What is D K Weld's strike rate?

D K Weld has won 1,192 of 7,914 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 15.1% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does D K Weld do best at?

Killarney by strike rate: 55 wins from 236 runners (23.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for D K Weld?

Pat Smullen, with 3,517 runners since 2008 — 44% of the total. That pairing has won 646 (18.4%).

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is D K Weld's Fair A/E?

1.02, from 7,902 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

D K Weld

7,914 runners in the lifetime window · 1,308 individual horses

As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 13.9% of 244 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 2 Nov 2026.

Last runner yesterday 93% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

1,192–7,914

Wins / Runs

15.1%

Strike rate

n=7,914

2,866 (36%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=7,902 · 0.82 incl. margin

−2,177.07

£1 level stake

n=7,914 at SP · −27.5%

£37.1m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 420 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 15% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.02). In Group and Graded company the record reads 18% (1,305 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 7,914 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 2 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Apr–May Fresh horses: 15.6% 36.1% when favourite Pat Smullen: 18.4% from 3,517 Group/Graded: 18% Sends off the favourite in 18% of races

The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 10.6% (n=950, Fair A/E 1.08). Pat Smullen rides 44% of the entries and edges the yard's average (18.4% vs 15.1%, A/E 1.05) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in NH Flat races (36.3%, n=102). 250 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Investec Derby at Epsom Downs (Jun 2016, £876,170). The stable star of the record: Famous Name (GB) — 21 wins from 36 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 15.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

15.6%+0.5

n=1,832 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −500.49

New recruits · first run for the yard

13.6%−1.5

n=44 · A/E 1.17 · £1 +8.50

Debutants · first career start

11.7%−3.4

n=1,211 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −398.63

First-time headgear · true-first definition

12.6%−2.5

n=715 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −200.87

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

12.4%−2.7

n=283 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −51.72

When favourite

36.1%

n=1,450 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −224.04

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10.6%−4.5

n=950 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −293.96

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

18%+2.9

n=1,305 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −268.80

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 15.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Robbie McNamara 36% vs 15.1% · n=172

In NH Flat races 36.3% vs 15.1% · n=102

With Shane Gorey 2.8% vs 15.1% · n=176

With P Shanahan 2.9% vs 15.1% · n=104

With Mr Finian Maguire 28.3% vs 15.1% · n=53

With Derek McCormack 2.2% vs 15.1% · n=45

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 7,388 1080 14.6% −2,086.23

Hurdle 352 64 18.2% −119.03

NH Flat 102 37 36.3% +32.05

Chase 72 11 15.3% −3.86

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 2,372 364 15.3% −736.50

Good 2,083 307 14.7% −515.05

Heavy 1,069 175 16.4% −279.41

Good to Firm 968 152 15.7% −260.58

Standard (AW) 704 84 11.9% −190.53

Good to Soft 684 105 15.4% −179.48

Firm 34 5 14.7% −15.52

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Curragh 1,282 131 10.2% −447.08

Leopardstown 1,183 211 17.8% −98.26

Dundalk 692 81 11.7% −191.28

Gowran Park 624 99 15.9% −194.21

Naas 598 71 11.9% −246.10

Galway 570 125 21.9% −77.14

Cork 428 72 16.8% −100.21

Navan 402 48 11.9% −182.13

Fairyhouse 255 32 12.5% −114.19

Tipperary 254 38 15% −84.12

Killarney 236 55 23.3% −18.42

Roscommon 197 26 13.2% −69.32

Listowel 189 38 20.1% −46.97

Limerick 168 32 19% −53.92

Down Royal 111 13 11.7% −47.71

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 1,321 236 17.9% −267.80

Class 2 39 2 5.1% −25.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 1,631 565 34.6% 1.07 −237.04

2nd–3rd fav 2,483 428 17.2% 1.06 −395.03

4th–6th fav 2,339 157 6.7% 0.85 −812.00

7th+ in betting 1,461 42 2.9% 0.74 −733.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m – 1m1f 2,405 339 14.1% −813.21

6f – 7f 2,154 267 12.4% −742.53

1m2f – 1m4f 2,047 354 17.3% −436.54

1m5f – 2m 805 168 20.9% −33.21

Under 6f 240 19 7.9% −131.88

2m1f – 2m4f 190 35 18.4% −21.32

2m5f – 3m 67 10 14.9% +7.62

Over 3m 6 0 0% −6.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 545 78 14.3% −164.40

2009 603 84 13.9% −235.18

2010 501 89 17.8% −56.92

2011 499 92 18.4% −69.89

2012 490 77 15.7% −150.53

2013 493 73 14.8% −158.66

2014 484 106 21.9% −62.36

2015 486 88 18.1% −127.58

2016 512 97 18.9% −135.21

2017 362 48 13.3% −105.11

2018 377 59 15.6% −117.94

2019 443 62 14% −127.92

2020 395 42 10.6% −105.49

2021 405 48 11.9% −109.07

2022 324 25 7.7% −173.49

2023 258 37 14.3% −52.34

2024 273 28 10.3% −108.86

2025 270 37 13.7% −27.25

2026 194 22 11.3% −88.87

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 2,351 201 8.5% −860.18

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 1,835 337 18.4% −345.32

11-13 runners 1,790 244 13.6% −466.37

14-16 runners 1,776 173 9.7% −775.53

17+ runners 1,195 117 9.8% −366.00

5-7 runners 1,151 267 23.2% −193.34

2-4 runners 167 54 32.3% −30.51

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Northern Rocked (IRE) 55 4 15 9 Nov 16

Dalton Highway (IRE) 48 7 18 29 Aug 23

Falcon Eight (IRE) 45 8 13 7 Jun 26

Tandem (GB) 39 10 17 23 Aug 20

Hisaabaat (IRE) 38 5 19 21 Aug 15

Prince Erik (GB) 37 5 15 22 Aug 12

Coeur d'Or (IRE) 34 4 13 28 Jun 26

Grappa Nonino (IRE) 33 4 9 5 Sep 25

Famous Name (GB) 33 20 28 27 Oct 12

Stuccodor (IRE)then Sophie Leech 31 6 16 31 Jul 16

Flic Flac (IRE) 31 4 14 23 Jul 14

Rock Critic (IRE) 28 8 11 27 Sep 15

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,308 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 15 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 58 had their first archived run for this yard.

