What is M Rulec's strike rate?

M Rulec has won 56 of 673 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does M Rulec do best at?

Deauville (AW) by strike rate: 19 wins from 148 runners (12.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is M Rulec's Fair A/E?

1.05, from 656 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

M Rulec

673 runners in the lifetime window · 202 individual horses

As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 3 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

56–673

Wins / Runs

8.3%

Strike rate

n=673

177 (26%)

Placed

1.05

Fair A/E

n=656 · 0.88 incl. margin

−176.61

£1 level stake

n=663 at SP · −26.6%

£1.67m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.05). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 11% (47 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 673 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 2 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Oct–Dec 34.8% when favourite Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Deauville (AW) (12.8%, n=148), clear of the yard's 8.3% baseline. It is weakest at Chantilly (2.9% over 174 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Debutants struggle at 3.2% (n=94, Fair A/E 0.40). The yard also reads well on Good going (14.8%, n=88) and over 1m2f – 1m4f (12%, n=183). The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 2.7% over 73 runners, 5.6pts below the baseline. 6 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Du Conseil De Paris at Longchamp (FR) (Oct 2026, £67,830). Seasonally, the yard fires Oct–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.6%−1.7

n=213 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −90.60

New recruits · first run for the yard

8.3%+0.0

n=109 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −6.40

Debutants · first career start

3.2%−5.1

n=94 · A/E 0.40 · £1 −78.45

First-time headgear · true-first definition

10.6%+2.3

n=47 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −18.35

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

11.1%+2.8

n=9 · A/E 1.73 · £1 +5.50

When favourite

34.8%

n=46 · A/E 1.33 · £1 +3.79

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.7%−0.6

n=104 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −30.60

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.3%+0.0

n=60 · A/E 1.83 · £1 −13.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Good going 14.8% vs 8.3% · n=88

At Chantilly 2.9% vs 8.3% · n=174

On Heavy going 2.7% vs 8.3% · n=73

With debutants 3.2% vs 8.3% · n=94

At Deauville (AW) 12.8% vs 8.3% · n=148

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 12% vs 8.3% · n=183

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 601 51 8.5% −146.21

Hurdle 61 5 8.2% −19.40

Chase 11 0 0% −11.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 240 22 9.2% +15.60

Soft 148 11 7.4% −66.92

Good to Soft 122 8 6.6% −73.80

Good 88 13 14.8% +12.21

Heavy 73 2 2.7% −61.70

Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chantilly 174 5 2.9% −103.50

Deauville (AW) 148 19 12.8% +68.60

Longchamp (FR) 95 11 11.6% −22.50

Saint-Cloud (FR) 92 6 6.5% −49.40

Auteuil (FR) 39 4 10.3% −2.50

Compiegne (FR) 31 2 6.5% −23.40

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 22 3 13.6% +3.20

Dieppe (FR) 9 0 0% −9.00

Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00

Lyon Parilly (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00

Strasbourg 6 0 0% −6.00

Clairefontaine (FR) 5 1 20% +2.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Nancy 4 0 0% −3.00

Vittel (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 63 6 9.5% −13.50

Class 4 19 3 15.8% −11.00

Class 2 12 0 0% −12.00

Class 3 10 0 0% −10.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 49 16 32.7% 1.27 +0.79

2nd–3rd fav 102 14 13.7% 0.95 −18.80

4th–6th fav 169 14 8.3% 1.10 −0.50

7th+ in betting 343 10 2.9% 0.89 −158.10

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m – 1m1f 236 18 7.6% −40.22

1m2f – 1m4f 183 22 12% −13.90

6f – 7f 154 10 6.5% −71.09

2m1f – 2m4f 67 5 7.5% −25.40

1m5f – 2m 18 1 5.6% −11.00

Under 6f 9 0 0% −9.00

2m5f – 3m 6 0 0% −6.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 4 2 50% −1.00

2009 3 0 0% —

2010 12 2 16.7% +10.60

2011 7 1 14.3% −1.90

2012 11 2 18.2% +6.90

2013 18 2 11.1% +14.70

2014 27 4 14.8% −4.00

2015 16 1 6.3% −11.40

2016 24 2 8.3% −10.50

2017 20 4 20% +18.30

2018 15 1 6.7% −1.00

2019 29 0 0% −28.00

2020 28 1 3.6% −23.90

2021 25 2 8% −1.40

2022 46 5 10.9% +21.40

2023 100 4 4% −63.70

2024 61 3 4.9% −5.00

2025 109 10 9.2% −45.80

2026 118 10 8.5% −50.91

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 332 22 6.6% −98.40

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 297 20 6.7% −64.70

11-13 runners 157 17 10.8% −63.32

8-10 runners 123 10 8.1% −33.60

17+ runners 51 3 5.9% −21.80

5-7 runners 30 3 10% +10.21

2-4 runners 15 3 20% −3.40

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Kameta (FR) 27 2 9 19 Feb 26

Abiat (FR) 20 2 7 21 Oct 26

Boticelli (FR) 16 3 9 13 Oct 26

Twilight (FR)from J-C Rouget · then Xavier Blanchet 14 1 4 7 Sep 24

Califano (FR)then J Reynier 14 1 2 26 Dec 23

Cuncerto (FR)from P Sogorb 13 0 6 23 Apr 26

Zaky (FR)from Yannick Fouin · then Patrice Quinton 13 0 3 27 May 24

Rembrand To Go (FR) 12 4 8 18 Oct 26

Mata Utu (IRE)from C Escuder 12 0 2 4 Apr 19

Belvedere Palace (GB)from H-F Devin 11 0 1 30 Oct 26

Zelker (FR) 11 0 3 19 Oct 26

Rise And Shine (FR)from Hiroo Shimizu 11 0 1 11 Mar 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 202 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 33 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from C Escuder (2) and H-A Pantall (2); 27 had their first archived run for this yard.

