paddy Brennan 161 28 17.4% +13.25

Paul O'Brien 147 13 8.8% −84.41

Harry Kimber 124 10 8.1% −53.25

Daryl Jacob 117 14 12% −44.76

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

753

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£15.0m

Prize money

2018

Best season · 88 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Native River (IRE) — Timico Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2018 · Grade 1

£369,822

Thistlecrack (GB) — Ryanair World Hurdle (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2016 · Grade 1

£170,850

Cue Card (GB) — Ryanair Chase (Registered As The Festival Trophy Chase) (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2013 · Class 1

£156,613

Notable horses

Cue Card (GB) Native River (IRE) Thistlecrack (GB) Hey Big Spender (IRE) Golden Chieftain (IRE) Joe Lively (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

King's Theatre (IRE) 16.1% · 88–545

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Flemensfirth (USA) 11.4% · 39–343

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,288 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Kayf Tara (GB) 14.9% · 36–242

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,756 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Presenting (GB) 9% · 15–167

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Westerner (GB) 15.1% · 21–139

Progeny have won 12.2% of 11,858 runs since 2009 (945 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.

Midnight Legend (GB) 12.3% · 17–138

Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,311 runs since 2008 (494 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 5,924 · newest first

The latest 50 of 5,924 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 22 April 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

22 Apr 22 Chepstow Reserve Tank (IRE)J: Tom Scudamore Sun Trade Windows Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 13/2

22 Apr 22 Chepstow L'air Du Vent (FR)J: Harry Cobden Dunraven Windows Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 19.5f · Good · 5 ran PU 10/3

20 Apr 22 Ludlow I Shut That D'or (FR)J: Sam Twiston-Davies Sunday Racing Here On 8th May Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 4th 4/1

20 Apr 22 Ludlow Salcombe (GB)J: Tom Cannon Suzuki ATV Mares' Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21f · Good · 13 ran 10th 14/1

19 Apr 22 Worcester Earth Business (IRE)J: Sam Twiston-Davies At The Races App Form Study Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 9/4

19 Apr 22 Worcester Sherborne (IRE)J: Brendan Powell Royal Equestrian Bedding Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran UR 15/2

19 Apr 22 Worcester Princess Midnight (GB)J: Brendan Powell Download The At The Races App Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 11/1

19 Apr 22 Epsom Downs Mascat (GB)J: Rob Hornby Great Metropolitan HandicapClass 3 · 12f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 28/1

18 Apr 22 Chepstow Belgarum (IRE)J: Tom O'Brien Happy Retirement Dan Fortt Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 6th 17/2

18 Apr 22 Plumpton Shirocco's Dream (IRE)J: Brendan Powell Racing At Plumpton & The Jolly Sportsman Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 4/1

18 Apr 22 Chepstow Furkash (FR)J: Jonjo O'Neill Jr Capital Windscreens 08000 0269126 Replacement Service Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good · 6 ran 5th 13/2

18 Apr 22 Huntingdon Faustinovick (GB)J: Harry Kimber Every Race Live On Racing TV Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 4 ran 4th 3/1

17 Apr 22 Plumpton Bourbali (FR)J: Brendan Powell William Hill Extra Places Every Day Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20.5f · Good · 4 ran 1st 2/1F

16 Apr 22 Haydock Christmas In April (FR)J: Jonjo O'Neill Jr Rising Sun Veterans' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 25.5f · Good · 9 ran PU 11/1

16 Apr 22 Newton Abbot Kalyptra (FR)J: Brendan Powell Good Luck Stuart And Thank You Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 11 ran 10th 5/1

16 Apr 22 Newton Abbot Lanspark (IRE)J: Brendan Powell NewtonAbbotRace On Twitter Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 26.5f · Good · 5 ran 5th 5/2

14 Apr 22 Exeter Spider Bill (GB)J: Harry Kimber Cricket Inn Beesands Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good · 13 ran 11th 22/1

14 Apr 22 Exeter Bertie Wooster (IRE)J: Brendan Powell Cricket Inn Beesands Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good · 13 ran 9th 7/2

14 Apr 22 Exeter Kauto The King (FR)J: Brendan Powell Heavitree Brewery Plc Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 19f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 15/2

14 Apr 22 Exeter Per Vino Veritas (GB)J: Brendan Powell Sandygate Inn Kingsteignton Newton Abbot Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 14 ran 14th 11/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Colin Tizzard's strike rate?: Colin Tizzard has won 686 of 5,376 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Colin Tizzard do best at?: Uttoxeter by strike rate: 22 wins from 129 runners (17.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Colin Tizzard?: Joe Tizzard, with 1,246 runners since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 133 (10.7%).
What is Colin Tizzard's Fair A/E?: 1.01, from 5,371 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.