19 have since run for another yard; 41 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 9

Only 9 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

151915191712161714121216

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderPat Smullen

44% of all rides
18.4% SR · A/E 1.05

RiderRWSR£1

Pat Smullen 3,517 646 18.4% −743.27

Chris Hayes 1,198 147 12.3% −416.56

Leigh Roche 622 58 9.3% −212.70

Oisin Orr 529 60 11.3% −225.34

Declan McDonogh 265 48 18.1% −51.86

Colin Keane 205 32 15.6% −63.02

Shane Gorey 176 5 2.8% −134.00

Robbie McNamara 172 62 36% +55.94

P Shanahan 104 3 2.9% −78.00

Andrew Slattery 67 11 16.4% +69.63

Davy Russell 58 5 8.6% −42.45

Mr Finian Maguire 53 15 28.3% +10.42

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,426

Archived wins

250

Pattern / graded wins

£42.9m

Prize money

2014

Best season · 106 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Harzand (IRE) — Investec Derby (Group 1) Epsom Downs · Jun 2016 · Group 1

£876,170

Harzand (IRE) — Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (Group 1) Curragh · Jun 2016 · Group 1

£855,000

Fascinating Rock (IRE) — Qipco Champion Stakes (British Champions Middle Distance) (Group 1) Ascot · Oct 2015 · Group 1

£770,547

Notable horses

Famous Name (GB) Bobs Pride (IRE) Tandem (GB) Majestic Concorde (IRE) Unaccompanied (IRE) Profound Beauty (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Galileo (IRE) 18.8% · 60–320

Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,200 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.4% from 890.

Dansili (GB) 26.7% · 79–296

Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,842 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 12.6% · 30–239

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,854 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.

Dubawi (IRE) 17.4% · 41–236

Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,975 runs since 2009 (1,530 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.

Shamardal (USA) 16.4% · 36–220

Progeny have won 14.8% of 10,413 runs since 2009 (1,008 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.7% from 1,288. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 475.

Oasis Dream (GB) 14.4% · 30–208

Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,026 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 483. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 790.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 9,546 · newest first

The latest 50 of 9,546 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 January 2005 to 1 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Zadawa (FR)J: Chris Hayes QuinnBet Finale Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 12f · Yielding · 12 ran 10th 22/1

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Harana (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Keadeen Hotel Premier Handicap8f · Yielding To Soft · 21 ran 17th 12/1

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Abbotsford (GB)J: Chris Hayes QuinnBet Loughbrown Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 16.5f · Yielding · 11 ran 2nd 11/2

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Hazdann (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Ryans Cleaning Race7f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 2nd 11/1

30 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Passenger (IRE)J: Mr Finian Maguire WTW Willis Flat Race17f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 4th 6/1

29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Sibaza (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Premiere Weekend Two-Day Ticket Just €35 Maiden7f · Yielding · 11 ran 7th 16/1

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Elmakaya (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Kilberry Fillies Maiden7f · Yielding · 13 ran 4th 5/1

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Kashala (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Bill Hanlon Memorial Fillies Maiden12f · Yielding · 7 ran 5th 10/1

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Paul Pierre (IRE)J: Chris Hayes 1xBet.ie Supporting October Racing Irish EBF Maiden6f · Yielding · 13 ran 5th 33/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Fleur De Provence (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Gowran Park Racing Club Fillies Maiden9.5f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 5/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Katiraya (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden (Smullen Series)8.5f · Soft · 15 ran 10th 9/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Tachos (IRE)J: Conor Cusack Watch Every Irish Race Live On Racing TV Handicap7f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 16/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Handani (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Bahrain Turf Club October Handicap11.5f · Good · 15 ran 14th 11/2

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Hazdann (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Trigo Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 5th 8/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Rhapsodic (GB)J: Colin Keane Leopardstown Golf, Padel And Range Maiden9f · Good · 15 ran 6th 6/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Sunatia (FR)J: Chris Hayes Leopardstown Golf, Padel And Range Maiden9f · Good · 15 ran 2nd 5/6F

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Taranga (FR)J: Chris Hayes Irish Stallion Farms EBF Laidlaw Cup Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 13 ran 10th 11/1

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Hamara (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Irish EBF Fillies Maiden (Smullen Series)8.5f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 6/1

16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Emiza (FR)J: Chris Hayes Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden6f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 11/1

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) My First Rose (IRE)J: Paddy Harnett Isuzu Ireland Handicap14f · Yielding To Soft · 21 ran 15th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 6 runs (won 3) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 1) · to 18 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is D K Weld's strike rate?: D K Weld has won 1,192 of 7,914 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 15.1% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does D K Weld do best at?: Killarney by strike rate: 55 wins from 236 runners (23.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for D K Weld?: Pat Smullen, with 3,517 runners since 2008 — 44% of the total. That pairing has won 646 (18.4%).
Is D K Weld in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is D K Weld's Fair A/E?: 1.02, from 7,902 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.