What is M F Morris's strike rate?

M F Morris has won 205 of 2,484 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does M F Morris do best at?

Thurles by strike rate: 24 wins from 204 runners (11.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for M F Morris?

Niall P Madden, with 222 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (9.9%).

Is M F Morris in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is M F Morris's Fair A/E?

0.91, from 2,484 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

M F Morris

2,484 runners in the lifetime window · 230 individual horses

As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 3 days ago 99% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

205–2,484

Wins / Runs

8.3%

Strike rate

n=2,484

628 (25%)

Placed

0.91

Fair A/E

n=2,484 · 0.73 incl. margin

−894.47

£1 level stake

n=2,484 at SP · −36.0%

£6.28m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 130 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.91). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 10% (97 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,484 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Mar 30.5% when favourite Niall P Madden: 9.9% from 222 New recruits: 9.5% Headgear returns: 10.3% Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

Debutants struggle at 2.5% (n=158, Fair A/E 0.41). The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 7% strike, Fair A/E 0.74 and −188.07 to a £1 stake over 501 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Niall P Madden rides 9% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.9%, A/E 1.28) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly in NH Flat races — 2.6% over 77 runners, 5.7pts below the baseline. 43 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Crabbie's Grand National Chase at Aintree (Apr 2016, £561,300). The stable star of the record: War Of Attrition (IRE) — 11 wins from 27 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.7%−1.6

n=565 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −287.25

New recruits · first run for the yard

9.5%+1.2

n=42 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −30.57

Debutants · first career start

2.5%−5.8

n=158 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −144.45

First-time headgear · true-first definition

7.7%−0.6

n=142 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −67.24

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

10.3%+2.0

n=97 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −14.13

When favourite

30.5%

n=190 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −39.14

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.9%−1.4

n=550 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −172.62

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7%−1.3

n=501 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −188.07

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Davy Russell 15.3% vs 8.3% · n=163

On last-time-out winners 14.7% vs 8.3% · n=211

With A E Lynch 0% vs 8.3% · n=42

With debutants 2.5% vs 8.3% · n=158

With C&D winners 14.4% vs 8.3% · n=104

In NH Flat races 2.6% vs 8.3% · n=77

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,315 103 7.8% −537.18

Chase 1,057 99 9.4% −251.59

NH Flat 77 2 2.6% −72.32

Flat 35 1 2.9% −33.38

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 974 81 8.3% −288.35

Heavy 659 67 10.2% −175.69

Good 509 39 7.7% −294.01

Good to Soft 249 14 5.6% −80.92

Good to Firm 83 4 4.8% −45.50

Firm 10 0 0% −10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 375 28 7.5% −90.54

Cork 226 15 6.6% −139.02

Thurles 204 24 11.8% −71.70

Gowran Park 169 14 8.3% −85.34

Leopardstown 168 7 4.2% −100.36

Fairyhouse 158 15 9.5% −3.56

Limerick 142 12 8.5% −62.04

Navan 137 7 5.1% −98.58

Naas 126 10 7.9% −72.32

Clonmel 102 11 10.8% −13.00

Kilbeggan 89 6 6.7% −44.75

Galway 70 8 11.4% +36.79

Listowel 56 5 8.9% −21.38

Tipperary 52 5 9.6% −4.33

Wexford 52 5 9.6% +0.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 504 35 6.9% −208.57

Class 2 9 1 11.1% +1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 229 66 28.8% 0.98 −43.26

2nd–3rd fav 484 68 14% 0.91 −138.71

4th–6th fav 770 42 5.5% 0.81 −329.50

7th+ in betting 1,001 29 2.9% 0.95 −383.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 890 82 9.2% −349.29

2m5f – 3m 852 65 7.6% −297.90

1m5f – 2m 555 46 8.3% −223.03

Over 3m 186 12 6.5% −23.25

1m2f – 1m4f 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 171 11 6.4% −70.33

