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Trainer profile

M J Tynan

280 runners in the lifetime window · 48 individual horses
As at 9 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 5 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
15–280
Wins / Runs
5.4%
Strike rate
n=280
38 (14%)
Placed
1.11
Fair A/E
n=280 · 0.91 incl. margin
−106.61
£1 level stake
n=280 at SP · −38.1%
£186k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
10%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.11). With a claiming rider up the record reads 8% (157 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 280 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 9 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 8.3%
The read

Debutants struggle at 0% (n=33, Fair A/E 0.00). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 8.3% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.56 and +6.06 to a £1 stake over 157 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The yard also reads well on Standard (AW) going (11.9%, n=67) and at trips under 6f (11.1%, n=45). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 0% over 49 runners, 5.4pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Paddy's Rewards Club EBF Novice Hurdle at Cork (Oct 2021, £16,225). The stable star of the record: Maontri (IRE) — 6 wins from 31 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.3%−2.1
n=61 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −50.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.4
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.4
n=33 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −33.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
5.6%+0.2
n=18 · A/E 1.83 · £1 −13.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.4
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
When favourite
66.7%
n=6 · A/E 2.20 · £1 +4.68
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.3%+2.9
n=157 · A/E 1.56 · £1 +6.06
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
6.3%+0.9
n=16 · A/E 1.31 · £1 −10.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Standard (AW) going 11.9% vs 5.4% · n=67
At trips under 6f 11.1% vs 5.4% · n=45
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 5.4% · n=49
Over 6f – 7f 10.6% vs 5.4% · n=47
Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 5.4% · n=33
With debutants 0% vs 5.4% · n=33
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 54.9% of the archive so far (as at 9 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 175 13 7.4% −11.94
Hurdle 76 2 2.6% −65.67
NH Flat 17 0 0% −17.00
Chase 12 0 0% −12.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 71 1 1.4% −37.00
Standard (AW) 67 8 11.9% −33.44
Good 63 3 4.8% −19.67
Good to Firm 33 1 3% −27.50
Heavy 31 1 3.2% −25.00
Good to Soft 15 1 6.7% +36.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 61 5 8.2% −45.44
Cork 22 2 9.1% −11.67
Naas 19 2 10.5% +66.00
Curragh 19 0 0% −19.00
Clonmel 17 0 0% −17.00
Tipperary 16 0 0% −16.00
Tramore 9 0 0% −9.00
Navan 8 0 0% −8.00
Thurles 8 0 0% −8.00
Limerick 8 0 0% −8.00
Gowran Park 8 0 0% −8.00
Galway 8 0 0% −8.00
Listowel 7 0 0% −7.00
Kilbeggan 6 0 0% −6.00
Roscommon 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 16 1 6.3% −10.00
Class 5 6 2 33.3% +3.00
Class 4 4 1 25% +1.50
Class 6 2 1 50% +7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 5 71.4% 2.52 +8.68
2nd–3rd fav 21 5 23.8% 1.61 +2.71
4th–6th fav 54 2 3.7% 0.51 −39.00
7th+ in betting 198 3 1.5% 0.67 −79.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Coto (IRE) 34 4 8 21 Sep 18
Maontri (IRE) 31 6 9 4 Mar 16
Must Be Dreaming (IRE)then G Ahern 17 0 2 25 Jan 22
Shamat (IRE) 11 0 1 30 Sep 16
Solomon Coop (IRE)from Eamonn O'Connell 10 1 1 11 Oct 26
Sinndar Sandy (IRE)then Michael G Cleary 10 0 2 4 Dec 15
Spider Baby (IRE)then G A Kingston 10 0 0 8 Oct 13
Baltygirl (IRE) 9 0 2 10 Aug 20
Military Dress (IRE)then Milton Harris 8 0 0 3 Sep 20
Darkan (IRE) 8 0 0 6 Jun 16
Jeel Des Mottes (FR) 7 0 0 18 Jan 25
Chicago Time (IRE)from David Harry Kelly 7 2 5 12 Nov 22
All 48 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 48 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from David Harry Kelly (3); 34 had their first archived run for this yard.

