What is David Simcock's strike rate?

David Simcock has won 1,021 of 7,408 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.8% (as at 30 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does David Simcock do best at?

Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 49 wins from 242 runners (20.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for David Simcock?

Jamie Spencer, with 1,167 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 212 (18.2%).

Is David Simcock in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 10 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is David Simcock's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 7,365 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

David Simcock

7,408 runners in the lifetime window · 899 individual horses

As at 30 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 7.2% of 290 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 30 Oct 2026.

Last runner 3 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

1,021–7,408

Wins / Runs

13.8%

Strike rate

n=7,408

2,484 (34%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=7,365 · 0.89 incl. margin

−1,440.21

£1 level stake

n=7,407 at SP · −19.4%

£17.2m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 390 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 14% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03).

Deterministic profile computed from 7,408 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 30 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb 36.2% when favourite Jamie Spencer: 18.2% from 1,167 Sends off the favourite in 13% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Brighton (24.5%, n=155) and Thirsk (25.7%, n=35) — all clear of the yard's 13.8% baseline. It is weakest at Chester (4.5% over 133 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 7.8% (n=129, Fair A/E 0.71). The market has consistently overbet a horse in first-time headgear: 8.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −93.44 to a £1 stake over 261 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Jamie Spencer rides 16% of the entries and edges the yard's average (18.2% vs 13.8%, A/E 1.09) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Firm going (33.9%, n=62). 58 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qatar Sussex Stakes at Goodwood (Aug 2018, £593,392). The stable star of the record: Tiger Crusade (FR) — 10 wins from 58 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

11%−2.8

n=1,348 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −358.65

New recruits · first run for the yard

12.6%−1.2

n=175 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −82.70

Debutants · first career start

8.7%−5.1

n=703 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −182.98

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8.8%−5.0

n=261 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −93.44

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

7.8%−6.0

n=129 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −57.53

When favourite

36.2%

n=936 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −73.44

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

11.5%−2.3

n=1,187 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −195.49

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.6%−5.2

n=671 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −121.94

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Firm going 33.9% vs 13.8% · n=62

At Brighton 24.5% vs 13.8% · n=155

At Chester 4.5% vs 13.8% · n=133

On last-time-out winners 20% vs 13.8% · n=953

With Jim Crowley 21.3% vs 13.8% · n=287

At Thirsk 25.7% vs 13.8% · n=35

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 7,399 1021 13.8% −1,431.21

Hurdle 4 0 0% −4.00

NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Chase 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 3,497 523 15% −619.01

Good to Firm 1,474 199 13.5% −288.25

Good 1,203 131 10.9% −300.56

Good to Soft 548 69 12.6% −120.18

Soft 526 66 12.5% −99.80

Heavy 98 12 12.2% −37.04

Firm 62 21 33.9% +24.63

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 897 105 11.7% −252.15

Wolverhampton (AW) 893 128 14.3% −229.80

Lingfield (AW) 680 113 16.6% −41.08

Chelmsford (AW) 586 98 16.7% −19.23

Yarmouth 369 65 17.6% +59.57

Goodwood 325 33 10.2% −49.44

Newmarket 321 30 9.3% −49.94

Newmarket 276 21 7.6% −145.57

Ascot 272 20 7.4% −57.92

Southwell (AW) 242 49 20.2% −10.83

Doncaster 220 38 17.3% +7.03

Windsor 209 23 11% −59.94

Newcastle (AW) 198 29 14.6% −67.62

Newbury 173 20 11.6% −26.50

Haydock 165 14 8.5% −103.52

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 2,435 371 15.2% −644.57

Class 4 1,439 191 13.3% −303.30

Class 2 1,053 89 8.5% −276.02

Class 6 1,010 191 18.9% −5.04

Class 3 794 120 15.1% −86.59

Class 1 671 58 8.6% −121.94

Class 7 4 1 25% −1.75

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 1,082 376 34.8% 1.07 −92.66

2nd–3rd fav 2,081 384 18.5% 1.05 −189.38

4th–6th fav 2,527 210 8.3% 1.00 −499.17

7th+ in betting 1,717 51 3% 0.84 −659.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m2f – 1m4f 2,388 345 14.4% −508.51

6f – 7f 2,079 271 13% −331.56

1m – 1m1f 2,062 280 13.6% −409.54

1m5f – 2m 585 92 15.7% −23.92

Under 6f 247 31 12.6% −129.51

2m1f – 2m4f 46 2 4.3% −36.17

2m5f – 3m 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 250 30 12% −47.31

2009 351 44 12.5% −75.78

2010 411 50 12.2% −110.10

2011 375 47 12.5% −107.87

2012 470 68 14.5% −162.74

2013 491 84 17.1% +14.40

2014 478 78 16.3% +7.59

2015 401 63 15.7% −27.69

2016 462 85 18.4% −32.21

2017 520 65 12.5% −112.99

2018 476 59 12.4% −141.70

2019 424 53 12.5% −114.29

2020 334 46 13.8% −98.44

2021 350 49 14% −71.78

2022 295 36 12.2% −67.06

2023 387 55 14.2% −11.25

2024 392 44 11.2% −163.01

2025 324 41 12.7% −65.31

2026 217 24 11.1% −52.67

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 4,406 641 14.5% −533.27

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 2,581 323 12.5% −596.59

5-7 runners 2,182 399 18.3% −362.21

11-13 runners 1,611 161 10% −320.47

14-16 runners 507 35 6.9% −131.75

2-4 runners 295 93 31.5% +23.93

17+ runners 232 10 4.3% −53.12

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Vainglory (USA) 70 5 18 20 May 15