2009 224 21 9.4% −4.37

2010 158 13 8.2% −74.53

2011 160 12 7.5% −83.89

2012 170 20 11.8% −64.98

2013 140 16 11.4% +19.24

2014 179 16 8.9% −67.39

2015 187 14 7.5% −101.90

2016 172 15 8.7% +21.39

2017 163 12 7.4% −62.75

2018 114 8 7% −41.25

2019 89 2 2.2% −76.50

2020 90 11 12.2% −47.14

2021 105 7 6.7% −39.61

2022 98 8 8.2% −64.87

2023 70 8 11.4% −21.21

2024 87 5 5.7% −45.75

2025 72 4 5.6% −52.13

2026 35 2 5.7% −16.50

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 804 46 5.7% −270.76

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

17+ runners 729 44 6% −232.87

14-16 runners 566 30 5.3% −283.32

11-13 runners 406 31 7.6% −167.88

8-10 runners 391 32 8.2% −151.12

5-7 runners 341 55 16.1% −69.07

2-4 runners 51 13 25.5% +9.79

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

82.1% completed · 2,372 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 1,057 75.4% 82 27 141 4 6

Hurdle 1,315 87.5% 32 13 114 2 3

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

First Lieutenant (IRE) 50 7 21 27 Apr 17

Baily Green (IRE) 48 9 18 23 Aug 16

Rogue Angel (IRE)from P M J Doyle · then Gordon Elliott 47 5 12 28 Apr 18

Caesar Rock (IRE) 45 2 15 22 Jul 26

Foxy Jacks (IRE) 45 5 14 4 May 24

Miradane (GB) 42 4 7 4 May 16

Tinakellylad (IRE) 41 3 11 15 Jan 15

Whatsavailable (IRE) 40 3 12 4 Jul 26

Rathlin (GB)from P J Rothwell · then Micky Hammond 36 7 15 29 Jul 15

Indiana Jones (FR)from D Cottin 35 3 6 7 Nov 26

French Dynamite (FR)then E McNamara 34 7 13 3 May 25

Beyond The Law (IRE)from G T Hourigan 34 3 10 23 Mar 21

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 230 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 14 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 10 arrived from another yard in our archive; 50 had their first archived run for this yard.

22 have since run for another yard, most often for Gordon Elliott (4) and John Joseph Hanlon (2); 38 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 4

Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

111010464109111197

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderNiall P Madden

9% of all rides
9.9% SR · A/E 1.28

RiderRWSR£1

Niall P Madden 222 22 9.9% −46.32

Mark Enright 199 15 7.5% −15.67

Davy Russell 163 25 15.3% −32.27

B J Cooper 140 16 11.4% −65.49

Martin Ferris 120 11 9.2% +22.50

Darragh O'Keeffe 119 13 10.9% −57.22

Phillip Enright 105 9 8.6% −46.52

D J Casey 90 10 11.1% −37.56

Mark Walsh 84 5 6% −54.40

Gavin Brouder 81 7 8.6% −14.75

Andrew Ring 71 5 7% −31.00

Ricky Doyle 66 3 4.5% −50.62

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

242

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£7.66m

Prize money

2009

Best season · 21 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Rule The World (GB) — Crabbie's Grand National Chase (Grade 3 Handicap) Aintree · Apr 2016 · Grade 3

£561,300

War Of Attrition (IRE) — Totesport Cheltenham Gold Cup (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2006 · Class 1

£228,080

Rogue Angel (IRE) — Boylesports Irish Grand National Chase (Grade A Extended Handicap) Fairyhouse · Mar 2016 · Grade A

£152,000

Notable horses

War Of Attrition (IRE) Baily Green (IRE) First Lieutenant (IRE) Rathlin (GB) French Dynamite (FR) China Rock (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Presenting (GB) 8.5% · 33–386

Progeny have won 11% of 20,053 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Kayf Tara (GB) 9.5% · 14–148