19 have since run for another yard, most often for David Harry Kelly (3) and G Ahern (2); 29 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
217051243001304
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Colin Keane 21 5 23.8% +25.68
Sean O'Keeffe 18 2 11.1% −7.67
Shane B Kelly 16 0 0% −16.00
Seamie Heffernan 14 0 0% −14.00
Orla Tynan 13 2 15.4% +23.88
Killian Leonard 9 0 0% −9.00
Ian Queally 8 1 12.5% −3.00
Ben Curtis 8 1 12.5% +43.00
Wayne Lordan 7 0 0% −7.00
Andrew Slattery 7 0 0% −7.00
Brian O'Connell 5 0 0% −5.00
Mr E Shaw 5 0 0% −5.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
17
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£209k
Prize money
2014
Best season · 5 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Chicago Time (IRE) — Paddy's Rewards Club EBF Novice Hurdle (Listed) Cork · Oct 2021 · Listed
£16,225
Chicago Time (IRE) — Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle Cork · Oct 2021
£11,800
Ladie's Choice (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Maiden Naas · Jul 2010
£10,695
Notable horses
Maontri (IRE) Coto (IRE) Like A Dream (IRE) Chicago Time (IRE) Solomon Coop (IRE) Ladie's Choice (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Fast Company (IRE) 7.8% · 4–51
Progeny have won 9.4% of 7,603 runs since 2014 (492 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.7% from 558. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.8% from 109.
Catcher In The Rye (IRE) 14.6% · 6–41
Progeny have won 8.9% of 2,570 runs since 2008 (239 horses).
Oscar (IRE) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Canford Cliffs (IRE) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,091 runs since 2015 (314 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 263.
Milan (GB) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,884 runs since 2008 (1,464 horses).
Choisir (AUS) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 10.7% of 5,779 runs since 2008 (392 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 314 · newest first

The latest 50 of 314 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 January 2005 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Allez Magh Glas (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden7f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 15/2
11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Solomon Coop (IRE)J: Ava Maher TRM Calphormin - Strong Foundation, Strong Future Apprentice Handicap10.5f · Soft · 12 ran 9th 40/1
29 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Habu (IRE)J: Orla Tynan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 12th 200/1
17 Sep 26 Naas (IRE) Habu (IRE)J: Orla Tynan Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden6f · Yielding · 12 ran 12th 66/1
16 Sep 26 Clonmel (IRE) Solomon Coop (IRE)J: Orla Tynan Camida Gold Champion Handicap10f · Yielding · 9 ran 5th 40/1
04 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Plains Indian (IRE)J: Orla Tynan Grant Thornton Handicap (Div I)13f · Good · 13 ran 13th 66/1
04 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Solomon Coop (IRE)J: Orla Tynan Children's Heartbeat Trust Apprentice Handicap10.5f · Good · 14 ran 11th 40/1
04 Apr 26 Cork Soldier's Tree (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Cork Stakes (Listed)6f · Soft · 10 ran 2nd 22/1
03 Apr 26 Curragh Vain Gloria (IRE)J: Killian Leonard 1xBet.ie Proudly Supporting Irish Racing Mile Handicap8f · Soft To Heavy · 21 ran 21st 100/1
23 Jan 26 Dundalk (AW) Soldier's Tree (IRE)J: Orla Tynan View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Maiden7f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 15/8F
19 Dec 25 Dundalk (AW) Solomon Coop (IRE)J: Orla Tynan Last Minute Gift Vouchers Available Online Rated Race8f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 33/1
19 Dec 25 Dundalk (AW) Soldier's Tree (IRE)J: Manoel Marques Fundraise At Dundalk Stadium In 2026 Maiden8f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 12/1
30 Sep 25 Cork Solomon Coop (IRE)J: Orla Tynan Port Of Cork Handicap8f · Yielding · 14 ran 14th 50/1
21 Aug 25 Leopardstown Solomon Coop (IRE)J: Orla Tynan TOTE Handicap9f · Good · 15 ran 13th 18/1
09 Aug 25 Curragh Solomon Coop (IRE)J: Orla Tynan Kwiff: Supercharged Betting Experience Handicap8f · Good · 8 ran 7th 9/1
31 Jul 25 Galway Solomon Coop (IRE)J: Orla Tynan Rockshore Refreshingly Irish Handicap8.5f · Soft · 18 ran 9th 28/1
29 May 25 Fairyhouse Solomon Coop (IRE)J: Orla Tynan House Restaurant Apprentice Handicap10f · Yielding · 17 ran 1st 33/1
16 May 25 Leopardstown Solomon Coop (IRE)J: Orla Tynan BoyleSports Daily Money Back Meetings Apprentice Handicap8f · Good · 19 ran 11th 40/1
18 Jan 25 Navan Jeel Des Mottes (FR)J: Shane Fitzgerald QuinnBet Beginners Chase24f · Soft · 11 ran 8th 200/1
05 Jan 25 Naas Le Grand Peinture (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe I.N.H. Stallion Owners Irish EBF Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 21 ran 16th 200/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 4 Nov 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · to 4 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is M J Tynan's strike rate?
M J Tynan has won 15 of 280 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.4% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does M J Tynan do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 5 wins from 61 runners (8.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is M J Tynan in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is M J Tynan's Fair A/E?
1.11, from 280 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 9 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).