Noble Citizen (USA) 61 7 20 19 May 15

Tiger Crusade (FR) 58 10 18 20 May 26

Nonios (IRE) 57 7 21 24 Apr 21

Bless Him (IRE) 53 7 14 6 Dec 24

Charlie's Choice (GB) 50 8 22 27 Oct 26

Hitched (IRE) 48 9 20 14 Oct 26

Hierarch (IRE)from David Flood 47 5 20 11 Feb 16

Chola Empire (GB) 46 5 16 26 Feb 26

Breton Rock (IRE) 46 10 23 5 Oct 19

Glory Awaits (IRE)from Kevin Ryan 44 3 15 26 Oct 19

Castilo Del Diablo (IRE) 43 4 11 5 Aug 17

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 899 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 21 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 20 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ed Vaughan (2) and Ian Williams (2); 40 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for Richard Fahey (3); 46 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 10

Only 10 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

211913121113121513121415

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJamie Spencer

16% of all rides
18.2% SR · A/E 1.09

RiderRWSR£1

Jamie Spencer 1,167 212 18.2% −160.41

Martin Lane 622 78 12.5% −119.70

Callum Shepherd 457 67 14.7% −60.00

Hayley Turner 339 50 14.7% −63.33

Jim Crowley 287 61 21.3% +50.29

Luke Morris 277 25 9% −115.82

Stevie Donohoe 261 24 9.2% −107.73

Oisin Murphy 188 27 14.4% −72.41

Richard Mullen 161 23 14.3% +3.07

Dylan Hogan 157 17 10.8% −31.08

Andrea Atzeni 137 23 16.8% +40.54

Martin Harley 132 24 18.2% +7.36

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,058

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£17.5m

Prize money

2016

Best season · 85 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Lightning Spear (GB) — Qatar Sussex Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Goodwood · Aug 2018 · Group 1

£593,392

Madame Chiang (GB) — Qipco British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1) Ascot · Oct 2014 · Group 1

£344,513

Teppal (FR) — The Emirates Poule d'Essai des Pouliches (3yo Fillies) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · May 2018 · Group 1

£252,832

Notable horses

Tiger Crusade (FR) Breton Rock (IRE) Desert Encounter (IRE) Hitched (IRE) Noble Citizen (USA) Charlie's Choice (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Oasis Dream (GB) 14.2% · 37–261

Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,024 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 483. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 790.

Mastercraftsman (IRE) 15.2% · 27–178

Progeny have won 10.6% of 11,636 runs since 2008 (842 horses).

Teofilo (IRE) 8% · 12–150

Progeny have won 12.5% of 10,080 runs since 2008 (907 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7% from 625.

Dubawi (IRE) 17.5% · 25–143

Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,963 runs since 2008 (1,528 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.

Cityscape (GB) 15.5% · 20–129

Progeny have won 9% of 2,997 runs since 2008 (213 horses).

Lope De Vega (IRE) 10.9% · 14–129

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,198 runs since 2008 (1,106 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 958.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 30 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 7,787 · newest first

The latest 50 of 7,787 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 27 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Charlie's Choice (GB)J: Callum Shepherd Midnite Built Different Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 7/1

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Arabian Leopard (GB)J: George Wood Awc Season 14 Has Begun Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 18/1

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Arouse (IRE)J: Callum Shepherd Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 5 ran 3rd 8/1

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Vishaka (IRE)J: Callum Shepherd Try Unibet's Improved Acca Boosts Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 9th 16/1

21 Oct 26 Newmarket Killhope Law (GB)J: Tom Marquand Copybet Proudly Backs Uk Horse Racing Maiden Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 40/1

20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Campani (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Brandford Restaurants & Bar Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 9 ran 6th 5/1

20 Oct 26 Yarmouth King's Castle (IRE)J: Taryn Langley Seadell Shops & Holiday Chalets Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Soft · 15 ran 4th 20/1

20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Shangri La (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Gold And Silver Exchange Fillies' Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 11.5f · Soft · 8 ran 8th 8/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Caledonian (GB)J: Callum Shepherd Christmas Jumper Day Sunday 13th December Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11f · Standard · 6 ran 5th 7/2

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Belle Amie (SWE)J: Callum Shepherd Andrew And Tony Roy Memorial Race Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 6 ran 2nd 4/1

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Charlie's Choice (GB)J: Taryn Langley Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 8th 50/1

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Assail (IRE)J: Rossa Ryan Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 5th 4/1

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Hitched (IRE)J: Charles Bishop Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div I)Class 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 8th 33/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Fulford Cross (GB)J: Taryn Langley Download The Raceday Ready App Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 4/1

11 Oct 26 Goodwood Shangri La (GB)J: Luke Morris Virgin Bet A Good Bet Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 10f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 10th 16/1

09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Mr Nugget (GB)J: Rowan Scott Try Unibet's Superboosts Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div I)Class 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 9th 33/1

09 Oct 26 Newmarket Miss Wong (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Newmarket Pony Academy Pride Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 10f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 12th 125/1

09 Oct 26 Newmarket Thuritha (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Godolphin Lifetime Care Oh So Sharp Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 7f · Good · 14 ran 12th 150/1

09 Oct 26 Newmarket Chasing Daylight (IRE)J: Callum Rodriguez Godolphin Lifetime Care Oh So Sharp Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 7f · Good · 14 ran 4th 6/1

08 Oct 26 Bath Vishaka (IRE)J: Taryn Langley Mj Church Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5.5f · Good · 10 ran 7th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 13 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0) · to 26 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is David Simcock's strike rate?: David Simcock has won 1,021 of 7,408 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.8% (as at 30 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does David Simcock do best at?: Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 49 wins from 242 runners (20.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for David Simcock?: Jamie Spencer, with 1,167 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 212 (18.2%).
Is David Simcock in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 10 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is David Simcock's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 7,365 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.