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,769 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

King's Theatre (IRE) 12.7% · 15–118

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Mahler (GB) 5.7% · 6–106

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,894 runs since 2014 (790 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Flemensfirth (USA) 7.6% · 8–105

Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,295 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Milan (GB) 4% · 4–101

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,890 runs since 2008 (1,465 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,906 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,906 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 January 2005 to 10 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

10 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Franciscan Rock (IRE)J: Josh Williamson Irish National Hunt Steeplechase CLG Beginners Steeplechase20f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 7th 25/1

07 Nov 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Indiana Jones (FR)J: Josh Williamson Noreside Catering Handicap Steeplechase16f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 13/2

04 Nov 26 Wexford (IRE) Bossofthebrownies (IRE)J: Josh Williamson Michael Hickey Memorial Chase (listed)23f · Yielding · 4 ran 2nd 7/2

03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Quest For Answers (IRE)J: Josh Williamson Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 2nd 7/4J

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Ann Bulkley (IRE)J: Josh Williamson Limerick Show Handicap Hurdle19.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran F 20/1

14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Quest For Answers (IRE)J: Josh Williamson Matchbook €50,000 Graduation Series Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 15 ran 2nd 22/1

08 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Camino Rock (GB)J: Josh Williamson Shamrock Farm Enterprises Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 6 ran 6th 40/1

29 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) Camino Rock (GB)J: Rian Lane Tote.ie Money-Back 2nd Every Race Handicap Hurdle22f · Good · 19 ran 17th 125/1

22 Jul 26 Wexford (IRE) Caesar Rock (IRE)J: Joshua Halford WTW Willis Handicap Steeplechase24.5f · Good · 5 ran PU 9/2

04 Jul 26 Bellewstown Whatsavailable (IRE)J: Josh Williamson QuinnBet Bellewstown Handicap Hurdle24.5f · Good · 15 ran 9th 22/1

15 Jun 26 Kilbeggan Derby Rock (IRE)J: Jake Coen Follow Kilbeggan On Instagram Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)24.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran F 14/1

06 Jun 26 Punchestown Indiana Jones (FR)J: Alan O'Sullivan Ladbrokes 'That's Ladisfaction' Handicap Chase16f · Good · 10 ran 7th 11/2

30 May 26 Listowel Whatsavailable (IRE)J: Josh Williamson In Memory Of Josephine Lyons 110 Series Final Handicap Hurdle23.5f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 4th 16/1

16 May 26 Wexford Whatsavailable (IRE)J: Josh Williamson Ambrex Switchgear Handicap Hurdle24f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran UR 8/1

13 May 26 Punchestown Quest For Answers (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor Ladbrokes Maiden Hurdle24f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 5th 13/2

10 May 26 Cork Ann Bulkley (IRE)J: J J Slevin Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 15 ran 5th 14/1

09 May 26 Killarney Caesar Rock (IRE)J: Josh Williamson Tote Killarney National Handicap Chase26f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 2nd 9/1

30 Apr 26 Punchestown Franciscan Rock (IRE)J: Josh Williamson Ladbrokes Champion Stayers Hurdle (Grade 1)23.5f · Yielding · 8 ran 7th 28/1

30 Apr 26 Punchestown Indiana Jones (FR)J: Shane O'Callaghan Frontline Security Handicap Chase (Listed)16.5f · Yielding · 20 ran 5th 40/1

16 Apr 26 Limerick Miss Corby (IRE)J: Mr H C Swan D & J Glazing Handicap Hurdle21.5f · Soft · 8 ran 1st 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 4 Nov 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 4 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is M F Morris's strike rate?: M F Morris has won 205 of 2,484 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does M F Morris do best at?: Thurles by strike rate: 24 wins from 204 runners (11.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for M F Morris?: Niall P Madden, with 222 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (9.9%).
Is M F Morris in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is M F Morris's Fair A/E?: 0.91, from 2,484 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.