What is John J Walsh's strike rate?

John J Walsh has won 164 of 2,487 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does John J Walsh do best at?

Roscommon by strike rate: 4 wins from 38 runners (10.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for John J Walsh?

Ambrose McCurtin, with 682 runners since 2008 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 35 (5.1%).

What is John J Walsh's Fair A/E?

1.05, from 2,485 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

John J Walsh

2,487 runners in the lifetime window · 249 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Nov 2022

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

164–2,487

Wins / Runs

6.6%

Strike rate

n=2,487

531 (21%)

Placed

1.05

Fair A/E

n=2,485 · 0.82 incl. margin

−968.90

£1 level stake

n=2,487 at SP · −39.0%

£2.20m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

2.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 130 runners a season, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.05). In Group and Graded company the record reads 8% (72 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,487 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr 28.3% when favourite Ambrose McCurtin: 5.1% from 682 New recruits: 7.1% Sends off the favourite in 4% of races

The read

Debutants struggle at 3.6% (n=193, Fair A/E 1.11). Ambrose McCurtin rides 27% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.1%, A/E 0.97) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (14.3%, n=91). 6 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Galway Shopping Centre Handicap Hurdle at Galway (IRE) (Aug 2017, £59,000). The stable star of the record: Davids Charm (IRE) — 8 wins from 30 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.3%−1.3

n=684 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −285.75

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.1%+0.5

n=42 · A/E 1.97 · £1 −5.00

Debutants · first career start

3.6%−3.0

n=193 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −99.75

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.3%−2.3

n=116 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −64.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

4.8%−1.8

n=83 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −52.00

When favourite

28.3%

n=99 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +3.85

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

4.9%−1.7

n=1,302 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −675.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.3%+1.7

n=72 · A/E 1.58 · £1 −0.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With A P Heskin 16.3% vs 6.6% · n=49

Off a 0-7-day break 14.3% vs 6.6% · n=91

With Eddie Power 14.8% vs 6.6% · n=61

With C&D winners 12.8% vs 6.6% · n=141

With Brian O'Connell 11.3% vs 6.6% · n=266

With Cathal Landers 0% vs 6.6% · n=42

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,360 97 7.1% −462.90

Flat 485 30 6.2% −206.50

Chase 397 23 5.8% −198.00

NH Flat 245 14 5.7% −101.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 875 59 6.7% −289.25

Heavy 839 70 8.3% −301.90

Good 524 22 4.2% −270.50

Good to Soft 139 9 6.5% −25.25

Good to Firm 89 2 2.2% −74.50

Standard (AW) 13 2 15.4% +0.50

Firm 8 0 0% −8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Limerick 480 42 8.8% −153.25

Cork 445 29 6.5% −179.15

Clonmel 224 13 5.8% −122.25

Thurles 221 14 6.3% −105.25

Killarney 138 5 3.6% −47.50

Listowel 135 8 5.9% −58.00

Tipperary 125 11 8.8% −22.75

Gowran Park 123 11 8.9% −12.00

Punchestown 88 3 3.4% −43.00

Galway 86 4 4.7% −36.00

Fairyhouse 82 3 3.7% −57.50

Ballinrobe 74 4 5.4% −30.00

Tramore 53 4 7.5% −36.25

Roscommon 38 4 10.5% +35.25

Leopardstown 27 0 0% −27.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 72 6 8.3% −0.50

Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 129 37 28.7% 1.39 +15.10

2nd–3rd fav 380 62 16.3% 1.26 −16.50

4th–6th fav 589 37 6.3% 0.93 −168.50

7th+ in betting 1,389 28 2% 0.70 −799.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 937 59 6.3% −481.13

2m1f – 2m4f 829 55 6.6% −224.27

2m5f – 3m 318 25 7.9% −91.25

6f – 7f 136 8 5.9% −90.00

1m – 1m1f 134 7 5.2% −44.50

1m2f – 1m4f 115 9 7.8% −25.75

Over 3m 9 1 11.1% −3.00

Under 6f 9 0 0% −9.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 129 7 5.4% −21.50