21 have since run for another yard, most often for S Jesus (3); 39 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 5

Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

433886129391114

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderStephane Pasquier

7% of all rides
12.8% SR · A/E 1.48

RiderRWSR£1

Stephane Pasquier 47 6 12.8% +28.00

Eddy Hardouin 46 3 6.5% +21.60

Cyrille Stefan 32 1 3.1% −20.60

Antoine Hamelin 31 1 3.2% −15.40

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.75m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 10 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Rembrand To Go (FR) — Prix Du Conseil De Paris (Group 2) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2026 · Group 2

£67,830

Sommerabend (GB) — Prix du Muguet (4yo+) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · May 2014 · Group 2

£61,750

Boccassini (GER) — Prix Robert Papin (Colts & Fillies) Maisons-Laffitte (FR) · Jul 2006 · Group 2

£51,103

Notable horses

Rembrand To Go (FR) Sommerabend (GB) Boticelli (FR) Trully Me (FR) Kameta (FR) Abiat (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kendargent (FR) 0% · 0–38

Progeny have won 9.6% of 5,236 runs since 2011 (580 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 255.

De Treville (GB) 6.3% · 2–32

Progeny have won 7.9% of 365 runs since 2021 (62 horses).

The Grey Gatsby (IRE) 19.2% · 5–26

Progeny have won 11.9% of 1,040 runs since 2021 (172 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 18.4% from 141.

Rio De La Plata (USA) 12% · 3–25

Progeny have won 10.3% of 1,518 runs since 2016 (152 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.7% from 254.

Toronado (IRE) 4.3% · 1–23

Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,879 runs since 2018 (417 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.6% from 197. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15.4% from 143.

Zelzal (FR) 0% · 0–22

Progeny have won 9.4% of 1,708 runs since 2021 (240 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.4% from 104.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 686 · newest first

The latest 50 of 686 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 July 2006 to 30 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Belvedere Palace (GB)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix Du Chateau De TocquevilleClass 4 · 7.5f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 6/1

28 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Dubara (FR)J: Sibylle Vogt Prix Du Salon Du Cheval D'angers (Prix D'yvre-l'eveque)8f · Heavy · 14 ran 12th 12/1

21 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Abiat (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix De La Londe7.5f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 17/2

21 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Belvedere Palace (GB)J: Antoine Hamelin Prix De La Foret De Bord7.5f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 14/1

20 Oct 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Niederbronn (FR)J: Antoine Hamelin Prix Merci Aux Visiteurs De Clairefontaine (Prix De Fleurigny)7f · Heavy · 11 ran 2nd 11/4

19 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Zelker (FR)J: Baptiste Le Clerc Prix Jumna18f · Heavy · 10 ran 2nd 6/1

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Rembrand To Go (FR)J: Marvin Grandin Prix Du Conseil De Paris (Group 2)11f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 1st 16/1

16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Heracles (FR)J: Mme Laura Poggionovo Prix Des ChevreuilsClass 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 5th 22/1

13 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Boticelli (FR)J: C. Soumillon Prix De La Galerie Des Varietes8f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 9th 9/1

12 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Delta Dan (GB)J: Baptiste Le Clerc Prix Richard D'ayguevivesClass 30 · 17.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 10th 22/1

09 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Niederbronn (FR)J: Antoine Hamelin Prix De Longueil-annel7f · Very Soft · 9 ran 5th 100/30

08 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Toleo (FR)J: Tony Piccone Prix Du Chesnay10f · Soft · 16 ran 6th 11/1

05 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Deux Ponts (GER)J: Mme Laura Poggionovo Prix Du Plouich9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 1/2F

05 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Dubara (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix De Cagnes-sur-Mer6.5f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 22/1

05 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Heracles (FR)J: Mme Laura Poggionovo Prix Au-dela Des PistesClass 4 · 6.5f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 11/2

05 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Belvedere Palace (GB)J: Marvin Grandin Prix De L'avesnoisClass 4 · 6.5f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 5/1

03 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Abiat (FR)J: Thomas Trullier Qatar Prix de la Place de la ConcordeClass 1 · 8f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 12th 14/1

03 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Zelker (FR)J: Augustin Madamet Qatar Prix De La Place Des VosgesClass 1 · 12.5f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 18th 18/1

03 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Rembrand To Go (FR)J: Marvin Grandin Qatar Prix De La Place Des VosgesClass 1 · 12.5f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 1st 2/1F

29 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Victory Call (FR)J: Alexis Pouchin Prix De BonnevalClass 1 · 5.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 2nd 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M Rulec's strike rate?: M Rulec has won 56 of 673 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does M Rulec do best at?: Deauville (AW) by strike rate: 19 wins from 148 runners (12.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is M Rulec in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is M Rulec's Fair A/E?: 1.05, from 656 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.