2009 134 8 6% −64.75

2010 97 13 13.4% −16.25

2011 171 8 4.7% −70.00

2012 185 13 7% −63.25

2013 220 20 9.1% −86.50

2014 211 13 6.2% −77.25

2015 239 26 10.9% +47.48

2016 259 20 7.7% −122.88

2017 212 11 5.2% −117.50

2018 152 4 2.6% −122.50

2019 151 8 5.3% −68.00

2020 120 3 2.5% −92.75

2021 116 8 6.9% −11.75

2022 91 2 2.2% −81.50

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,289 107 8.3% −324.75

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 764 40 5.2% −371.50

17+ runners 705 34 4.8% −398.75

11-13 runners 542 41 7.6% −90.38

8-10 runners 344 32 9.3% −92.02

5-7 runners 124 15 12.1% −21.25

2-4 runners 8 2 25% +5.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

85.5% completed · 1,757 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 397 73% 32 13 52 4 6

Hurdle 1,360 89.2% 21 17 99 4 6

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Apache Gold (IRE)from Patrick Breen 60 5 19 30 Nov 17

Jackemil (IRE) 44 3 6 27 Jan 16

Fly Round The Bend (IRE) 43 1 4 25 May 21

Longfield Lad (IRE) 43 2 8 22 Sep 16

Rory Anna (IRE)then Michael Winters 43 5 11 19 Sep 13

Cliff House (IRE)then Mrs D A Love 39 5 13 5 Aug 18

Broder (IRE) 37 3 11 10 Oct 21

Hard Bought (IRE)then Mrs D A Love 37 6 12 22 Jul 18

Glebe Girl (IRE) 35 0 8 16 Nov 21

Sonny B (IRE) 34 4 12 21 Mar 20

Lady Giselle (IRE) 34 3 12 29 Jul 16

Ballyegan Hero (IRE)then Paul Henderson 33 3 13 7 Oct 20

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 249 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 15 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive; 55 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for Brendan Maurice Walsh (5) and Mrs D A Love (3); 48 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

9510857364777

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderAmbrose McCurtin

27% of all rides
5.1% SR · A/E 0.97

RiderRWSR£1

Ambrose McCurtin 682 35 5.1% −330.25

Brian O'Connell 266 30 11.3% +44.73

Phillip Enright 210 19 9% −79.63

Kevin Coleman 129 10 7.8% −41.50

Francis McCurtin 90 3 3.3% −74.25

Chris Hayes 85 6 7.1% −51.00

Mr W T Cronin 67 3 4.5% −45.00

Rory Cleary 64 4 6.3% −6.00

Eddie Power 61 9 14.8% −3.75

Ben Curtis 55 6 10.9% +23.00

Frank Hayes 54 2 3.7% −33.75

A P Heskin 49 8 16.3% +14.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

177

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.36m

Prize money

2015

Best season · 26 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Ballyegan Hero (IRE) — Galway Shopping Centre Handicap Hurdle Galway (IRE) · Aug 2017 · Grade B

£59,000

Davids Charm (IRE) — Ladbrokes Ireland Listowel Handicap Hurdle (Grade B) Listowel · Sep 2019 · Grade B

£59,000

Davids Charm (IRE) — Bar One Racing Handicap Hurdle (Grade A) Fairyhouse · Dec 2017 · Grade A

£59,000

Notable horses

Davids Charm (IRE) Jack Absolute (IRE) Hard Bought (IRE) Apache Gold (IRE) Rory Anna (IRE) Cliff House (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Presenting (GB) 4.2% · 5–120

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Brian Boru (GB) 5.5% · 5–91

Progeny have won 11% of 4,124 runs since 2009 (285 horses).

Oscar Schindler (IRE) 7.7% · 6–78

Progeny have won 7.1% of 718 runs since 2008 (82 horses).

Oscar (IRE) 9.7% · 7–72

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Milan (GB) 16.4% · 11–67

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,876 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Golden Snake (USA) 8.3% · 5–60

Progeny have won 8% of 547 runs since 2008 (33 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,811 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,811 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 8 November 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

08 Nov 22 Fairyhouse Betterask Jj (IRE)J: Ambrose McCurtin BARONERACING.COM Winter Festival Handicap Hurdle (80-95)23f · Soft · 16 ran PU 20/1

08 Nov 22 Fairyhouse Galmar (IRE)J: Ambrose McCurtin Winter Festival 3rd & 4th December Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 16 ran 13th 125/1

06 Nov 22 Cork Toon Town (IRE)J: Richard Deegan Paddy Power Play Paddy's Pick 5 For Free Handicap Hurdle (80-116)16f · Heavy · 12 ran 11th 25/1

06 Nov 22 Cork Knockraha Lass (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Paddy Power Dear Lord I've Left The Immersion On Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Heavy · 16 ran PU 50/1

03 Nov 22 Thurles Romella (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Ballagh Mares Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Yielding To Soft · 10 ran PU 20/1

31 Oct 22 Wexford Ricky Bobby (IRE)J: Ambrose McCurtin Thank You Val O'connell From All At Wexford Racecourse Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16.5f · Heavy · 13 ran PU 11/1

29 Oct 22 Galway Mustafa (IRE)J: Ambrose McCurtin COLM QUINN BMW Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)24f · Soft To Heavy · 18 ran PU 66/1

29 Oct 22 Galway Castlehill Boy (IRE)J: Ambrose McCurtin Corrib Oil Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Soft To Heavy · 20 ran 4th 100/1

27 Oct 22 Clonmel Johanna Yeats (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Clonmel Oil Chase Day November 17th Handicap Chase16.5f · Soft To Heavy · 9 ran 4th 15/2

27 Oct 22 Clonmel Galmar (IRE)J: Ambrose McCurtin Cashel Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran 6th 20/1

23 Oct 22 Limerick Le Fanu (IRE)J: Mr W T Cronin Limerick Post Newspaper Flat Race16f · Soft · 10 ran 5th 14/1

23 Oct 22 Curragh Ricky Bobby (IRE)J: Mr D Doyle Tote Always Sp Or Better At The Curragh Amateur Riders Derby (Q.R.) Race12f · Soft To Heavy · 9 ran 6th 66/1

13 Oct 22 Tramore Golden Glen (IRE)J: Ambrose McCurtin Waterford Greenway Beginners Chase21.5f · Yielding · 11 ran 6th 25/1

11 Oct 22 Punchestown Delightfantastic (IRE)J: Ambrose McCurtin Paddy Power 'Is It Cold Enough To Have The Heating On' Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16.5f · Good · 20 ran 14th 9/1

11 Oct 22 Punchestown Romella (IRE)J: Michael O'Sullivan Paddy Power 'Is It Cold Enough To Have The Heating On' Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16.5f · Good · 20 ran 8th 25/1

24 Sep 22 Listowel Galmar (IRE)J: Mr W T Cronin Brendan Daly Memorial Slan Abhaile (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 6th 7/1

24 Sep 22 Listowel Miss Laura (IRE)J: Ambrose McCurtin Kathleen Walsh Memorial Handicap Hurdle (80-102) (Div 1)20f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran PU 66/1

24 Sep 22 Listowel Erin's Storm (IRE)J: Mr S Cavanagh John Lynch Memorial Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 16th 80/1

23 Sep 22 Listowel Betterask Jj (IRE)J: Ambrose McCurtin Guinness Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)24f · Good · 17 ran F 18/1

09 Sep 22 Ballinrobe Romella (IRE)J: Ambrose McCurtin Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Chase (0-109)17f · Good · 12 ran 11th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John J Walsh's strike rate?: John J Walsh has won 164 of 2,487 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John J Walsh do best at?: Roscommon by strike rate: 4 wins from 38 runners (10.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for John J Walsh?: Ambrose McCurtin, with 682 runners since 2008 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 35 (5.1%).
What is John J Walsh's Fair A/E?: 1.05, from 2,485 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.